So a blog asks its readers to rate the most likely nominees by both main parties. The February rank is the most recent I see. On the R side, Trump, DeSantis, Sununu, Youngkin, Pompeo are the top 5. The top two switched from January. That sounds pretty good. On the D side, Newsome, Buttigieg, Biden, Harris, Whitmer. That's flat-out silly.
An Indianapolis weatherman once discussed a forecast that contained a record-setting event. He said his meteorology professors said to never predict something that had never happened before. A sitting president does not lose a nomination. Putting a sitting president behind two people that aren't in the race and don't even have exploratory committees spun up? The readers were voting with their hearts, not their heads. Biden isn't the best choice, but anyone else is totally dependent on something going wrong with Biden's health. Not impossible by any means, just not a likely scenario. If it does happen, Harris might well have the incumbency and the lead. If not, Newsome would be most likely to spin up a campaign in days.
An Indianapolis weatherman once discussed a forecast that contained a record-setting event. He said his meteorology professors said to never predict something that had never happened before. A sitting president does not lose a nomination. Putting a sitting president behind two people that aren't in the race and don't even have exploratory committees spun up? The readers were voting with their hearts, not their heads. Biden isn't the best choice, but anyone else is totally dependent on something going wrong with Biden's health. Not impossible by any means, just not a likely scenario. If it does happen, Harris might well have the incumbency and the lead. If not, Newsome would be most likely to spin up a campaign in days.