Dream on NatanThe New Hampshire US Senate seat held by Democrat Maggie Hassan was likely to flip red for a moderate Republican candidate like Chuck Morse, the state senate president. Then Don Bolduc, an ardent Trump supporter who has repeated Trump's Big Lie about a stolen election, won yesterday's primary.
In some key states (Pennsylvania, for example), election deniers have essentially taken over the GOP. If these election denier candidates lose, hopefully the party will finally dump Trump. If many of them win, we are seriously screwed.
Bolduc Wins New Hampshire Senate Primary, Realizing G.O.P. Fears
Mainstream Republicans are worried that Don Bolduc, a 2020 election denier, is too right-wing to beat Senator Maggie Hassan in the general election.www.nytimes.com
These are the election-deniers on the Pa. ballot in 2022 | Friday Morning Coffee • Pennsylvania Capital-Star
A new report sheds light on the depth of election denial in the post-Trump GOP.www.penncapital-star.com
Another election denier wins an important primary
- Thread starter Bowlmania
- Start date
No the point is that it happened in Sept 2020 prior to the 2020 election, and he apologized the next day. So it has already been adjudicated in the public forum of voters...So, imho, not exactly a prescient issue in 2022...
Since that joke about his brother, Kelly has already won a statewide election. And a new just released poll shows the issues Arizona Latino's are concerned about. And when I checked, some supposed two year old slur (I didn't get it from what I could read) is strangely enough not on the list. Since that was the point you made, I feel confidant in my reply...
The news is mixed, but Pubs do not fare as well on Issues the GOP thinks would benefit them...
"Local results from a multi-state survey done as part of a partnership between UnidosUS and Mi Familia Vota have been released.
A bad sign for Democrats in power is that 62% of Arizona Latinos said the U.S. is going in the wrong direction.
A warning for challenger Republicans is that 51% of poll participants said they won’t vote for people who were at or supported the Jan. 6 insurrection." (That's basically the entire GOP slate in AZ)...
"Border security and immigration reform are last on a list of key issues which local Latinos most want elected officials to confront.
Issues seen as more pressing are inflation, gun violence, jobs and abortion.
Four out of five poll participants believe abortion should stay legal, no matter their personal views on the practice. " (Again, this is why Masters has desperately scrubbed his website, in which he previously argued for a total ban, as well as a personhood amendment...)
Poll of AZ Latinos shows warnings signs for Democrats, Republicans
Local results from a multi-state survey done as part of a partnership between UnidosUS and Mi Familia Vota have been released.
kjzz.org
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Racist jokes are fine with Cosmic. He’s also fine with carpet baggers unless their last name is Oz.No the point is that it happened in Sept 2020 prior to the 2020 election, and he apologized the next day. So it has already been adjudicated in the public forum of voters...So, imho, not exactly a prescient issue in 2022...
Since that joke about his brother, Kelly has already won a statewide election. And a new just released poll shows the issues Arizona Latino's are concerned about. And when I checked, some supposed two year old slur (I didn't get it from what I could read) is strangely enough not on the list. Since that was the point you made, I feel confidant in my reply...
The news is mixed, but Pubs do not fare as well on Issues the GOP thinks would benefit them...
"Local results from a multi-state survey done as part of a partnership between UnidosUS and Mi Familia Vota have been released.
A bad sign for Democrats in power is that 62% of Arizona Latinos said the U.S. is going in the wrong direction.
A warning for challenger Republicans is that 51% of poll participants said they won’t vote for people who were at or supported the Jan. 6 insurrection." (That's basically the entire GOP slate in AZ)...
"Border security and immigration reform are last on a list of key issues which local Latinos most want elected officials to confront.
Issues seen as more pressing are inflation, gun violence, jobs and abortion.
Four out of five poll participants believe abortion should stay legal, no matter their personal views on the practice. " (Again, this is why Masters has desperately scrubbed his website, in which he previously argued for a total ban, as well as a personhood amendment...)
Poll of AZ Latinos shows warnings signs for Democrats, Republicans
Local results from a multi-state survey done as part of a partnership between UnidosUS and Mi Familia Vota have been released.
Why would you think that's a "dumb post"? It's exactly what happened in the 2021 Senate run off in GA...
And it's also kind of what happened in the 19th New York special election back in August, where polls showed the GOP candidate with an 8 point lead right up to election day. But in a district Trump won by 6 points in 2016 (while the GOP House candidate won by 9%), that Biden flipped by 1.5% in 2020, GOP voters just failed to show up on election day.
Either that or a significant % of them voted for the pro-choice underdog Dem, who won by 3%.
Clearly polls showing the GOP candidate up 7 or 8 points were not contacting the large # of newly registered voters who registered and were mobilized in the wake of the Dobbs decision. That's the thing about polls of "likely voters", they often miss highly motivated first time and newly registered voters...
As I said, I didn't get the racist element of the joke. But it was such a huge issue, that just like Schumer's remarks about Kavanaugh I never heard about it. Which kind of points out that I doubt the guy arrested near Kavanaugh's house was especially inspired by it either...
You said (originally) that you didn't think that Kelly calling Hispanic's monkeys would serve him well (or something to that effect). I had no idea and thought something had happened over the weekend which would negatively affect Kelly's campaign, so I googled it. I thought it was the same sort of mistake that cost Cunningham his seat in NC, and took a 3 seat majority away from the Dems.
When I discovered it happened in Sept 2020, then I posed my response because I didn't see a 2020 gaffe hurting an incumbent that ran after the incident. I made no value judgement at all, although I didn't see how anything in the joke should offend anyone but his brother. I pointed out the latest Hispanic polls, where there doesn't seem to be any lingering issue with the incident. That's literally all I said...
Masters has said far worse, but no need to dredge that anti-Hispanic stuff up. Masters is losing because he's a radical wing nut, and he says a lot of crazy things. Kelly has a ton more money, and is being relentless in blanketing the airwaves with just some of the offensive and stupid stuff Masters has said.
One of Masters' stupid moves was to suggest privatizing Social Security during a June Primary debate.. That's why a poll by AARP last week found Kelly up 8, and why GOP spokespeople are telling the Hill (in this story) that Masters is done. That's not me saying it, but rather GOP strategists...
“Blake wanted to run an unscripted, unconventional campaign, and he has very much succeeded in doing it that way,” a second Arizona-based GOP strategist said. “The problem being unscripted is the Social Security gaffe, the Ted Kaczynski gaffe. You cannot turn on a TV and not see an elderly couple talking about how they’ve paid into Social Security since they were 15 and how Blake wants to take it away. … Now, he is dearly paying for that.”
Arizona outlook turns bleak for Masters, GOP
The hourglass is running low on Blake Masters and his chances to reverse course in the Arizona Senate race as Sen. Mark Kelly (D) keeps up his offensive on the airwaves, leaving Republicans pessimistic and turning their attention elsewhere on the 2022 map. Masters, the Peter Thiel...
Biden struggles, as does his party, as most Democrats look elsewhere for 2024: POLL
The economy and inflation are among the top issues heading into the midterms.ByGary Langer
September 24, 2022, 11:01 PM
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Mark will never admit the obvious when it comes to politics. Like potty training a puppy, you have to rub it in his face.
Democrats Worry as G.O.P. Attack Ads Take a Toll in Wisconsin
Mandela Barnes, the party’s Senate candidate, is now wobbling in his race against Ron Johnson, the Republican incumbent. Democratic nominees in other states face similar challenges.
Just for context, to highlight why the Dems still have an advantage in the Senate, despite being well behind in the House, winning Wisconsin is essentially necessary but not sufficient for the GOP. Besides Wisconsin, they need to also win two out of the three of Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Georgia.Democrats Worry as G.O.P. Attack Ads Take a Toll in Wisconsin
Mandela Barnes, the party’s Senate candidate, is now wobbling in his race against Ron Johnson, the Republican incumbent. Democratic nominees in other states face similar challenges.
Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada.
I could care less who wins the Georgia race.
Hobbs thought “she’s crazy” was enough, but Lake is a 20+ year seasoned veteran of television and media, this is a woman who knows how to communicate and communicate effectively. Hobbs is refusing to debate her, thinking she’ll hang herself like past GOP candidates. She isn’t because she knows how to communicate effectively. It would be far better for Hobbs to stand up there and attack her to her face and make her defend some of her positions. But just giving her free media to articulate herself is a huge mistake imo.
This is Trump's shameful and disastrous legacy, and a key reason why we're in deep shit as a nation.
Lol we are deep shit as a nation because your new marxist democrat party has spent us into record inflation and is more concerened about pandering to 1% of the country instead of the border or the economy. But that is of no interest to you all you care about is Trump, Trump, Trump and Trump. It really is something to see. Oh and Kari Lake is going to win! I am guessing all you read it the Washington Compost and the New York slime.
CDM Big Data Poll: Kari Lake Leads Katie Hobbs For Arizona Governor - CDM - Human Reporters • Not Machines
The CDMedia Big Data Poll finds Republican Kari Lake leading Democrat Secretary of State Katie Hobbs in the race for governor of Arizona.
creativedestructionmedia.com
Rich Baris "The People's Pundit"
@Peoples_Pundit
Expect a bigger Election Day vote than we're used to seeing in Arizona this November. Looks bigger as a share than ever. Republican and Republican-leaning Independents are indicating they will vote by drop off and on Election Day in bigger numbers than I've ever seen before.
Yep Masters was one of the MAGA candidates Bowlmania said would crushed because of Trump. I never understood why he was doing a victory dance based off of July and August polling which is usually way off. It is very possible almost every single senate MAGA candidate Bowlmania said would lose all win. Boy would that be glorious!
This is a joke, and you fell for it and posted it. They literally went to the RCP Senate Map as of today- link here
and engaged the interactive function that allows individual viewers to allocate toss ups to a specific party and create your own scenario off of that. Then they linked to the map THEY CREATED to pretend that RCP had made those allocations and predictions...
Do you never check anything before you post it?
The actual page shows current status as GOP 47 and Dems 46 based on the allocation of OHIO to "leans GOP, along with FL I might ad...
The actual RCP map as of TODAY lists ALL of these states as "toss-ups"- AZ, NV,GA,PA,WI,NH and NC. And as far as the debate, it would seem from stories I've read that Masters scored points with GOP voters who rate immigration as important and Kelly did the same with Dem voters who are concerned about choice.But if you're relying on the same folks who duped you on the "map" to provide an accurate analysis... Fool me once shame on you. Fool me twice...
I'm guessing Blake doesn't win, and the insight provided here and the analysis it relates to is a huge reason why. If this is indeed a reflection of internal polling and focus group response, it points out how Kelley has an unfair advantage that Masters won't be able to overcome. That's what happens when you're an amateur who doesn't really know what he's doing...
Notice how Masters doesn't really try and claim he doesn't favor a personhood amendment? Way too many examples of him advocating for exactly that, despite scrubbing his website and trying to reinvent himself. Lots of devastatingly good campaign ad moments in just that short blurb...
Looks like we will have some legit polls this week so we will see if as Bowlmaia says Mastriano is really down double digits.
@RobertCahaly
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14h
New
@trafalgar_group
#GASen, #GAGov, #PASen, #PAGov, #OHSen, and #OHGov #polls coming this week. #GApol #PApol #OHpol Stay tuned and be among the first to know the #RealPollNumbers
@RobertCahaly
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14h
New
@trafalgar_group
#GASen, #GAGov, #PASen, #PAGov, #OHSen, and #OHGov #polls coming this week. #GApol #PApol #OHpol Stay tuned and be among the first to know the #RealPollNumbers
Yes he will and the meltdowns on here are going to be a site to behold.
You have no idea what you're talking about. Masters won't get the moderate vote which is a HUGE percentage of the Arizona electorate. Multiple Valley GOP mayors have endorsed Kelly. That race won't be close.
Lake has a chance to beat Hobbs only because Hobbs isn't a good candidate. Thankfully, Lake is an awful person that moderates want no part of. In addition, voters here will elect a Democrat for Secretary of State, Attorney General, and School Superintendent. The biggest reason for the sweep is the horrible candidates put forward by the crazies in the state Republican party.
Please note that eight years ago Arizona was represented by a Republican Governor, two Republican Senators, a Republican AG, and Secretary of State. Hell, Sherrif Joe was in charge of Maricopa County. After the November election, Democrats will hold all of those offices. There's been some movement in the electorate, but the biggest reason for this change is...Trump.
Attorney General…Republican
Secretary of State…Democrat
State Treasurer…Republican
State Superintendent…Democrat
The Republican candidate for AG is a 25 year old inexperienced unready for prime time kid. The Dem running is a former Republican who is eating his lunch. Abe, the Republican, is a second generation Syrian whose father overstayed his visa by years. He was arrested and on his way to being deported when he was allowed to stay because of his family. Of course, Abe is a staunch anti immigration candidate.
Abe is also against mail in voting and a big lie proponent. I was at a town hall last month with both candidates. The question was asked, who here votes by mail. 90% of the audience, mostly Republican, raised their hand. Abe wants to end vote by mail. What an idiot.
He's 31, I believe, but, as you said, extremely thin on relevant experience. He's a decorated vet but I'm not seeing anything to suggest he's even close to being ready to serve as the state's top law enforcement official. He website bio references a stint as a former Maricopa County assistant prosecutor who has "appeared in court to prosecute criminals, uphold victims’ rights, and seek justice for the community." That carefully crafted language suggests to me that he's never tried a case. If he had trial experience, he'd be highlighting it.
His website prominently features the fact that he's "Trump endorsed."
Is Mayes, his opponent, more experienced?
Biden to visit Oregon as blue state becomes 'battleground,' could elect first GOP gov in 40 years
President Biden heads to Oregon later this week to join the Democratic gubernatorial candidate as she fends off a strong GOP rival and a former Democrat thid-party candidate.
Both I would think the last thing a dem would want is this guy by their side at a campaign. Most of them are running as far away from him as they can.
A “thid-party” candidate. Oh shit.Biden to visit Oregon as blue state becomes 'battleground,' could elect first GOP gov in 40 years
President Biden heads to Oregon later this week to join the Democratic gubernatorial candidate as she fends off a strong GOP rival and a former Democrat thid-party candidate.www.foxnews.com
Both I would think the last thing a dem would want is this guy by their side at a campaign. Most of them are running as far away from him as they can.
Lol. You forgot to get back to us on this. That's ok, I'll take care of it for you.
Mastriano's down an average of 11.2 points. Even Daily Wire/Trafalgar has him down 9.
Stick a fork in him. Doug's done.
Favorability Ratings: U.S. Political LeadersBiden to visit Oregon as blue state becomes 'battleground,' could elect first GOP gov in 40 years
President Biden heads to Oregon later this week to join the Democratic gubernatorial candidate as she fends off a strong GOP rival and a former Democrat thid-party candidate.
Both I would think the last thing a dem would want is this guy by their side at a campaign. Most of them are running as far away from him as they can.
Well the 9 points Biden is underwater (according to the right wing oriented RCP average) is pretty bad. But I'm not sure any Republican candidates in swing districts are going to want Donnie or Mitch appearing with them in the near future either...
Trump derangement syndrome (TDS) is a pejorative term usually for criticism or negative reactions to former United States President Donald Trump that are perceived to be irrational, and presumed to have little regard towards Trump's actual policy positions, or actions undertaken by his administration.The New Hampshire US Senate seat held by Democrat Maggie Hassan was likely to flip red for a moderate Republican candidate like Chuck Morse, the state senate president. Then Don Bolduc, an ardent Trump supporter who has repeated Trump's Big Lie about a stolen election, won yesterday's primary.
In some key states (Pennsylvania, for example), election deniers have essentially taken over the GOP. If these election denier candidates lose, hopefully the party will finally dump Trump. If many of them win, we are seriously screwed.
Bolduc Wins New Hampshire Senate Primary, Realizing G.O.P. Fears
Mainstream Republicans are worried that Don Bolduc, a 2020 election denier, is too right-wing to beat Senator Maggie Hassan in the general election.
These are the election-deniers on the Pa. ballot in 2022 | Friday Morning Coffee • Pennsylvania Capital-Star
A new report sheds light on the depth of election denial in the post-Trump GOP.
Hassan of NH, a winner by just 1,000 votes in 2016 and extremely vulnerable this year had her opponent been a credible Republican candidate, won comfortably tonight.
Mastriano was crushed by Shapiro. Fetterman is leading over Oz. Vance is going to win in Ohio but only because the Republican Party had to pour $32 million into a race that should have been a cakewalk for a Republican. Pubs will take the House but it's hardly the red wave that many here fantasized about.
Clearly, in 2022, it wasn't just the economy, stupid.
Two guys who have separated themselves from Trump, DeSantis and Kemp, had good nights.
I've said it before and I'll say it again - - the Republican Party needs to kick Trump's sorry ass to the curb.
Mastriano was crushed by Shapiro. Fetterman is leading over Oz. Vance is going to win in Ohio but only because the Republican Party had to pour $32 million into a race that should have been a cakewalk for a Republican. Pubs will take the House but it's hardly the red wave that many here fantasized about.
Clearly, in 2022, it wasn't just the economy, stupid.
Two guys who have separated themselves from Trump, DeSantis and Kemp, had good nights.
I've said it before and I'll say it again - - the Republican Party needs to kick Trump's sorry ass to the curb.
Trump scheduled a big announcement for the 15th at Mar a Lago, which I think was to kick off his presidential run presuming a big red wave last night. Now I wonder if he cancels the announcement before the 15th?
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anon_mya1phvcpf5x4
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The issue is taking the house will now prevent anything from being accomplished and taxpayers will waste millions of dollars on bogus revenge investigations.
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But the gains were far less than expected. And they've lost some of the highest profile races. And if they don't have the Senate, they're limited in what they can do.
It wasn't a good night for the Party of Trump.
Pubs taking the House was a foregone conclusion. The Senate was my concern. If the Dems can keep the Senate, then at least we can continue appointing judges and can confirm a SC Justice if necessary.
Of course, the House will be a shitshow come January. Schumer and Pelosi need to do everything they can to raise the debt ceiling during the lame duck, otherwise the Pubs will want to play Russian Roulette with the full faith and credit of the United States. They will lose, but will be able to cause a lot of havoc in the process. Then, we'll be able to look forward to investigations and impeachments for two years.
I think that's inevitable, given McCarthy's role as Trump Lackey and Bootlicker.
He couldn't stop it if he wanted to.
So why aren't you here for the fun, @bailey777 ? It's 11/10, and you haven't been heard from since Tuesday. Same with dbm, mcmurtry and the other "November is Coming" guys. Are you ok, little buddy?
