National polls are mostly irrelevant. Jimmy Carter had a substantial national lead over Reagan in September 1980. Hillary Clinton had a 12-point national lead over Trump three weeks before Election Day in 2016.
Also, do you seriously think she has anywhere near peaked? She will get bounces from the VP pick, the convention next month and at least one debate after Labor Day where she'll thrash Trump, assuming he isn't afraid to show up for a debate.
She is a fundraising machine. The campaign has raised $200 million since it began on July 21, with almost two-thirds from first-time donors. She had nearly 200,000 participants in a "White Dudes for Harris" Zoom last night that raised another $4 million on the spot.
She has a more extensive grassroots organization (number of field offices, number of staff and volunteers) in several key swing states than Trump. She has signed up over 175,000 new volunteers in eight days. Twenty-one mayors, including the Republican mayor of the state's third largest city, have endorsed her in the key state of Arizona (see below). She's got all the momentum and is, in sum, on a roll.
I believe that Harris, like Biden, will end up defeating Trump by a comfortable margin in the Electoral College.
Mesa Mayor John Giles pleads to Arizona Republicans to put country over party and vote for Vice President Kamala Harris.
www.azcentral.com