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The election has changed.

No one has displaced him, but he also hasn't been a part of a winning election cycle since 2016. He lost in 2020, and his record in endorsing candidates in close races is abysmal. I do think people prefer Democratic policies, but I also think that if Haley were the GOP nominee against Harris, she'd have a better chance of winning. I truly believe people hate Trump and all the cult of personality BS he brings to the table.

And if he loses, it's going to so effing exhausting watching him and his sycophants pout and whine about stolen elections. He just needs to go away.
People prefer Democratic policies as long as someone else is paying for them
 
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Yes you’re a far left radical liberal in a college town. Of course that’s your feeling. Cross the board and go outside Parkersburg and throughout West Virginia and Appalachia etc. trump speaks to them. About jobs and gas and coal and not coding and woke cult politics. The left woke cult desperately needs to go away. Harris Biden and the rest. people prefer the policies of trump to old guard pubs. Put on your big boy pants and worry about policy not noise
It's not noise when Trump still hasn't conceded the 2020 election and very likely won't concede in 2024 if he loses. And his policies or gutting the federal government and replacing people and agencies with Trump loyalists isn't going to go over well. Neither is his mass deportation strategy. Those are all things he's promised. Luckily he's not good on delivering on promises - save for ending Roe v Wade - so maybe you're right. Maybe he is just a horrible f*%k up who won't be able to get anything done and will just pardon himself and sit around listening to Fox News tell him how awesome he is for the next 4 years.

And by the way, I haven't seen anything substantive that points to Trump actually helping rural Appalachians. In fact, his tariff plan may end up actually hurting him.
 
No one has displaced him, but he also hasn't been a part of a winning election cycle since 2016. He lost in 2020, and his record in endorsing candidates in close races is abysmal. I do think people prefer Democratic policies, but I also think that if Haley were the GOP nominee against Harris, she'd have a better chance of winning. I truly believe people hate Trump and all the cult of personality BS he brings to the table.

And if he loses, it's going to so effing exhausting watching him and his sycophants pout and whine about stolen elections. He just needs to go away.
The reality is the left and right don't have similar cultures or views for the country. Were not alike at all. I look at liberals as weirdos and based on everything you post, you have a similar view of us. I'm fine with that, by the way, I just want a much smaller federal government so our differences matter less. The more the Federal government grows the more intense the fighting will be and less stability for the country.
 
The problem is that it most definitely has offended a lot of people. And Vance is doubling down on it when asked about it. He's a bad addition to the GOP presidential ticket.
The real problem is too many people are too easily offended. When did we lose our sense of humor? Why is everyone so uptight that we can no longer take a light-hearted tease directed our way? Critics who are the most vocal in protest over the comment aren’t even cat owners, let alone single and childless. When did it become so fashionable to pile on with this mob mentality?
 
It's not noise when Trump still hasn't conceded the 2020 election and very likely won't concede in 2024 if he loses. And his policies or gutting the federal government and replacing people and agencies with Trump loyalists isn't going to go over well. Neither is his mass deportation strategy. Those are all things he's promised. Luckily he's not good on delivering on promises - save for ending Roe v Wade - so maybe you're right. Maybe he is just a horrible f*%k up who won't be able to get anything done and will just pardon himself and sit around listening to Fox News tell him how awesome he is for the next 4 years.

And by the way, I haven't seen anything substantive that points to Trump actually helping rural Appalachians. In fact, his tariff plan may end up actually hurting him.
What you’re talking about re trump policies is fine by me. Line up trump’s record and actual platform and do the same with Biden Harris. If you prefer the latter all good. That’s how we should be voting. Not based on mean words and think tank nerd fantasies and the rest. Both have a history to base on. I was going to write record but didn’t want to invite trouble
 
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That was the point of me bringing up Trump's recent claim that she doesn't like Jews. It's ridiculous because she's happily married to someone who is Jewish and there is no proof that she's anti-semitic in any way. That didn't stop Trump from saying it though.

I was saying that him trying to get that to stick is dumb and ridiculous.
He must have been referring to her Israeli/Palestinian position expressed in earlier comments.
 
It's not noise when Trump still hasn't conceded the 2020 election and very likely won't concede in 2024 if he loses. And his policies or gutting the federal government and replacing people and agencies with Trump loyalists isn't going to go over well. Neither is his mass deportation strategy. Those are all things he's promised. Luckily he's not good on delivering on promises - save for ending Roe v Wade - so maybe you're right. Maybe he is just a horrible f*%k up who won't be able to get anything done and will just pardon himself and sit around listening to Fox News tell him how awesome he is for the next 4 years.

And by the way, I haven't seen anything substantive that points to Trump actually helping rural Appalachians. In fact, his tariff plan may end up actually hurting him.
Most people liked Trump's first term and like him personally too. The Harris bump is artificial. She'll be back down in the 30s again in month. She's awful.

 
The real problem is too many people are too easily offended. When did we lose our sense of humor? Why is everyone so uptight that we can no longer take a light-hearted tease directed our way? Critics who are the most vocal in protest over the comment aren’t even cat owners, let alone single and childless. When did it become so fashionable to pile on with this mob mentality?
I'm not necessarily disagreeing with you and you may have a point. I'm just saying that in 2024, it's a big deal that Vance is doubling down on that statement/opinion/belief and it's detrimental politically.
 
Most people liked Trump's first term and like him personally too. The Harris bump is artificial. She'll be back down in the 30s again in month. She's awful.

I voted for Joe Biden in 2020, but I don't believe he was a candidate that got people overly excited to vote. Do you really believe he ran an inspiring enough campaign to get a record setting number of votes in 2020? I don't.
 
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That's the thing people don't seem to understand. Popular vote polls that show Trump/ Harris tied or even Harris with a slight lead is bad news for Democrats.
National polls are mostly irrelevant. Jimmy Carter had a substantial national lead over Reagan in September 1980. Hillary Clinton had a 12-point national lead over Trump three weeks before Election Day in 2016.

Also, do you seriously think she has anywhere near peaked? She will get bounces from the VP pick, the convention next month and at least one debate after Labor Day where she'll thrash Trump, assuming he isn't afraid to show up for a debate.

She is a fundraising machine. The campaign has raised $200 million since it began on July 21, with almost two-thirds from first-time donors. She had nearly 200,000 participants in a "White Dudes for Harris" Zoom last night that raised another $4 million on the spot.

She has a more extensive grassroots organization (number of field offices, number of staff and volunteers) in several key swing states than Trump. She has signed up over 175,000 new volunteers in eight days. Twenty-one mayors, including the Republican mayor of the state's third largest city, have endorsed her in the key state of Arizona (see below). She's got all the momentum and is, in sum, on a roll.

I believe that Harris, like Biden, will end up defeating Trump by a comfortable margin in the Electoral College.

 
What you’re talking about re trump policies is fine by me. Line up trump’s record and actual platform and do the same with Biden Harris. If you prefer the latter all good. That’s how we should be voting. Not based on mean words and think tank nerd fantasies and the rest. Both have a history to base on. I was going to write record but didn’t want to invite trouble
You're right.

Biden/Harris inherited a mess. There are still residuals of that mess, yes, but the US recovered faster and better than other advanced countries.

Why would we want to hand the keys over the guy who drove the economy into ground?
 
You're right.

Biden/Harris inherited a mess. There are still residuals of that mess, yes, but the US recovered faster and better than other advanced countries.

Why would we want to hand the keys over the guy who drove the economy into ground?
You simply refuse to learn. Biden and Harris CREATED A MESS. stimulus checks, stay at home, child tax credits converted to monthly checks, unemployment extensions, student loan stays, eviction stats, foreclosure stays. The massive social welfare exacerbated inflation significantly. You can see the spike. HERE. HERE. HERE. We don’t need to compare anywhere else. The fed has shown us.

Gas. Massive cost spike shortly following Biden’s attack.

Border. Reversed title 42, cut funding, reversed 3 asylum agreements, and remain in Mexico.

This is a terrible progressive policy administration.

Compare prices today to trump. Gas food housing insurance cars etc. compare border crossing numbers.

Now why would we want Harris. Equity of outcome? Why produce to give it to you people. F it. Stay home eat edibles and wait for gov checks.
 
I’m just saying the sample isn’t large enough to mean anything
Probably true. I would technically need about 500 to be statistically significant.
Then again, I'm not really sure any poll I've seen in the last 8 years has been particularly 100% representative of the actual population.
 
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I think DeSantis wins the nominee if Trump doesn't run.
His "Stop WOKE" Act, as it applies to private workplaces, was just thrown out by a federal judge. The law was unconstitutional, which you'd think an Ivy League lawyer would have understood. So dumb.
 
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You simply refuse to learn. Biden and Harris CREATED A MESS. stimulus checks, stay at home, child tax credits converted to monthly checks, unemployment extensions, student loan stays, eviction stats, foreclosure stays. The massive social welfare exacerbated inflation significantly. You can see the spike. HERE. HERE. HERE. We don’t need to compare anywhere else. The fed has shown us.

Gas. Massive cost spike shortly following Biden’s attack.

Border. Reversed title 42, cut funding, reversed 3 asylum agreements, and remain in Mexico.

This is a terrible progressive policy administration.

Compare prices today to trump. Gas food housing insurance cars etc. compare border crossing numbers.

Now why would we want Harris. Equity of outcome? Why produce to give it to you people. F it. Stay home eat edibles and wait for gov checks.
You continuously ignore the fact that all of that started with Trump in office. He actually held up stimulus checks so he could have his name added to them. Why do you have such a blind spot for Trump cratering the economy?
 
It's not noise when Trump still hasn't conceded the 2020 election and very likely won't concede in 2024 if he loses. And his policies or gutting the federal government and replacing people and agencies with Trump loyalists isn't going to go over well. Neither is his mass deportation strategy. Those are all things he's promised. Luckily he's not good on delivering on promises - save for ending Roe v Wade - so maybe you're right. Maybe he is just a horrible f*%k up who won't be able to get anything done and will just pardon himself and sit around listening to Fox News tell him how awesome he is for the next 4 years.

And by the way, I haven't seen anything substantive that points to Trump actually helping rural Appalachians. In fact, his tariff plan may end up actually hurting him.
Great post. And kudos for taking the high road in your reply. I don't have nearly the same degree of patience as you.
 
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You continuously ignore the fact that all of that started with Trump in office. He actually held up stimulus checks so he could have his name added to them. Why do you have such a blind spot for Trump cratering the economy?
Bc I understand time and what the experts have concluded. Trump started it and Biden threw us over the cliff. There were stay orders on bills Biden flooded mailboxes with checks and people stayed home and ordered shit and overcooked the economy. Look at the dates of when inflation spiked. It was like 1.7 percent or something when Biden took over.

More frightening is trump did it to address a pandemic. The Dems did it as policy hoping the free cheese would be permanent. Thankfully manchin shut them down then everything so expensive so fast they lost the house. Cockblocked. Why is your memory so short?
 
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You're right.

Biden/Harris inherited a mess. There are still residuals of that mess, yes, but the US recovered faster and better than other advanced countries.

Why would we want to hand the keys over the guy who drove the economy into ground?

1.4 percent
 
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You simply refuse to learn. Biden and Harris CREATED A MESS. stimulus checks, stay at home, child tax credits converted to monthly checks, unemployment extensions, student loan stays, eviction stats, foreclosure stays. The massive social welfare exacerbated inflation significantly. You can see the spike. HERE. HERE. HERE. We don’t need to compare anywhere else. The fed has shown us.

Gas. Massive cost spike shortly following Biden’s attack.

Border. Reversed title 42, cut funding, reversed 3 asylum agreements, and remain in Mexico.

This is a terrible progressive policy administration.

Compare prices today to trump. Gas food housing insurance cars etc. compare border crossing numbers.

Now why would we want Harris. Equity of outcome? Why produce to give it to you people. F it. Stay home eat edibles and wait for gov checks.
Compare prices today over when Trump was in office? Extenuating circumstances aside (Trump's botched handling of the COVID effects on the economy), has there ever been a time when prices were down across the board over a four+ year window? Go back and look at prices at the end of Trump's term and then walk back four years to when Obama was in office and compare those prices.

I have news for you, whoever is sworn into office in January 2025 isn't going to magically lower prices for everything back to pre COVID prices.
 
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Trump continues to play to his base which he already has locked up. Harris has retrieved the 90% black vote for another cycle. She also has the women vote. The only women who don't support abortion for medical problems are religious and don't know any friends who have suffered a pregnancy that they want with a myriad of complications.

Watched a Democratic pollster on C-Span this morning who in my view was attempting to deal with where the election stood based upon facts and not a biased pitch.

Bottom line, the Harris entry puts some new life back into putting a Democrat back in office while the Trump bloc remains firm.

RFK Jr. peaked out in lare Spring.

By life back into the campaign, the measurement for this is based upon donations and Democrats being polled. Polling shows those who had given up on Biden are at least considering a vote for Harris.

As to the swing states given the importance of the electoral college, too early to tell.

No mention of Black vote or females in general.
 
Compare prices today over when Trump was in office? Extenuating circumstances aside (Trump's botched handling of the COVID effects on the economy), has there ever been a time when prices were down across the board over a four+ year window? Go back and look at prices at the end of Trump's term and then walk back four years to when Obama was in office and compare those prices.

I have news for you, whoever is sworn into office in January 2025 isn't going to magically lower prices for everything back to pre COVID prices.
We had a 40 year high spike in inflation under Biden. Free cheese. This isn’t hard. Where do you get your info.

Of course prices won’t fall. So you want to reward the team that went 0-16 and believes in equity of outcomes? More free cheese?
 
Bc I understand time and what the experts have concluded. Trump started it and Biden threw us over the cliff. There were stay orders on bills Biden flooded mailboxes with checks and people stayed home and ordered shit and overcooked the economy. Look at the dates of when inflation spiked. It was like 1.7 percent or something when Biden took over.

More frightening is trump did it to address a pandemic. The Dems did it as policy hoping the free cheese would be permanent. Thankfully manchin shut them down then everything so expensive so fast they lost the house. Cockblocked. Why is your memory so short?
"Threw us off a cliff" somehow equals recovering faster and stronger than any other advanced country in the world.
 
We had a 40 year high spike in inflation under Biden. Free cheese. This isn’t hard. Where do you get your info.

Of course prices won’t fall. So you want to reward the team that went 0-16 and believes in equity of outcomes? More free cheese?
Jesus dude - you even admitted that Trump started the the cratering of the economy in this thread. Pulling the country back from Trump's botched handling of COVID was difficult, but I would like to reward the policies that helped the country recover faster and stronger than any other advanced country in the world. The job isn't done, but inflation is going down and we're headed in the right direction.
 
National polls are mostly irrelevant. Jimmy Carter had a substantial national lead over Reagan in September 1980. Hillary Clinton had a 12-point national lead over Trump three weeks before Election Day in 2016.

Also, do you seriously think she has anywhere near peaked? She will get bounces from the VP pick, the convention next month and at least one debate after Labor Day where she'll thrash Trump, assuming he isn't afraid to show up for a debate.

She is a fundraising machine. The campaign has raised $200 million since it began on July 21, with almost two-thirds from first-time donors. She had nearly 200,000 participants in a "White Dudes for Harris" Zoom last night that raised another $4 million on the spot.

She has a more extensive grassroots organization (number of field offices, number of staff and volunteers) in several key swing states than Trump. She has signed up over 175,000 new volunteers in eight days. Twenty-one mayors, including the Republican mayor of the state's third largest city, have endorsed her in the key state of Arizona (see below). She's got all the momentum and is, in sum, on a roll.

I believe that Harris, like Biden, will end up defeating Trump by a comfortable margin in the Electoral College.

We'll see. She also hasn't had much of an opportunity to remind people why she was the most unpopular VP in history. I'm not much of a prognosticator. She has a lot of work to do in the states she needs to win. As it stands today, Trump still has many more pathways to victory.
 
We had a 40 year high spike in inflation under Biden. Free cheese. This isn’t hard. Where do you get your info.

Of course prices won’t fall. So you want to reward the team that went 0-16 and believes in equity of outcomes? More free cheese?
Nonsense Murt. Kamala has this locked down.

 
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Yes you’re a far left radical liberal in a college town. Of course that’s your feeling. Cross the board and go outside Parkersburg and throughout West Virginia and Appalachia etc. trump speaks to them. About jobs and gas and coal and not coding and woke cult politics. The left woke cult desperately needs to go away. Harris Biden and the rest. people prefer the policies of trump to old guard pubs. Put on your big boy pants and worry about policy not noise
Yet a significant portion of Appalachia would starve without government handouts. Quite the conundrum.
 
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Jesus dude - you even admitted that Trump started the the cratering of the economy in this thread. Pulling the country back from Trump's botched handling of COVID was difficult, but I would like to reward the policies that helped the country recover faster and stronger than any other advanced country in the world. The job isn't done, but inflation is going down and we're headed in the right direction.
I never said he cratered the economy I said Biden did. And the economy and prices aren’t the same thing. Reward the policies lmao. Stupidest shit I’ve ever record. Compare border numbers. Compare prices on everything from gas to houses to groceries. Those are the actual numbers actual data.
What Harris wants is equity of outcomes. The only thing that saved us from being worse off is blocking Biden/Harris policies. Manchin and losing the house
 
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We'll see. She also hasn't had much of an opportunity to remind people why she was the most unpopular VP in history. I'm not much of a prognosticator. She has a lot of work to do in the states she needs to win. As it stands today, Trump still has many more pathways to victory.
I think her VP pick could be big for her. Mark Kelly or Josh Shapiro are both sharp and would look great in contrast to the way Vance has stumbled out of the gate. He's unlikeable and has turned a significant subset of voters against him. Trump isn't liked by a lot of people and adding Vance didn't endear him to that crowd. The "I'm voting against Trump" crowd that came out in 2020 is getting re-energized by Harris being at the top of the ticket.
 
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Jesus dude - you even admitted that Trump started the the cratering of the economy in this thread. Pulling the country back from Trump's botched handling of COVID was difficult, but I would like to reward the policies that helped the country recover faster and stronger than any other advanced country in the world. The job isn't done, but inflation is going down and we're headed in the right direction.
Regarding the economy, what Trump policies do you believe cratered the economy?

Regarding the recovery from that cratering, what Biden policies do you believe led to a quick and strong recovery?
 
Jesus dude - you even admitted that Trump started the the cratering of the economy in this thread. Pulling the country back from Trump's botched handling of COVID was difficult, but I would like to reward the policies that helped the country recover faster and stronger than any other advanced country in the world. The job isn't done, but inflation is going down and we're headed in the right direction.
This is the salient timeframe. From the feds

 
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