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Goat's POLS Thread for Mature Adults

538 has the forecast for Indiana at around +11 for Trump. I'll be interested to see if Biden is able to get it into single digits? Also IN-5 has traditionally been a republican seat, so could be telling if it goes easily Democratic.

Well, as of right now, Indiana is plus about 28.

Spartz is leading in the open CD 5 by about 8 points. Pelosi's leadership PAC put more than $1 million on Hale's campaign.
 
Well, as of right now, Indiana is plus about 28.

Spartz is leading in the open CD 5 by about 8 points. Pelosi's leadership PAC put more than $1 million on Hale's campaign.

Only 60% of the vote in on this, hard to tell unless you know where that other 40% is coming from in CD5.
 
Grounding reminder: Here's where we're at, with clearly no landslide, all called states (ABC) plus states where a candidate had a 10+ point lead (I did 15 earlier):

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Recent dump of ballots in NC shifts the state back to more competitive. Expected heavy-Trump results were underwhelming. NYT computers went from "Very Likely" to "Probably" Trump wins.

Still lots of outstanding blue ballots in Georgia, too. Plus, AZ does look good for Biden. So the Sun Belt isn't decided yet, despite Florida clearly looking great for Trump.
 
Recent dump of ballots in NC shifts the state back to more competitive. Expected heavy-Trump results were underwhelming. NYT computers went from "Very Likely" to "Probably" Trump wins.

Still lots of outstanding blue ballots in Georgia, too. Plus, AZ does look good for Biden. So the Sun Belt isn't decided yet, despite Florida clearly looking great for Trump.

NC won't be able to be called, as they allow mail in votes to still come in for the next few days, I believe.
 
Shalala out per WSJ

Republicans picked up a second win in a Miami district on Tuesday, the AP projected, with Maria Elvira Salazar, a Cuban-American journalist, beating first-term Democrat Rep. Donna Shalala.
 
Recent dump of ballots in NC shifts the state back to more competitive. Expected heavy-Trump results were underwhelming. NYT computers went from "Very Likely" to "Probably" Trump wins.

Still lots of outstanding blue ballots in Georgia, too. Plus, AZ does look good for Biden. So the Sun Belt isn't decided yet, despite Florida clearly looking great for Trump.

Wisconsin looking bad for Biden to my eyes. Doesn't seem like a ton of votes left in Milwaukee to make up the difference. AZ does look pretty good. Going to come down to PA.
 
Night is over....nothing going to be determined from here on out tonight.
 
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