Goat's POLS Thread for Mature Adults
- Thread starter TheOriginalHappyGoat
- Start date
Nothing. We're really just holding steady. But it's stressful for people because they know that "Holding steady" means "A moderate polling error means we yet again win the vote but not the electoral college" and that's starting to wear kind of ****ing thin.
Nothing. But Biden hasn't picked anything up. Hopes were high that he'd have scored an upset of some sort by now.
NC is still in play (but fading some) and AZ just post good numbers for the early voting.
My anxiety level is creeping up. I know better, but it just is.
Easy. Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania. Or if he loses PA, he can do Arizona, plus one of the competitive districts in Maine or Nebraska.
MSNBC just changed AZ to Too Early To Call "BUT the Democrat leads" in both Prez and Senate. NC just switched to "Too Close To Call."
I’m not Into gambling, but I suspect there was too much money on Trump to win, which was OK before but now things look maybe a little sketchy. They’re probably just trying to get money on Biden even it up.
This an NBA game -- only Q4 matters.
NC metros -- Biden country -- have a shit ton of votes yet to be counted.
At this point, I feel like I started this thread about eight hours too early.
I agree, but my posting history tonight looks like this...
"Early Florida looks promising."
"Early Texas looks promising."
"Early Georgia looks promising."
I'm starting to get tired of looking at what's promising. I understand that these are all states that ended up as toss-ups, so this isn't exactly indicative of any kind of major polling error. In fact, as close as it is, there probably isn't a major polling error. But it does probably mean that we're basically right back where we were as a country in 2016.
Early voters were prick teasers. Same day voters squeezed our balls.
Some good news?
Odds Shark
@OddsShark
·
4m
The odds have begun to slowly shift back towards Biden. #ElectionNight
#Elections2020
Updated odds (Bovada): Donald Trump -300 Joe Biden +220
Odds Shark
@OddsShark
·
4m
The odds have begun to slowly shift back towards Biden. #ElectionNight
#Elections2020
Updated odds (Bovada): Donald Trump -300 Joe Biden +220
Charlie Cook: Election will not be decided by the SEC, it will be decided by the Big 10.
Right down the middle, for sure. I guess it was silly of us to think otherwise, but those double-digit Biden leads nationwide misled us.
A
anon_mlxxvlbug9dpa
Guest
It’s worked. They’re back to Trump -250. Vegas always wins. They’re balancing the books.
I'd rather reunite it back into one, but your idea might be more realistic.
I think NC Is for Trump. NYT has it at 95%+, and they have a heat map of outstanding votes left, which heavily favors Red.
Good news for Biden out of AZ. About 780K outstanding votes, and Trump needs to win 500K of them to pull even.
Lol. Not material. If it looks like Biden will win plus senate flip, however unlikely, markets will go up. Drunk on stimulus money.
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