I'm starting to see cracks in some people in my life... attempting to operate in the new normal of general social isolation. I worry that mental health issues will be a growing problem in coming months. The novelty of the situation has worn off. And the feelings of dread.... looking at keeping even soft protocols in place for months/ year+ are starting to set in.
Some recent studies out that social isolation can actually kill you..... increased morbidity risk by loneliness, alone. This a serious concern for seniors, in particular. But I'd see it popping up in many other groups, as this continues.
I'm very concerned about this. I'm the only person Mama Goat gets to interact with on a face-to-face basis, and I can see it wearing on her. She could spend all day on the phone with her mom, her best friend, my sister, her brother, whatever, and she'd still be lonely. But the alternative is an old disabled woman with several Covid co-morbidities walking around in public with people who are way too Freedom Loving to wear face masks or stay six feet away from others. So I'm not sure what the alternative is.
For sure. Kids are really beginning to struggle as well. They thrive on routine and the social connections with their peers and teachers. Having them isolated is taking a toll.
The cracks are visible here daily.
The only thing that matters is preventing people from getting coronavirus.
every other economic and health disaster that happen as a result of that prevention must be tolerated
A lot of people are now getting a taste of what it's like to live on the margins. Never knowing what could happen next. Wondering if this will ever end. Hoping that tomorrow will be better than today, but doubting it will. The degree and detail may be different, but the constant anxiety, the dread, the resignation, the loss of hope, the having to be on constant alert, the fear of the unknown; those are things the disadvantaged know all too well.
you guys and the nation are divided (by a media who's main goal is to divide us) between forcing everything back open and back to work despite the carnage, (or the reality that building it won't make them come), or treading water forever 3 miles from shore while waiting for rescue boats to be invented.
we stubbornly, (especially the media), refuse to acknowledge the reality that we are dealing with two universes here.
the 45 and older and those with health conditions, and the under 45 and relatively healthy, and refuse to build strategies around that reality.
we need to let the young and healthy go about their day and build herd immunity among that universe, while at the same time totally segregating the at risk universe from the non at risk.
those not at risk, but who can't totally segregate from the at risk universe, need to remain segregated with the at risk or find other life/living arrangements. (most will find other arrangements).
those at risk who wish to roll the dice anyway, can join the non at risk as well, but also need to totally segregate themselves from the at risk population who isn't so willing to roll the dice.
once we have accurate antibodies testing, the otherwise at risks who test positive for antibodies can also join the "freed" universe.
the "freed" universe will grow larger and larger, and the locked down universe will grow smaller and smaller, and the herd immune universe will also grow larger and larger without putting the at risk universe anymore at risk than they are anyway.
the larger the herd immune universe grows, the less at risk the at risk universe will be.
not only is reality based segregation of the two universes best from a public health and economy pov, but also the only long term politically doable strategy, as it doesn't force lock down on those unwilling to lock down, and doesn't incentivize Wall St who runs our govt on both sides of the aisle, to force everyone back to work before it's safe for everyone..
making this official govt strategy enables govt to finance the at risk population to stay in lockdown, without corporations and non at risks sucking up a huge portion of the available "lockdown" funds.
normal life returns for all the age non at risk, antibodies positive, and roll the dice universe, which will bring the economy as far back to normal as possible without risking the at risk universe who isn't willing to roll the dice yet. (and while politically and economically enabling at risks to stay safe till a remedy or vaccine is developed).
totally segregating the two universes as official govt strategy/policy isn't ideal, but far far better than the unsustainable no strategy at all mess we now have..
the only strategy that's politically and economically doable long term with the least loss of life..
and the best strategy to build herd immunity among the majority of the population, making things better for everyone..
and again, how this differentiates from just forcing society back open, is that it preserves and makes far more sustainable the safety net for those at risk, while allowing the non at risk and wtf universe to resume normal society.
the stats below never see the light of day on mainstream media, but absolutely need taken into account in any strategy that both saves as many lives as possible and keeps the out of work above water, while letting the able all swim to shore.
https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Death-Counts-by-Sex-Age-and-S/9bhg-hcku
US covid death thru 5/16/2020 by age per CDC
under 1 yr old, 3 deaths
1- 4 yrs, 2
5-14 yrs 7
15-24 yrs 76
25-34 yrs 463
35-44 yrs 1,186
45-54 3,338
all ages 68,998
that's a total of 1,737 US covid deaths for those under 45 yrs old, including all with contributing heath conditions, out of 69,000 for all ages thru 5/16/2020. (US population 327 mil, so 0.00053% of the US population).
ignoring the age thing in setting a national/international strategy, as opposed to the current one (or zero) strategy for all ages, is insanity.
absent a cure or vaccine, the only way back to normal society without massive more deaths and bankruptcies is a two universe approach, with total segregation between the universes.
the "freed' universe will acquire herd immunity and eventually include everyone, as more and more "at risks" will become antibodies positive, say wtf after so many months or yrs, or die of other causes over time.
but the at risks won't be pushed this way or lose their safety net, and the not at risks can resume normal life, the economy won't go under, social distancing and masks can end tomorrow and most businesses reopen back to normal, and give the at risks sports to watch on tv again.
K-12 will be the big problem, but no bigger than now.
older non freed parents will have to school at home as now if they wish.
at risks will have to stay in period, or better yet, have businesses, parks, golf courses, trails, have senior days. (and keep drive up service options).
colleges need to adjust schedules so students with non freed parents can stay on campus yr round. (all Btown non campus housing already mandates a 12 mo lease).
not perfect, but way better than now, or any other option i've heard.
don't troll unless you have a better plan.
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