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In defense of economic protectionism....

IUCrazy2

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Mar 7, 2004
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Is what is considered "free trade" these days an actual good policy or are we hampering our own economic prosperity to the advantage of our enemies?...one glaring example in particular.
 
We couldn't produce enough in the USA to satisfy demand. They can't even fill the jobs we've currently got open.

And even if we could produce enough to satisfy demand, demand would fall because the widgets would be that much more expensive to produce here on various basic inputs that can be done more cheaply elsewhere.

I've read Wealth of Nations. It's been a while, but I'm down with it until someone comes up with a more efficient system. I do agree with the author in your post to the extent that conventional wisdom is that Smith advocated fully free trade. He didn't, there were exceptions he recognized. But it was certainly a huge departure from the mercantilist orthodoxy at the time he wrote it.
 
We couldn't produce enough in the USA to satisfy demand. They can't even fill the jobs we've currently got open.

And even if we could produce enough to satisfy demand, demand would fall because the widgets would be that much more expensive to produce here on various basic inputs that can be done more cheaply elsewhere.

I've read Wealth of Nations. It's been a while, but I'm down with it until someone comes up with a more efficient system. I do agree with the author in your post to the extent that conventional wisdom is that Smith advocated fully free trade. He didn't, there were exceptions he recognized. But it was certainly a huge departure from the mercantilist orthodoxy at the time he wrote it.

in a system where some earn off the labor of others, there will always be demand for more workers.

always.

as for the US not being able to produce enough to supply demand, that's just an outright lie. (outright lying, the trickle down and free trader propagandist's go to strategy).

as for "until someone comes up with a better system", obviously your reading comprehension is non existent, as someone already did, and that system has proven to be far better for the 90%, even if worse for the 1%.
 

Is what is considered "free trade" these days an actual good policy or are we hampering our own economic prosperity to the advantage of our enemies?...one glaring example in particular.

So to be clear, you are advocating for less free markets and more government control and regulation (AKA big government)?

What happened to the logical Republicans from the 80s?
 
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So to be clear, you are advocating for less free markets and more government control and regulation (AKA big government)?

What happened to the logical Republicans from the 80s?

you mean the ones who offshored our manufacturing base, the jobs, the tax bases, and literally our sovereignty as a country, with them?

the ones who killed the working class for the next 40 plus yrs?

the ones who killed financial regulation leading to numerous melt downs, including 2008, which all required socialism bailing out capitalism's incompetents and out right criminals?

the ones who have always led the way in driving US debt?

those Republicans???
 
in a system where some earn off the labor of others, there will always be demand for more workers.

always.

as for the US not being able to produce enough to supply demand, that's just an outright lie. (outright lying, the trickle down and free trader propagandist's go to strategy).

as for "until someone comes up with a better system", obviously your reading comprehension is non existent, as someone already did, and that system has proven to be far better for the 90%, even if worse for the 1%.
Brother, what planet are you living on?

There are 10.8M jobs openings right now.

Charitably, there are 8M Americans unemployed, including those not in the labor force but want a job.

Let’s say that 1/4 of the 40+ million manufacturing jobs lost since the 90s come back (assuming a low number because of increased automation). Where are we going to find 10M workers?

Please also go on about this better system you’re talking about. Free trade and comparative advantage are the most efficient ways to allocate resources. Full stop. It’s not propaganda, it’s math. I understand it’s not a perfect world and we’ll never have fully free trade, but the principles hold. Any claim that artificially raising costs through protectionist policies will somehow lead to greater wealth is flat out ignorant.
 
So to be clear, you are advocating for less free markets and more government control and regulation (AKA big government)?

What happened to the logical Republicans from the 80s?
I am arguing for a forced decoupling from China and that we start looking at fair trade as opposed to free trade. Did you read the article? The guy kind of lays it all out in the article and supports his thesis.

"Free" trade as we know it, hasn't worked. We need to try something different.
 
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Any claim that artificially raising costs through protectionist policies will somehow lead to greater wealth is flat out ignorant.
It wouldn't be artificially raising them. It would be instituting some form of punishment on countries that exploit their workers making the trade not fair or free. China has barriers to entry into their economy. They steal and then use basically slave labor to sell a junkier version of the product back to you. Let them produce their shlock and people would be free to buy their shlock, but it would come at an increased cost because they use slave labor which puts domestic workers out of business. Countries like Germany wouldn't have to worry about the tariffs because they operate on a more level playing field.

1971 seems to be an inflection point for a bunch of things that went off track for this country. WTF happened in 1971?


ETA: Free trade as it has been practiced is putting us on a road to political violence. If the difference between the haves and have nots continues to increase to the point where the middle class is squeezed out, we are putting the country on a path to political revolution. The ugly kind where the "rich" get drug out into the street and shot and political leaders get the guillotine. The current path is unsustainable so we have to make some changes. Political orthodoxy be damned.
 
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in a system where some earn off the labor of others, there will always be demand for more workers.

always.

as for the US not being able to produce enough to supply demand, that's just an outright lie. (outright lying, the trickle down and free trader propagandist's go to strategy).

as for "until someone comes up with a better system", obviously your reading comprehension is non existent, as someone already did, and that system has proven to be far better for the 90%, even if worse for the 1%.
What?
 
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It wouldn't be artificially raising them. It would be instituting some form of punishment on countries that exploit their workers making the trade not fair or free. China has barriers to entry into their economy. They steal and then use basically slave labor to sell a junkier version of the product back to you. Let them produce their shlock and people would be free to buy their shlock, but it would come at an increased cost because they use slave labor which puts domestic workers out of business. Countries like Germany wouldn't have to worry about the tariffs because they operate on a more level playing field.

1971 seems to be an inflection point for a bunch of things that went off track for this country. WTF happened in 1971?


ETA: Free trade as it has been practiced is putting us on a road to political violence. If the difference between the haves and have nots continues to increase to the point where the middle class is squeezed out, we are putting the country on a path to political revolution. The ugly kind where the "rich" get drug out into the street and shot and political leaders get the guillotine. The current path is unsustainable so we have to make some changes. Political orthodoxy be damned.
Increased tariffs = higher costs for producers = higher costs for consumers = lower consumption.

Not saying there aren’t circumstances where it’s not worth it, I’m just saying it 100% is an artificial price increase based on something than the cost of inputs + labor.

Are the Chinese putting their thumb on the scale? Sure. The solution, IMO, is to try and secure changes to the process vs jumping straight into a protectionist race to the bottom.
 
I am arguing for a forced decoupling from China and that we start looking at fair trade as opposed to free trade. Did you read the article? The guy kind of lays it all out in the article and supports his thesis.

"Free" trade as we know it, hasn't worked. We need to try something different.

Quit reading Trumpian propaganda.

Seriously, AMGreatness?
 
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China has barriers to entry into their economy. They steal and then use basically slave labor to sell a junkier version of the product back to you. Let them produce their shlock and people would be free to buy their shlock, but it would come at an increased cost because they use slave labor which puts domestic workers out of business.

You need to sit down with Tim Cook.
 
Increased tariffs = higher costs for producers = higher costs for consumers = lower consumption.

Not saying there aren’t circumstances where it’s not worth it, I’m just saying it 100% is an artificial price increase based on something than the cost of inputs + labor.

Are the Chinese putting their thumb on the scale? Sure. The solution, IMO, is to try and secure changes to the process vs jumping straight into a protectionist race to the bottom.
So to be clear...you are not a fan of tariffs?
 
Increased tariffs = higher costs for producers = higher costs for consumers = lower consumption.

Not saying there aren’t circumstances where it’s not worth it, I’m just saying it 100% is an artificial price increase based on something than the cost of inputs + labor.

Are the Chinese putting their thumb on the scale? Sure. The solution, IMO, is to try and secure changes to the process vs jumping straight into a protectionist race to the bottom.
What changes to the process would you suggest? I can't think of any changes to "free trade" that do not amount to a form of protectionism. Either it is free or it is protected. The minute you move away from the idea that there should be no barriers, you are agreeing that there are protections that can/should be put into place to ensure a balanced market. At that point you are just arguing what level of protection and what types.
 
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The socially conservative Bernie Bros.

A slippery slope to advocating autocracy without even knowing it.
Lame. There is a long list of people in the article that run from Jefferson to Lincoln to McKinley to Adam Smith himself that all argue for protecting the wealth of your nation and that there should be limits to "free" trade. Were they all on the slippery slope to autocracy?

The argument is that we have a better standard of living because of our easy access to cheap Chinese junk. Yeah, your wages stagnated but now you can get a refrigerator (that you have to replace every 5 years) for a comparatively lower price than in 1970...granted those 1970 refrigerators are still kicking in some people's garages these days but man it was expensive. Things are awesome now, show your work. We have a bunch of technologically awesome stuff that was usually developed in a developed nation. It was then stolen and poorly copied and now you can get a cheaper (in every way) version of it slapped together by some Chinese schmuck sitting in a sweatshop making a pittance a week. That is how our lives got "better".

"Free" trade (which is really a misnomer) made your life better. You shuffle digital money around and get paid well to do it. For the 60%+ of people with no college degree, it hurt them and their communities. They can watch on their cheap Hisense TV while they pop oxy and thank their lucky stars how easy it is and cheap it is to buy piece of shit toasters and other poor quality shit while eating out of their 7.5 Oz $5 bag of chips.

What leads to autocratic governments is the types of economic inequities we are seeing in this country. The balance is off and it needs readjusted. If you have a free trade way to resolve that, you should really be pressuring the people in charge to hurry up and drop that program for us. There is a middle path that I think gets laid out in the article and then there is the leftist revolution.

 
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It wouldn't be artificially raising them. It would be instituting some form of punishment on countries that exploit their workers making the trade not fair or free. China has barriers to entry into their economy. They steal and then use basically slave labor to sell a junkier version of the product back to you. Let them produce their shlock and people would be free to buy their shlock, but it would come at an increased cost because they use slave labor which puts domestic workers out of business. Countries like Germany wouldn't have to worry about the tariffs because they operate on a more level playing field.

1971 seems to be an inflection point for a bunch of things that went off track for this country. WTF happened in 1971?


ETA: Free trade as it has been practiced is putting us on a road to political violence. If the difference between the haves and have nots continues to increase to the point where the middle class is squeezed out, we are putting the country on a path to political revolution. The ugly kind where the "rich" get drug out into the street and shot and political leaders get the guillotine. The current path is unsustainable so we have to make some changes. Political orthodoxy be damned.
We went off the Gold standard is what happened. Most of the issues stem from the money is sh#t. Start learning about Austrian economics and it will make sense.


 
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Lol, not generally. Like I said, there are exceptions that are few and far between.

Generally speaking though, more protectionist policies would result in a lower standard of living for Americans.


Woke is the religion of the left and "free trade" the religion of the establishment Republican. We should be arguing for fair trade.

ETA: Even Reagan moved to protect domestic producers at times...


You all are being too dogmatic in your approach.
 
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I don't care if TVs or refrigerators are made overseas. I don't really care that most of the games I play are made overseas. I've heard enough industry insiders (and even someone who ran a printing company) claim that if the components were made in America, we couldn't afford to buy them. And there is something to the fact that we don't have enough workers now, let alone if all that were onshored.

But I do think anything life/death/defense needs to be American, and that specifically includes prescriptions. China has a huge international lever if she were to say "give us Taiwan or you aren't getting all those prescriptions".
 
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"Free" trade (which is really a misnomer) made your life better. You shuffle digital money around and get paid well to do it. For the 60%+ of people with no college degree, it hurt them and their communities. They can watch on their cheap Hisense TV while they pop oxy and thank their lucky stars how easy it is and cheap it is to buy piece of shit toasters and other poor quality shit while eating out of their 7.5 Oz $5 bag of chips.
Some of the above are purely human faults unrelated (at least nowhere near where I think you're at) to free trade. Fat, high, and stupid is no way to go through life. What happened to personal responsibility?

What leads to autocratic governments is the types of economic inequities we are seeing in this country. The balance is off and it needs readjusted. If you have a free trade way to resolve that, you should really be pressuring the people in charge to hurry up and drop that program for us.
There are only two real ways to resolve this situation:

1. Cut off China/Vietnam/Thailand/Cambodia/India/Pakistan. Move all manufacturing to the US. This will take 50 years.

2. Tax the billionaires. Really press em. They're the ones making money off your back.
 
Lame. There is a long list of people in the article that run from Jefferson to Lincoln to McKinley to Adam Smith himself that all argue for protecting the wealth of your nation and that there should be limits to "free" trade. Were they all on the slippery slope to autocracy?

The argument is that we have a better standard of living because of our easy access to cheap Chinese junk. Yeah, your wages stagnated but now you can get a refrigerator (that you have to replace every 5 years) for a comparatively lower price than in 1970...granted those 1970 refrigerators are still kicking in some people's garages these days but man it was expensive. Things are awesome now, show your work. We have a bunch of technologically awesome stuff that was usually developed in a developed nation. It was then stolen and poorly copied and now you can get a cheaper (in every way) version of it slapped together by some Chinese schmuck sitting in a sweatshop making a pittance a week. That is how our lives got "better".

"Free" trade (which is really a misnomer) made your life better. You shuffle digital money around and get paid well to do it. For the 60%+ of people with no college degree, it hurt them and their communities. They can watch on their cheap Hisense TV while they pop oxy and thank their lucky stars how easy it is and cheap it is to buy piece of shit toasters and other poor quality shit while eating out of their 7.5 Oz $5 bag of chips.

What leads to autocratic governments is the types of economic inequities we are seeing in this country. The balance is off and it needs readjusted. If you have a free trade way to resolve that, you should really be pressuring the people in charge to hurry up and drop that program for us. There is a middle path that I think gets laid out in the article and then there is the leftist revolution.



You're going to need to come to with a better solution in inequality than "let's slap tariffs on Chinese goods".

I'm all for fighting China on IP theft. But that idea was killed by Trumpism and Bernie Bros.

Manufacturing has been growing in this country for years. But it's all mainly forms of manufacturing that take very few workers.

Hell, robots will probably replace my work too at some point. We are already using some AI tools at work, increasing automation.

I also think you have a misguided view of manufacturing in China. Does this look like "sweatshops"?

 
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Some of the above are purely human faults unrelated (at least nowhere near where I think you're at) to free trade. Fat, high, and stupid is no way to go through life. What happened to personal responsibility?


There are only two real ways to resolve this situation:

1. Cut off China/Vietnam/Thailand/Cambodia/India/Pakistan. Move all manufacturing to the US. This will take 50 years.

2. Tax the billionaires. Really press em. They're the ones making money off your back.
1. You don't have to cut them off. You can restrict market share (like Reagan did) and you can impose tariffs (like Trump) what you cannot do without decreasing the buying power of your people is to have them in a wage spiral against people who live in shanty towns and squalor.

2. It isn't money off my back. I do well. It is the acknowledgement that there is a certain level of balance that is desirable to maintain the stability of a nation. We are tilted too far. I also disagree with those who are on a similar political side of the aisle to me who claim that the only way one can be "conservative" is free trade, low taxes, and high deficits in perpetuity.

They keep saying "this works" and I look around and ask how? People are not getting married, having children, buying houses, buying cars, etc. and that issue is increasing as we go younger in population. Where did the workers go and why the shortage? People stopped having kids. Why? Well if you listen to them they say they can't afford them. Mom and Dad have to both work to provide the current middle class standard of living that Dad used to provide. Our higher standard of living is mostly based on cheap consumer electronic bull shit from China.

And yes, the things I mentioned are personal choices but damn if the whole pull yourself up by your boot straps argument (one I wholeheartedly believe in) is a harder sell when economic mobility has decreased for the past 40+ years and is lower than in other developed nations.


I was on the free trade yay bandwagon and I do believe that fair trade is a good thing. However, I look at the data and I have a hard time arguing that what we are doing now is doing this country favors. It has been awesome for the countries you listed but I am an unabashed nationalist. **** China. I will pay a few extra dollars when I have to replace my goods or I can buy one less outfit here and there. I have more shit than I know what to do with. Having a functional country again where people can do an honest days work for an honest days wages is preferable to enriching Xi and his asshole friends.
 
1. You don't have to cut them off. You can restrict market share (like Reagan did) and you can impose tariffs (like Trump) what you cannot do without decreasing the buying power of your people is to have them in a wage spiral against people who live in shanty towns and squalor.

2. It isn't money off my back. I do well. It is the acknowledgement that there is a certain level of balance that is desirable to maintain the stability of a nation. We are tilted too far. I also disagree with those who are on a similar political side of the aisle to me who claim that the only way one can be "conservative" is free trade, low taxes, and high deficits in perpetuity.

They keep saying "this works" and I look around and ask how? People are not getting married, having children, buying houses, buying cars, etc. and that issue is increasing as we go younger in population. Where did the workers go and why the shortage? People stopped having kids. Why? Well if you listen to them they say they can't afford them. Mom and Dad have to both work to provide the current middle class standard of living that Dad used to provide. Our higher standard of living is mostly based on cheap consumer electronic bull shit from China.

And yes, the things I mentioned are personal choices but damn if the whole pull yourself up by your boot straps argument (one I wholeheartedly believe in) is a harder sell when economic mobility has decreased for the past 40+ years and is lower than in other developed nations.


I was on the free trade yay bandwagon and I do believe that fair trade is a good thing. However, I look at the data and I have a hard time arguing that what we are doing now is doing this country favors. It has been awesome for the countries you listed but I am an unabashed nationalist. **** China. I will pay a few extra dollars when I have to replace my goods or I can buy one less outfit here and there. I have more shit than I know what to do with. Having a functional country again where people can do an honest days work for an honest days wages is preferable to enriching Xi and his asshole friends.
Interesting post
 
We aren't at war with China, and I suspect our mutual economic reliance on each other is a big reason why. Until you find an alternative solution to that riddle, I'll support free trade, because apparently, it saves lives.
We aren't at war with China because they don't feel they can win.....yet. They are just following their blue print and we foolishly have been playing along.

 
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I am arguing for a forced decoupling from China and that we start looking at fair trade as opposed to free trade. Did you read the article? The guy kind of lays it all out in the article and supports his thesis.

"Free" trade as we know it, hasn't worked. We need to try something different.

I am not a proponent of big government and its disappointing that you have become one.
 
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I am not a proponent of big government and its disappointing that you have become one.
Protecting trade is actually a legitimate function of government. You could argue that our military budget is designed to effectively protect trade for a good portion of the world. The U.S. Navy is basically a giant "free trade" floatilla.

I am not a Libertarian and I am not a big government proponent. I am a proponent of having effective government that represents the interests of the greater US population. I don't know if our trade approach in my lifetime, particularly after we gave China permanent MFN status has been good for this country's population at large.
 
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Protecting trade is actually a legitimate function of government. You could argue that our military budget is designed to effectively protect trade for a good portion of the world. The U.S. Navy is basically a giant "free trade" floatilla.

I am not a Libertarian and I am not a big government proponent. I am a proponent of having effective government that represents the interests of the greater US population. I don't know if our trade approach in my lifetime, particularly after we gave China permanent MFN status has been good for this country's population at large.

It's not a black and white situation, but offshoring shitty jobs to produce cheap goods and services has advantages. As TMFT stated, it significantly enhances standard of living.

With modern technology, we need to be investing more heavily in automation and efficiency, which will eliminate the need to continue offshoring.

I've worked with many clients that have entirely automated manufacturing cells. A robot drives over raw materials and loads them into a machine, the machine uses software to laser cut to required specifications and a robot picks up the finished product and drops it into bins.

Those run 24/7, don't complain about wages, benefits, etc. and more importantly, don't have accidents that risk injury (or worse) or product damage.
 
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They keep saying "this works" and I look around and ask how? People are not getting married, having children, buying houses, buying cars, etc. and that issue is increasing as we go younger in population. Where did the workers go and why the shortage? People stopped having kids. Why? Well if you listen to them they say they can't afford them. Mom and Dad have to both work to provide the current middle class standard of living that Dad used to provide. Our higher standard of living is mostly based on cheap consumer electronic bull shit from China.

Birth rate lowers as a country develops, that seems to be the standard around the world. That happened in Japan as long ago as 1980. It is happening in China now even with the one-child policy gone. In 2022 China had its lowest birth rate ever. In the US, it is the poorer people with higher birth rates. People over $200,000, the people who should be able to afford kids, don't have them.


I don't think it is because people can't afford children, I think they don't want to afford children. The people I know without kids make really good money and travel around the world often. That becomes harder, not just more expensive, with kids.

The solution has been, and is, open up to more immigration. We can pass laws limiting access to the social welfare system for a number of years upon entry.
 
Nope, you’re just a proponent of the FED that causes most of these issues.

I'm a proponent of the Fed? Or I acknowledge that it respect the idea that it sets "fiscal" policy?

I simply believe and have more faith in monetary policy than I do fiscal policy. That stems from the talent responsible for each.
 
Birth rate lowers as a country develops, that seems to be the standard around the world. That happened in Japan as long ago as 1980. It is happening in China now even with the one-child policy gone. In 2022 China had its lowest birth rate ever. In the US, it is the poorer people with higher birth rates. People over $200,000, the people who should be able to afford kids, don't have them.


I don't think it is because people can't afford children, I think they don't want to afford children. The people I know without kids make really good money and travel around the world often. That becomes harder, not just more expensive, with kids.

The solution has been, and is, open up to more immigration. We can pass laws limiting access to the social welfare system for a number of years upon entry.

Affording children is certainly a factor, but I agree with Marv here. Most that can afford them are choosing not to reproduce. Personally I think it's selfish, but it's probably best in many cases.
 
What changes to the process would you suggest? I can't think of any changes to "free trade" that do not amount to a form of protectionism. Either it is free or it is protected. The minute you move away from the idea that there should be no barriers, you are agreeing that there are protections that can/should be put into place to ensure a balanced market. At that point you are just arguing what level of protection and what types.

The good news is that COVID spurred a lot of countries to find alternative sources (Vietnam, Mexico, etc.). The bad news is that Chinese manufacturing is actually really good at making low value products, so companies are either going to move production back to China or pass along higher prices to consumers.
 
It's not a black and white situation, but offshoring shitty jobs to produce cheap goods and services has advantages. As TMFT stated, it significantly enhances standard of living.

With modern technology, we need to be investing more heavily in automation and efficiency, which will eliminate the need to continue offshoring.

I've worked with many clients that have entirely automated manufacturing cells. A robot drives over raw materials and loads them into a machine, the machine uses software to laser cut to required specifications and a robot picks up the finished product and drops it into bins.

Those run 24/7, don't complain about wages, benefits, etc. and more importantly, don't have accidents that risk injury (or worse) or product damage.
Pakis run 24/7 without those complaints
 
We have a bunch of technologically awesome stuff that was usually developed in a developed nation. It was then stolen and poorly copied and now you can get a cheaper (in every way) version of it slapped together by some Chinese schmuck sitting in a sweatshop making a pittance a week. That is how our lives got "better".

Please show us all of the technology that is made in China. Most high-tech, high-value products that you would buy are made in the U.S., Korea and Japan, with Mexico and some European countries a distant fourth and fifth.

Very little tech products that are made in China come to the U.S., for security reasons, quality reasons, etc.
 
Pakis run 24/7 without those complaints

I nearly spit out my coffee.

xpiCsPn.gif


200w.gif
 
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