That's a very good point. And I'm with you in theory. But when Trump is getting sworn in on 1/20/25, I'll be cursing your confidence.
I'll will be here and support you in cursing me to the depths of hell and beyond if Trump wins again.
I just don't see his path other than blatant shenanigans. Trump is proven rocket fuel to dem voters while as appealing as a shit sandwich to the middle (meaning some will hold their nose and vote for him but, not all).
The issue is this version of Trump is going to be (based on early appearances) like a Rambo sequel....10 times more blood and violence. He's going to some pretty dark areas so far.
Secondly we've seen his movie before. Other than the loyalists I don't see how going even more Trumpy plays in the general.
My belief is like any dying populous movement, he'll always have a core 5 to maybe 15% of the base. That's not enough in the general but it's enough to f#$k the party over since it's already trying to win in the margins. Hell even a 2 to 3% drag will severely damage the party.
Then you've got Desantis trying to out Trump Trump, which I don't believe plays to the general. That only works if Trump has been martyred and out of the way needing someone to avenge him. If Trump is active, Desantis just looks like a fraud as those two keep trying to out Trump each other.
Desantis is going to have to decide does he try to kill Trump, dooming his fate or does he try to be Beta-Trump, again dooming his fate while looking weak next to Trump. He's way too far down the culture war campaign. He's already picked his weapon of choice.
For example it's expected that Florida will institute a six week abortion timeline. Which will feed meat to both bases, but more towards the dem base because Trump says he supports a near total ban (so as crazy and offensive as six weeks is, it won't be enough to Maga). If he doesn't do it, now that it's passed the republican legislative, that will piss off maga who he needs to win the primary. If he does do it, well that's just keeping up with Trump.
I'd feel better if we could have someone younger, brighter and much more polished but it looks like Biden is going to run again, which puts a crack in my confidence.