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Democrats edging out Republicans

Democrat Poll. Kelly is toast.

Yep not good news for the bowlmania crew who claimed back in July Masters was going to get killed along with Oz and Walker. His little July victory dance I knew would come back to bite him in the end. The polling cycle repeats itself almost every single election and cocky dems grow silent in October.
 
Democrat Poll. Kelly is toast.

This is one for the books. I love how he says "we" as if he speaks for all of us or even a majority of us. I tend to think he lives in a massive liberal bubble surronded only by people who think like him. I expect him to except defeat and call it the most secure election in history after his party losses. Because remember per him you cannot question an election at all. I do expect his TDS to only get much worse as nobody will be dropping Trump after the election.

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The New Hampshire US Senate seat held by Democrat Maggie Hassan was likely to flip red for a moderate Republican candidate like Chuck Morse, the state senate president. Then Don Bolduc, an ardent Trump supporter who has repeated Trump's Big Lie about a stolen election, won yesterday's primary.

In some key states (Pennsylvania, for example), election deniers have essentially taken over the GOP. If these election denier candidates lose, hopefully the party will finally dump Trump. If many of them win, we are seriously screwed.
 
Democrat Poll. Kelly is toast.

Also " election denier" Lake continues to hold 4-5 point leads in all polls including dem polls. I guess "we" are all screwed!!!

𝐍𝐄𝐖 𝐏𝐎𝐋𝐋: Kari Lake holds 𝟰-𝗣𝗢𝗜𝗡𝗧 lead over Katie Hobbs in Arizona Governor Race (R) Kari Lake 50% (+4) (D) Katie Hobbs 46% ⦿ Data For Progress (𝐃) | 10/11-17 | LV https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_az_midterm_tabs.pdf…
https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1585312832756719619/photo/1
 
Also " election denier" Lake continues to hold 4-5 point leads in all polls including dem polls. I guess "we" are all screwed!!!

𝐍𝐄𝐖 𝐏𝐎𝐋𝐋: Kari Lake holds 𝟰-𝗣𝗢𝗜𝗡𝗧 lead over Katie Hobbs in Arizona Governor Race (R) Kari Lake 50% (+4) (D) Katie Hobbs 46% ⦿ Data For Progress (𝐃) | 10/11-17 | LV https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_az_midterm_tabs.pdf…


The false argument that we cannot question the 2020 election result is failing. Freedom of speech is still a thing and free people will not give it up for the leftist hypocrite mob.
 
The election denier is on cruise control at this point. This one is over!!!


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@IAPolls2022



𝐍𝐄𝐖 𝐏𝐎𝐋𝐋: Kari Lake holds 𝟏𝟏 𝐏𝐎𝐈𝐍𝐓 lead over Katie Hobbs in Arizona Governor Race

(R) Kari Lake 54% (+11) (D) Katie Hobbs 43%

⦿ Insider Advantage ⦿ 10/11-17 | 550 LV | MoE ±4.2% https://fox10phoenix.com/news/2022-arizona-election-poll-lake-leads-governors-race-senate-race-tightens?taid=63598d198994e30001580191&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=trueanthem&utm_source=twitter
 
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The election denier is on cruise control at this point. This one is over!!!

InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022



𝐍𝐄𝐖 𝐏𝐎𝐋𝐋: Kari Lake holds 𝟏𝟏 𝐏𝐎𝐈𝐍𝐓 lead over Katie Hobbs in Arizona Governor Race

(R) Kari Lake 54% (+11) (D) Katie Hobbs 43%

⦿ Insider Advantage ⦿ 10/11-17 | 550 LV | MoE ±4.2% https://fox10phoenix.com/news/2022-arizona-election-poll-lake-leads-governors-race-senate-race-tightens?taid=63598d198994e30001580191&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=trueanthem&utm_source=twitter
I guess if all is fair, she will challenge her win as it had to have been tainted.
 
I guess if all is fair, she will challenge her win as it had to have been tainted.
I was wondering about this. If you win a statewide election after claiming the last statewide election was fraudulent, what do you do? I assume the response will be “LULZ” and they just move on.
 
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I was wondering about this. If you win a statewide election after claiming the last statewide election was fraudulent, what do you do? I assume the response will be “LULZ” and they just move on.
Well the last election they didn't know it was coming. Now we're prepared with eyes everywhere.
 
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The false argument that we cannot question the 2020 election result is failing. Freedom of speech is still a thing and free people will not give it up for the leftist hypocrite mob.
Asking questions is one thing and perfectly OK. Claiming that there was massive voter fraud after the question has been clearly answered is another and it's not OK. There is NO evidence anywhere of any election fraud even close to being a factor in the election of Biden over Trump. Biden won, and Trump lost. It's no longer a question.
 
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Shooter is not going to like this in the least. Not only is his boy Crist losing it is going to be a wipeout by double digits most likely.

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FLORIDA POLL By FAU GOVERNOR (R) Ron DeSantis 51% (+11) (D) Charlie Crist 40% SENATE (R)
Marco Rubio 48% (+6) (D) Val Demings 42%
PRESIDENT (R) Ron DeSantis 48% (+6) (D) Joe Biden 42% (R)
Donald Trump 45% (+4)
(D) Joe Biden 41% 719 LV | 10/12-16 https://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economics-polling/bepi-polls/bepi-polls-2022/florida-governor-race.php
We might be at the point that the only safe blue counties are Orange and Broward plus college based Alachua and Leon. Gadsden as well but that one will be one to watch to see how good DeSantis can perform with rural black voters, a group that is crucial in 2024 in states like
Georgia and North Carolina
 
Large Metros (1M+) that could have all Republican representation:
Jacksonville (guaranteed)
Nashville (guaranteed)
Oklahoma City (guaranteed)
Cincinnati (likely)
McAllen-Brownsville (possibly)
Las Vegas (possibly)
Kansas City, KS (possibly)
Grand Rapids (possibly)
Pittsburgh (long shot)
 
Large Metros (1M+) that could have all Republican representation:
Jacksonville (guaranteed)
Nashville (guaranteed)
Oklahoma City (guaranteed)
Cincinnati (likely)
McAllen-Brownsville (possibly)
Las Vegas (possibly)
Kansas City, KS (possibly)
Grand Rapids (possibly)
Pittsburgh (long shot)
Cincinnati is all Democrat government and has been for some time. Mayor and City Council. Even the County Commissioners are Democrats after the last Republican was defeated two years ago, I believe. A few Republican judges but that’s about it.

People have been moving to the surrounding suburbs in Warren, Butler and Clermont Counties to escape the chaos of really stupid Democrats - which is obviously redundant - and an awful school system.
 
Cincinnati is all Democrat government and has been for some time. Mayor and City Council. Even the County Commissioners are Democrats after the last Republican was defeated two years ago, I believe. A few Republican judges but that’s about it.

People have been moving to the surrounding suburbs in Warren, Butler and Clermont Counties to escape the chaos of really stupid Democrats - which is obviously redundant - and an awful school system.
Sorry, I meant at the federal level.
I also forgot Salt Lake City
 
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Republicans have a real shot at house seats in 4 New England states this year. In the case of CT and RI, it would be the first time in over 15 years that they have. It would be great to see Logan win especially given the way that NWCT is sliced to bits on the house map
 
I don't know how in the world I ended up with this lame "Benny Johnson" guy sending his tweets to my phone- probably something to do with clicking on one of your posts.

I'm not a "woke" Democrat, and I certainly am not particularly terrified of what ex-Fear Factor/UFC goofball Joe Rogan "predicts". I've never found him particularly politically astute or knowledgeable, although I do think it's pretty likely the GOP wins the House, but far less certain that they win the Senate. I think pro-GOIP pollsters have succeeded in creating this echo chamber the past 10 days, while there's been a dearth of credible non-partisan polling, and people are already voting...

I thought this discussion on The Hill was interesting. Robby Soave is pretty much right wing, and I'm not sure he buys Rogan's "analysis:. I thought LaRosa made some very good points, but the Sabby chick (who I guess is Progressive) seemed to more or less rely on anecdotal evidence that I didn't find particularly compelling.



It's kind of hard to take someone seriously who accuses Dems of focusing on "social issues", and seems to ignore how integral social issues are to the GOP playbook. Their "economic plan" seems to be to blame the Dems and avoid offering any specifics that they know people would not agree with (like tying SS and Medicare) to any plan to raise the debt ceiling. If the large early vote Dem lead in states like GA and PA does nothing else, it should dispel the notion that Dems aren't motivated to vote. Polls measure intent to vote, actual votes already cast are just waiting to be counted.
 
I don't know how in the world I ended up with this lame "Benny Johnson" guy sending his tweets to my phone- probably something to do with clicking on one of your posts.

I'm not a "woke" Democrat, and I certainly am not particularly terrified of what ex-Fear Factor/UFC goofball Joe Rogan "predicts". I've never found him particularly politically astute or knowledgeable, although I do think it's pretty likely the GOP wins the House, but far less certain that they win the Senate. I think pro-GOIP pollsters have succeeded in creating this echo chamber the past 10 days, while there's been a dearth of credible non-partisan polling, and people are already voting...

I thought this discussion on The Hill was interesting. Robby Soave is pretty much right wing, and I'm not sure he buys Rogan's "analysis:. I thought LaRosa made some very good points, but the Sabby chick (who I guess is Progressive) seemed to more or less rely on anecdotal evidence that I didn't find particularly compelling.



It's kind of hard to take someone seriously who accuses Dems of focusing on "social issues", and seems to ignore how integral social issues are to the GOP playbook. Their "economic plan" seems to be to blame the Dems and avoid offering any specifics that they know people would not agree with (like tying SS and Medicare) to any plan to raise the debt ceiling. If the large early vote Dem lead in states like GA and PA does nothing else, it should dispel the notion that Dems aren't motivated to vote. Polls measure intent to vote, actual votes already cast are just waiting to be counted.
You finding it hard to take anyone else seriously is 2nd in line for biggest hypocrite right behind Zeke . But If you aren't the lead dog the view never changes so you may want to try harder.
 
I don't know how in the world I ended up with this lame "Benny Johnson" guy sending his tweets to my phone- probably something to do with clicking on one of your posts.

I'm not a "woke" Democrat, and I certainly am not particularly terrified of what ex-Fear Factor/UFC goofball Joe Rogan "predicts". I've never found him particularly politically astute or knowledgeable, although I do think it's pretty likely the GOP wins the House, but far less certain that they win the Senate. I think pro-GOIP pollsters have succeeded in creating this echo chamber the past 10 days, while there's been a dearth of credible non-partisan polling, and people are already voting...

I thought this discussion on The Hill was interesting. Robby Soave is pretty much right wing, and I'm not sure he buys Rogan's "analysis:. I thought LaRosa made some very good points, but the Sabby chick (who I guess is Progressive) seemed to more or less rely on anecdotal evidence that I didn't find particularly compelling.



It's kind of hard to take someone seriously who accuses Dems of focusing on "social issues", and seems to ignore how integral social issues are to the GOP playbook. Their "economic plan" seems to be to blame the Dems and avoid offering any specifics that they know people would not agree with (like tying SS and Medicare) to any plan to raise the debt ceiling. If the large early vote Dem lead in states like GA and PA does nothing else, it should dispel the notion that Dems aren't motivated to vote. Polls measure intent to vote, actual votes already cast are just waiting to be counted.


In prior cycles the GOP did run heavily on social issues, but they were issues where the center of the country was leaving them. But now it's Democrats that have become woefully out of touch with the center of the country re: social issues (of which I'll include everything from education to policing).
 
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The Dems are so out of touch, and led by such a nursing home crew of "leaders", I fully expect a large wipeout of Republican wins across the board.

The House Democratic leadership is basically all senile and can't even handle a talking point on TV. They've run this same leadership group for two decades, and the horse is dead. Pelosi will resign sometime very shortly after the elections.

Biden is also mentally fried. The best thing that can happen for Dems is a huge wipeout and a cleanup of the carcasses. Literally nobody will be enthusiastic about a Biden 24 run. All you see when you look at Democrats in Washington is pitiful, lost old people that can't tie their shoes
 
In prior cycles the GOP did run heavily on social issues, but they were issues where the center of the country was leaving them. But now it's Democrats that have become woefully out of touch with the center of the country re: social issues (of which I'll include everything from education to policing).
Notice the huge difference in ad spending between inflation/economy and "crime". I consider "crime" in this context, especially when couched in racial overtones as a social/cultural issue.

The former GOP Okla candidate (now running as a Dem and endorsed by another GOP politician of some name- JC Watt) hit the nail on the head in her debate with Stitt. Stupid people believe the GOP line about Dem cities "crime" because Fox News force feeds it to them all day long.

If people are stupid enough to vote GOP/Trumpers in, like they did in 2016, then they'll get the same results they got which resulted in a Blue wave in 2018. Trump had the Presidency and both Houses after 2016 and by 2018 every "purple" state had reverted to dem control. The cycle will just repeat itself, because the "moderates" within the GOP will discover that the Trump wing is still in control of the party and still out of step with the rest of us.

And the Trump wing is at it's core anti-democratic. Any Trump Pub who loses in a week from now will cry "fraud". Bet your house on it...

 
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Notice the huge difference in ad spending between inflation/economy and "crime". I consider "crime" in this context, especially when couched in racial overtones as a social/cultural issue.

The former GOP Okla candidate (now running as a Dem and endorsed by another GOP politician of some name- JC Watt) hit the nail on the head in her debate with Stitt. Stupid people believe the GOP line about Dem cities "crime" because Fox News force feeds it to them all day long.

If people are stupid enough to vote GOP/Trumpers in, like they did in 2016, then they'll get the same results they got which resulted in a Blue wave in 2018. Trump had the Presidency and both Houses after 2016 and by 2018 every "purple" state had reverted to dem control. The cycle will just repeat itself, because the "moderates" within the GOP will discover that the Trump wing is still in control of the party and still out of step with the rest of us.

And the Trump wing is at it's core anti-democratic. Any Trump Pub who loses in a week from now will cry "fraud". Bet your house on it...

The NYT has KS-3 as D+10. If that’s the case then it will be a solid Dem seat consisting on KCK, Overland Park, and Lawrence in the future
 
Notice the huge difference in ad spending between inflation/economy and "crime". I consider "crime" in this context, especially when couched in racial overtones as a social/cultural issue.

The former GOP Okla candidate (now running as a Dem and endorsed by another GOP politician of some name- JC Watt) hit the nail on the head in her debate with Stitt. Stupid people believe the GOP line about Dem cities "crime" because Fox News force feeds it to them all day long.

If people are stupid enough to vote GOP/Trumpers in, like they did in 2016, then they'll get the same results they got which resulted in a Blue wave in 2018. Trump had the Presidency and both Houses after 2016 and by 2018 every "purple" state had reverted to dem control. The cycle will just repeat itself, because the "moderates" within the GOP will discover that the Trump wing is still in control of the party and still out of step with the rest of us.

And the Trump wing is at it's core anti-democratic. Any Trump Pub who loses in a week from now will cry "fraud". Bet your house on it...

Don’t talk about: inflation, energy costs, crime, aggressive dictators, illegal immigration, student loan idea, supply chain crises

DO talk about: abortion, the weather, OuR dEmOcRaCy!
 
The Dems are so out of touch, and led by such a nursing home crew of "leaders", I fully expect a large wipeout of Republican wins across the board.

The House Democratic leadership is basically all senile and can't even handle a talking point on TV. They've run this same leadership group for two decades, and the horse is dead. Pelosi will resign sometime very shortly after the elections.

Biden is also mentally fried. The best thing that can happen for Dems is a huge wipeout and a cleanup of the carcasses. Literally nobody will be enthusiastic about a Biden 24 run. All you see when you look at Democrats in Washington is pitiful, lost old people that can't tie their shoes
When they get wiped out will they be allowed to moderate even if they wanted to? Not sure it's possible with the globalists like Schwab, Gates, Soros, etc running everything. Did you see the pushback the Squad got over Ukraine?
 
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