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Women dominate early voting

Mail in ballot counts are down in every state from 2020 to 2024. In the all mail elections (actually you do have the option to vote on election a limited number of sites) states of OR, CO and WA ballot returns are also down. So those states like NV and CA that have either at or above 50% are also down in ballot returns by mail. I am getting the idea that the glow of using mail in ballots is fading. I do note that the mail in ballot option provided the Ds with a huge turnout boost in 2020 and those voters provided the biggest margins for the Ds in the states that separated the numbers.

There is no doubt, look at the turnout numbers among certain groups of voters in CO/WA/OR, that putting a mail in ballot in the hand of voters helps the Ds by generating turnout in categories of voters that favor them. I think it’s a two step dance as to why ballot numbers are down. 1st it appears that those voters are less interested in voting this year. The second step and this applies to mostly voters outside of the mail states is that the effort it takes to vote by mail is only a bit more than the effort to vote early or in person.

I think the other consideration is COVID in 2020. Maybe people really do prefer normal voting and what happened in 20 was a fluke driven by COVID.
 
Here are the election maps from MN 2020


We see that the urban and suburban counties around and including the Twin cities had stunning turnout rates while the GOP rural counties lagged far behind them. If I find maps from the 1980s or 1990s I suspect they would look very different with suburban and rural counties out voting urban ones

Here are the maps showing the incredible level of absentee voting by mail that came out because of Covid


Some GOP counties only cast 20 or less of their vote early while the Big D counties were at 60% of registered voters or a little higher or a little lower. The best and only way to improve your overall turnout is to increase your numbers in early voting. There has never been 100% turnout among active voters (except maybe in parts of NH) so getting voters to vote early is key. In Nevada for instance 15,000 Republicans registered to vote and voted early at the same time. It’s a three week or more voting period in Nevada use it all. 405K Rs have already voted in Nevada….there are nearly 200K left to vote…go get them
 
The pundits are wrong. This is good news for Trump. These women are voting Daddy Trump, protector of women.




Espn No GIF
 
Trump can hardly climb his fat a$$ in a truck, can't change a tire, jump a dead battery, or even wire a fan. He'd literally refuse to eat food or drink from a cup at the house of an average blue collar house. He'd be repulsed by their living conditions. But they still see him as one of them. Now that is next level stupid.

Not sure what that has to do with the community note on the posted tweet.

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