If Trump doesn’t run a Desantis/Pompeo ticket would be nearly impossible to beat. Desantis has domestic policy down pat and Pompeo knows as much about foreign policy as anyone. But can you run 2 white men?
Are you saying that ticket would be hard to beat in the GOP Primary, because I'll give you that. But if you think Desantis/Pompeo would be "impossible to beat" in the general, I think you're sniffing glue. They could win (anybody COULD win) but you're really overestimating the appeal of folks who are no where near the Youngkin model when it comes to appealing to crossover voters in swing states...Not to mention that none of these polls reflect how many pro-GOP voters have died from covid in some of these pro-Trump counties in purple states...
Take PA for example... I previously linked #s which reflected the diminishment of Trump votes from 2016-2020 in some of the areas where Trump got the heaviest amount of votes. By any measure the darkest areas which reflect the highest proportion of covid deaths are in counties that voted Red in 2020...Coincidentally, many of these counties also have the lowest vax rate. You can see the interactive map reflected here...
We took a look at how each county voted in the election and looked at where each candidate made gains compared to the 2016 presidential election.
www.wgal.com
Vaccinations
Deaths per capita
Deaths per capita
SHARE OF POPULATION WHO HAS DIED FROM COVID-19
1 IN 400 ( gold and yellow) So Philly has had 4400 deaths, but that's only 1-347...
1 IN 240
1 IN 180 (red to purple)
These maps are stark, and clearly show that there is a marked correlation between counties who voted Blue, as far as higher vax rate and lower death rates...That's true even in urban counties like Allegheny (Pittsburgh),Dauphin (Harrisburg) and Philadelphia which are all either yellow or light gold...
And here's the kicker. The deaths per capita map is from Dec 2021, and encompasses the entire pandemic. The same map in Dec 2020 would likely have looked far different. In the 1st year (pre-vaccine) covid was largely a disease of crowded urban centers, but all that changed with both the advent of the vax as well as Delta when covid became a pandemic of the unvaxed.
That's true in state statistics as well, when states like AL,MS,LA etc which were relatively untouched in 2020, became Top 10 death locales in the wake of Delta. Washington state was the site of the first reported outbreak at the nursing home near Seattle, and was a pre-vax hotspot. But at the beginning of 2021, Washington state put strict protocols in place and really pushed vaccination rates...
So why is Washington state on the lower end of covid deaths by state at #22,compared with Arizona at #12? That's a question several people in Arizona are curious about as well...
One difference between Washington and Arizona is that their governor hasn't been as timid when trying to protect his citizens against COVID-19.
www.azcentral.com
Washington has a population of 7,767,000 people compared to Arizona's 7.2 million. Yet Washington has had only 1.11 million cases compared to 1.67 million in Arizona. And the difference in deaths is really stark, with Wash having 10,332 to Arizona's more than double of that at 25,416. Washington's vax rate is a full 10 pts higher than Arizona, at 68.8 to just 58%.
Got a little off topic, but it's hard for a sane person to argue against the fact that at both the county and state level lower vax rates have a negative effect on covid fatality rates. At some point these extra deaths in red areas are going to adversely effect GOP vote totals. That, and the preponderance of pro-Trump nominees emerging in GOP primaries in purple states, are just a couple of reasons I suspect 2022 is going to be less of a beatdown than you're counting on...