Ultimately, if things like these don't dramatically improve in the next few months, I think Trump could win pretty easily in the fall. I have no idea if I want that to happen or not. Other than I KNOW I don't want either of them in the Oval Office.
And Biden recently doubling down on the "you're wrong, we're not in a recession, rhetoric"...is going to ultimately be his undoing. The people he needs to reelect him, are getting hit as hard or harder than anyone by the economic issues we're facing right now. And whether its his fault or not, the current guy takes the hit on things like that. And it won't take too many hits, in key demographics in key swing states, to take him out.
Here's my concern with the above playing out...
Trump wins. He is a horrible leader, and he's inheriting a bad situation that's primed to get a lot worse. So our next 4 years aren't going to be fun. That, and what will 100% end up being a shit show vengeance tour on his part, is going to further galvanize and grow the far left faction of the Democratic party. Its also going to keep the MAGA, MTG/Gaetz type leadership at the forefront of the GOP. So in 2030...we'll have a MTG vs AOC type of decision on our hands.
If Biden were to win... I think the next 4 years will be equally as bad, potentially worse in some ways. MAGA is reliant on one dude. I think if he were to lose again, he'll go away. Potentially actually "go away", as in prison. But likely not in that literal way. He'll just fade back, and start to lose his grip. I think there will be a rush back to actual conservative values...maybe DeSantis...maybe Pence...but someone along those lines in 2030. And after another 4 years of Biden/Far Left leadership...the voting public will be very ready for a change. And as long as the GOP candidate is in any way normal, it won't matter how good the DNC candidate will be.