I get that is your thinking but it’s too simplistic. You need swing state polls to get a clearer picture.Biden won the popular vote by a little over 4.5 points. If he had won it by 4 on the nose he likely loses the EC. She does much worse than Biden in the swing states and racks up huge numbers in states like California. Again, see the crosstabs. The poll is telling you that Trump is a few points ahead in the popular vote.