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Women dominate early voting

outside shooter
sweetsilence said:
LOL, two garbage sources.
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There's this thing called Google. Use it and you'll see the same thing reported by (among others) the BBC, NPR, Forbes, NBC, CNN, CBS, ABC, Politico, Gallup, The Hill, The Washington Post, The New York Times, the Wall St. Journal, The Bookings Institute, The League of Women Voters, etc.

Oh, wait... they are all part of the "deep state". Got it.
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Is anyone for Micah Beckwith?

Marvin the Martian
crazed_hoosier2 said:
This is why I think the situation is likely to lead to a revitalization of the state Democratic Party. Maybe we’ll see evidence of that next Tuesday (McCormick could well win). If not, we’ll be seeing it manifest somehow soon thereafter.

The GOP is being deliberately divided, just like it is elsewhere. It’s reminiscent of the hijacking of the Tea Party -- which began life as a movement about fiscal policies…but was quickly seized upon by the cultural right on everything from same-sex marriage to abortion.
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Trump's polling is up about 15 points. If that many Trump voters vote Trump and McCormick, I would be shocked. I can't help but think the poll that showed it close was an outlier.
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Polls - - a week out

dbmhoosier
Aloha Hoosier said:
Trump hired two different expert vote data analysts to look into every claim of voter fraud. Both found there was very little to none, and none that could possibly change the outcome. One of them was Ken Block who said:

“We have all these unfounded claims of voter fraud. There are so many that it’s hard to believe it’s not true. But the reality is, it’s not true.”

and:

“Every single claim they asked me to look at was false.”

Trump has admitted in private and a couple times he admitted it publicly (you practically cried when he did that) but he's back to claiming he lost due to voter fraud. It keeps the moron faction of his followers riled up (like you) and is setting himself up to do the same if/when he loses this election.

www.seattletimes.com

Donald Trump hired him to find voting fraud. He debunked it instead

“We have all these unfounded claims of voter fraud,” data analyst Ken Block said. “... it’s hard to believe it’s not true. But the reality is, it’s not true.”
www.seattletimes.com www.seattletimes.com
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They were allowed to examine the ballots, envelopes, and voter registration cards? Because that is the only possible way to detect the fraud we believe occurred. Anything else is a complete waste of time.
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Is anyone for Micah Beckwith?

C
crazed_hoosier2 said:
This is why I think the situation is likely to lead to a revitalization of the state Democratic Party. Maybe we’ll see evidence of that next Tuesday (McCormick could well win). If not, we’ll be seeing it manifest somehow soon thereafter.

The GOP is being deliberately divided, just like it is elsewhere. It’s reminiscent of the hijacking of the Tea Party -- which began life as a movement about fiscal policies…but was quickly seized upon by the cultural right on everything from same-sex marriage to abortion.
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It’s why I think the supermajority has been bad for the GOP and bad for Indiana. Way too many extremists are in positions of power and are driving the state further and further right.
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Polls - - a week out

Aloha Hoosier
dbmhoosier said:
No. Not necessarily. But watch what Halperin said on Tucker. He thinks Trump will win and Harris has a shot but it's low. He talked about outrage on both sides depending on what happens. Dems will loot and burn no matter how big Trump's margin is.

What he said about Harris is... she's unlikely to win but if she did it's almost certainly in a near 2000 style squeaker. He was talking about Shapiro and Whitmer and how they'd better be transparent and be able to explain any strange voting patterns or trends coming out of Philly or Detroit. If turnout is 50%, 55%, 60%, etc throughout every precinct, country, etc throughout the states but somehow magically 90%+ of the black people in Philly and Detroit who are the lowest propensity voters in those states all cast a mail in ballot for Harris the Governors had better have a good explanation for how something like they can happen. And there's only one way something like that can happen even if you ran the election 1000 x's. He knows they can't explain it. But that won't happen. Whitmer and Shapiro have their eyes on 2028.

To spot voter fraud, you look for weird trends or anomalies that only benefit one side and only happen in certain areas. This is Poly Sci 101.
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Trump hired two different expert vote data analysts to look into every claim of voter fraud. Both found there was very little to none, and none that could possibly change the outcome. One of them was Ken Block who said:

“We have all these unfounded claims of voter fraud. There are so many that it’s hard to believe it’s not true. But the reality is, it’s not true.”

and:

“Every single claim they asked me to look at was false.”

Trump has admitted in private and a couple times he admitted it publicly (you practically cried when he did that) but he's back to claiming he lost due to voter fraud. It keeps the moron faction of his followers riled up (like you) and is setting himself up to do the same if/when he loses this election.

www.seattletimes.com

Donald Trump hired him to find voting fraud. He debunked it instead

“We have all these unfounded claims of voter fraud,” data analyst Ken Block said. “... it’s hard to believe it’s not true. But the reality is, it’s not true.”
www.seattletimes.com www.seattletimes.com
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Zach Edey tonight

J
Courtsensetwo said:
He is the NBA's problem now.
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He is not a problem. He is limited in what he can do and the NBA needs bench players too. Some guys make a career playing off the bench and a lot of money too. Happens all the time. Big guys gotta be able to defend out to the perimeter on switches or they get exposed. There are a few of those bigs still around and not many of them play big minutes. I don't think Edey is all that much better than Bobi but I doubt he will have the career that Bobi created for himself.

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Harris vs. Trump 2024

mattndallas
Cortez88 said:
How do we deal with social media? Musk bombed my Twitter threads yesterday and I had to scroll through a lot of his pro-GOP and Trump posts. I didn’t want any of that.
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I mean...I thought X was a private entity? If you didn't like the feed or censorship, you could always start your own...like Truth Social or something, right?

Isn't that the option? Learn to code, and develop your own Twitter?
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IUWBB

Irregulars
Jssanto said:
My apologies, and appreciation.
1. It is difficult for the fans to make too much of a 70 point win against a D 2 school. The coaches perhaps can tease out things like positioning, shot form, missed block outs, etc.
2. Injuries were a problem. Not for the game but for missed practice and conditioning. Lex and Beau were listed as out pregame. Syd Parrish came out of the locker room in the 3rd quarter on crutches. Ankle injury. Sydney Fenn (Freshman) is out for the year. That could be good. A year of film study and staggering her and Faith’s contributions.
3. Lilly, I think, surprised fans (tho not coaches or teammates) with her scoring and post presence.
4. Henna played a lot of minutes, but I think that was just because Lex and Beau were out.
5 Currie Jelks played only mop up minutes. Since she was out last year it is hard to know what her ceiling is. My bet is she will be practice help only.
6. I am hoping that the Czech girl, Valentyna Kadlecova, will surprise and contribute as a freshman. Nothin from this game supported that hope.
7. Elite talent. Moren recruits good people who can develop. It reminds me of Knight who has said he teaches about life thru basketball. Unfortunately we do not have national level elite players. USC, UCLA, UConn, SC, are teams that brought in super talent from both the portal and recruiting. I don’t think we are on their level.
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Thanks good thoughts.
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Polls - - a week out

S
Here’s Virginia


1,995,570 have voted early so far compared to 2,445,138. Turnout data is very stable…we are 40% of total votes cast. I believe today is the last day of early voting in person.

1. There is a decline from 889,000 accepted mail in ballots for all 2020 compared to 403,000 for 2024. There will be a few more ballots received before Election Day it’s easy to look at the decline of 450,000 in votes this year and match it up to the decline in Mail in ballots.

2. The AA voters and the NOVA area seems to be lagging in overall early voting numbers.

3. To offset that decline GOP and rural votes are up in early voting over 2020
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Is anyone for Micah Beckwith?

C
Cortez88 said:
I don’t know Braun. But I’m very concerned about his political acumen because he was the only person in the room at the state GOP convention who didn’t know about the knife in his back. His administration could get run over by the legislature and his own Lt Governor.
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This is why I think the situation is likely to lead to a revitalization of the state Democratic Party. Maybe we’ll see evidence of that next Tuesday (McCormick could well win). If not, we’ll be seeing it manifest somehow soon thereafter.

The GOP is being deliberately divided, just like it is elsewhere. It’s reminiscent of the hijacking of the Tea Party -- which began life as a movement about fiscal policies…but was quickly seized upon by the cultural right on everything from same-sex marriage to abortion.
Click to expand...
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Polls - - a week out

dbmhoosier
Cortez88 said:
If Trump loses, it’s because of fraud, right? Rigged election?
Click to expand...
No. Not necessarily. But watch what Halperin said on Tucker. He thinks Trump will win and Harris has a shot but it's low. He talked about outrage on both sides depending on what happens. Dems will loot and burn no matter how big Trump's margin is.

What he said about Harris is... she's unlikely to win but if she did it's almost certainly in a near 2000 style squeaker. He was talking about Shapiro and Whitmer and how they'd better be transparent and be able to explain any strange voting patterns or trends coming out of Philly or Detroit. If turnout is 50%, 55%, 60%, etc throughout every precinct, country, etc throughout the states but somehow magically 90%+ of the black people in Philly and Detroit who are the lowest propensity voters in those states all cast a mail in ballot for Harris the Governors had better have a good explanation for how something like they can happen. And there's only one way something like that can happen even if you ran the election 1000 x's. He knows they can't explain it. But that won't happen. Whitmer and Shapiro have their eyes on 2028.

To spot voter fraud, you look for weird trends or anomalies that only benefit one side and only happen in certain areas. This is Poly Sci 101.
Click to expand...

Polls - - a week out

S
cosmickid said:
An interesting analysis from former Bush Chief of staff and veteran of multiple campaigns Matthew Dowd.

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The detail numbers are available for Georgia. Richmond county is down to 76.5% of its 2020 numbers. Early vote by mail for Richmond is well down but the voters have had the better part of three weeks plus two Sundays to get out and vote. There are numerous sites in the county to vote early in. This is very similar to Shelby county TN (Memphis)….a strong D/AA county is 25% off. Historically, in Memphis if the early voting is off by 25% then that will be about the difference on Election Day. I’m really surprised by these numbers
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Is anyone for Micah Beckwith?

C
crazed_hoosier2 said:
I think what happened with Beckwith is a symptom of the increasing influence of the social right in the Indiana GOP. It’s very concerning.

I know Mike Braun a little bit. He’s a good guy, very smart. I have no issue at all with him, I even cut him a check.

But he’s obviously not being helped by Beckwith’s presence on the ticket. And I honestly don’t think the people responsible for putting him there care.

It’s giving Dems a golden opportunity to get back on their feet in state politics.
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I don’t know Braun. But I’m very concerned about his political acumen because he was the only person in the room at the state GOP convention who didn’t know about the knife in his back. His administration could get run over by the legislature and his own Lt Governor.
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The next president inherits a remarkable economy

JamieDimonsBalls
Digressions said:
Because the only thing relevant to the ability of a person to participate in a market is the amount of money they have relative to everyone else.
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We are probably viewing this situation different, but I suppose I don't get why dismissing relativity is sensible. The additional cash the lower income earner earns or spends has a materially larger benefit vs. a higher dollar quantity of the higher earner. If that lower income individual can provide higher quality food, buy things for the family, etc.

Are you thinking more along the lines of - there is a larger discretionary figure, of which some will be spent on incremental items that benefit the economy as a whole more since even if half of that figure gets spent vs. saved, it has a larger dollar impact on the economy (GDP, job creation, etc.)?
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Sounds like Rourke will play

Grateful Redbeard
76-1 said:
My guess is that they put a slightly extended splint on the nail side and turn him loose... As long as he doesn't try to catch the snap using his thumb tip (straight on) he's good to go...

Handling the snap will be the key... That and handling the pain... M$U will definitely be making an extra effort to whack it while theoretically going for the ball... He can expect to see a couple of late hits (with no calls) just due to their trying to get him out of the game...

He's probably begging to go... This game is part of his NFL resume' and his TEAM leadership cache... The NFL loves Leadership, availability and toughness and so do his Teammates...

If he gets some help from the Special Teams and the Defense we'll light them up in spite of the Refs..., and his injuries...

If the OL can keep him relatively clean I expect that he'll play well enough in the passing game to open up the run game and We Shall Crush Them...
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The best ability is availability :cool:
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