Polls - - a week out

[dbmhoosier]

She knows.

 

[Stuffshot]

They were allowed to examine the ballots, envelopes, and voter registration cards? Because that is the only possible way to detect the fraud we believe occurred. Anything else is a complete waste of time.

Hmmm.

Doesn't sound like you believe in secret ballots.

 

[dbmhoosier]

Exit polls are usually wrong but ..

 

[Aloha Hoosier]

Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Final Forecasts End In A Virtual Tie As Harris Closes Gap

Most polls indicate a tight race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.

www.forbes.com

 

[dbmhoosier]

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[cosmickid]

Exit polls are usually wrong but ..

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"Current state of the country" means different things to different people.Personally I would say I'm pretty angry that a convicted felon,fraudster and serial sex abuser is in position where people can actually vote for him for the POTUS...

 

[cosmickid]

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So this idiot thinks the Pubs have a 40-50,000 lead over Dems and Independents combined?

 

[mcmurtry66]

She knows.

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"Current state of the country" means different things to different people.Personally I would say I'm pretty angry that a convicted felon,fraudster and serial sex abuser is in position where people can actually vote for him for the POTUS...

That’s one hell of a stretch

 

[dbmhoosier]

@Joe_Hoopsier

 

[dbmhoosier]

 

[dbmhoosier]

 

[cosmickid]

Exit polls are usually wrong but ..

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Since you love exit polls, here are a little more on topic...

 

[Cortez88]

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You do how the Twitter algorithm works right? It keeps feeding you what you want to hear. And you keep posting them.

 

[sweetsilence]

It’s the weak women I’m scared of.

My wife would whip a low T male at births ass.

 

[Joe_Hoopsier]

@Joe_Hoopsier

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OK , FTR, I AM NOT in bama right now! But I really want more info in this ! LOL The old dude on the left with his glasses slid down his nose... "hmmm lets see where this goes"..

 

[Joe_Hoopsier]

You do how the Twitter algorithm works right? It keeps feeding you what you want to hear. And you keep posting them.

Thanks... This was never reported for that last 8 years. So with that, do you suspect that his Indiana report #'s are in error?

 

[Aloha Hoosier]

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Got to be happy with the terrorist sympathizers’ votes. Right?

 

[sweetsilence]

Got to be happy with the terrorist sympathizers’ votes. Right?

Don't think Hamas supporters are voting repub.

 

[Aloha Hoosier]

Don't think Hamas supporters are voting repub.

That’s exactly what dbm is cheering on.

 

[dbmhoosier]

Trump now at 71.5% to win per Decision Desk.

 

[stollcpa]

How poetic if stoll’s people broke norms to bring home a victory for stoll and his bride. Remember stoll went on rumspringa and never came back. He fell for the lore of English success then went back and helped raise the quality of life of over 3,000 Amish by serving as a broker, gatekeeper, and protector of his people from the intrusion of the internal rev service

Fate? Destiny?

Damn that’s pretty good.

 

[dbmhoosier]

 

[dbmhoosier]

@mcmurtry66

You did it.

 

[IUCrazy2]

You do how the Twitter algorithm works right? It keeps feeding you what you want to hear. And you keep posting them.

Mine doesn't. I seem to get a mix of red meat and rage bait.

 

[bailey777]

New battleground state polls appearing today in RealClear:

• Arizona (CNN): Harris +1
• Nevada (CNN): Trump +1
• Nevada (Trafalgar Group): Tie
• North Carolina (WRAL-TV/Survey USA): Tie
• North Carolina (Trafalgar Group): Trump +3
• North Caroline (Elon): Tie
• Wisconsin (InsiderAdvantage): Trump +1
• Michigan (Emerson): Trump +1
• Michigan (Susquehanna): Harris +5
• Pennsylvania (AmGreatness/NSOR): Tie

All but the Susquehanna poll (Michigan) are within the MOE.

So how soon 'til Trump declares victory? Election night? November 6? Tomorrow?

You lost and your boy 13 keys was dead wrong.

 

[bailey777]

New battleground state polls appearing today in RealClear:

• Arizona (CNN): Harris +1
• Nevada (CNN): Trump +1
• Nevada (Trafalgar Group): Tie
• North Carolina (WRAL-TV/Survey USA): Tie
• North Carolina (Trafalgar Group): Trump +3
• North Caroline (Elon): Tie
• Wisconsin (InsiderAdvantage): Trump +1
• Michigan (Emerson): Trump +1
• Michigan (Susquehanna): Harris +5
• Pennsylvania (AmGreatness/NSOR): Tie

All but the Susquehanna poll (Michigan) are within the MOE.

So how soon 'til Trump declares victory? Election night? November 6? Tomorrow?

1am last night after the race was called.

 

[dbmhoosier]

Just like I told you about the Iowa poll. Dems, the media lied to you with the hopes of creating a false narrative and demoralizing Trump supporters. Hopefully you'll stop listening to them.

 

[mcmurtry66]

@mcmurtry66

You did it.

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Just like I told you about the Iowa poll. Dems, the media lied to you with the hopes of creating a false narrative and demoralizing Trump supporters. Hopefully you'll stop listening to them.

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Daughtry!!!!! 🐐

 

[mattndallas]

You do how the Twitter algorithm works right? It keeps feeding you what you want to hear. And you keep posting them.

😄😄

 

[All4You]

I wonder what the polls look like today...

 

[Mas-sa-suta]

You do how the Twitter algorithm works right? It keeps feeding you what you want to hear. And you keep posting them.

Dumb and dumbass...

 

[JamieDimonsBalls]

It's unfathomable to me that half the country will brush aside the ransacking of the Capitol and the theft of state secrets and vote for Trump. I'm not shitting my pants yet, but I just might in a week or so.

I posted current polling numbers that reflect a toss up election. I didn’t think that would be triggering. But I guess I shouldn’t be surprised by your response and tone. Anyone who has a user name that references a guy’s balls has to be more than a little fvcked up.

 

[Bowlmania]

Lol. Rent-free, dude.

You'll have to direct me to the post where you predicted an easy Trump win.

I stand by the last sentence in the post you're responding to.

 

[TominDallas]

Ball game!

 

[stollcpa]

New battleground state polls appearing today in RealClear:

• Arizona (CNN): Harris +1
• Nevada (CNN): Trump +1
• Nevada (Trafalgar Group): Tie
• North Carolina (WRAL-TV/Survey USA): Tie
• North Carolina (Trafalgar Group): Trump +3
• North Caroline (Elon): Tie
• Wisconsin (InsiderAdvantage): Trump +1
• Michigan (Emerson): Trump +1
• Michigan (Susquehanna): Harris +5
• Pennsylvania (AmGreatness/NSOR): Tie

All but the Susquehanna poll (Michigan) are within the MOE.

So how soon 'til Trump declares victory? Election night? November 6? Tomorrow?

Looks like he could have on Oct 29. How did that Iowa poll work out. Harris by 3 plus? 😂

 

[JamieDimonsBalls]

Lol. Rent-free, dude.

You'll have to direct me to the post where you predicted an easy Trump win.

I stand by the last sentence in the post you're responding to.

 

[Spartans9312]

Dems feel increasingly bullish about PA, both in terms of early vote as well as ED prospects.

First off despite increased efforts and turnout from GOP registered voters, Dems still lead 941,000--547,000 in terms of votes cast by registered Dems vs registered Pubs. So nearly a 400,000 vote lead.

But beyond just the raw numbers, Dems are pretty happy with the composition of the early vote...

With the already demonstrated generation gap in the early vote in PA (Women lead by 13%), as well as the generation gap that shows up in actual polling it's reasonable to assume that some of the registered female repubs who voted early by mail so far are voting for Harris. And of the GOP mail votes that have been cast they are overwhelmingly coming from areas where Haley did very well in the Primary. For reference PA has a closed Primary and Haley got over 130,000 votes in PA despite the Primary occurring 7 weeks after she left the race.

We won't know how Haley voters split until after the election. But a significant number of GOP voters who cast mail ballots in 2020 actually voted for Biden. So it's pretty reasonable to assume a number of these early votes cast by Haley supporters are voting for Harris. But we won't find out till the votes are counted...

Also fully 93% of the early GOP vote comes from 2020 voters. Which means they aren't doing a good job of turning out new or lower propensity voters. Of that 547,000 votes returned early by the GOP, 47% come from voters who voted on ED in 2020.

On the other hand of the 940,000 votes returned by Dems only 12% come from people who voted on election day in 2020. That means the Dems total includes a combination of both mail voters from 2020, as well as New or non-2020 voters...


Have the returned numbers from Clark Co been updated yet. As of last night they were still lagging significantly behind...

 

[bailey777]

New battleground state polls appearing today in RealClear:

• Arizona (CNN): Harris +1
• Nevada (CNN): Trump +1
• Nevada (Trafalgar Group): Tie
• North Carolina (WRAL-TV/Survey USA): Tie
• North Carolina (Trafalgar Group): Trump +3
• North Caroline (Elon): Tie
• Wisconsin (InsiderAdvantage): Trump +1
• Michigan (Emerson): Trump +1
• Michigan (Susquehanna): Harris +5
• Pennsylvania (AmGreatness/NSOR): Tie

All but the Susquehanna poll (Michigan) are within the MOE.

So how soon 'til Trump declares victory? Election night? November 6? Tomorrow?

Harris plus 5 in michigan is comical. So is Harris up in arizona.