Polls - - a week out
- Thread starter Bowlmania
- Start date
I have no idea how it’s going to turn out. I listen to pundits and pollsters on both sides. They’re all guessing and generally guessing in favor of who they support.
I do know if Trump wins, the rioting, looting and burning Democrats will come out in force.
Tom Bonier addressed a variety of issues in the 7 battleground states in his briefing yesterday. Rather than reply to multiple posts about individual states, I'll just link his presentation where he goes into more indepth analysis that the Target Smart data provides. His presentation lasts about 20 min before the Q/A section begins. Since you seem to be providing your input on GA and NV in particular I'll just mention that he addresses questions on both states during Q/A...
Early vote in Georgia was quite different than it was 2020.
Rural I counties are up, younger voters are down and by what I saw it was 3% less AA. Complete numbers for 2020 in link above.
Rural Georgia counties outpace Dem strongholds as Peach State shatters early voting records
Georgia's rural, red-leaning counties have seen a significant uptick in early voting this year.www.foxnews.com
White was 56.5 AA was 27.7….the current data is 58.7 white and 26.2 AA but more important the white voters are not younger white voters in Fulton and DeKalb counties but from rural Georgia
I've already posted about early vote in PA, and why GOP gains there are not necessarily beneficial to Trump/MAGA. The Dems have about a 400,000 vote lead, and the Pubs have cut into the margins that Dems had following early vote in 2020 and 2022. But nearly half of the Pub vote is (48%) is comprised of people who voted on election day in 2020, and 46% are people who voted by mail/early in 2020.
So basically that means around 94% of the current early votes returned by registered GOP voters in PA are coming from people who voted in 2020. So up till now the GOP hasn't displayed an ability to turn out "new" voters and they will need to be able to do so to offset the proportion of their 2020 ED vote that has already voted..
That’s true, which is why any hoax will do. I do want to commend you on challenging “The Professor”. I’m not strong enough to do it. I just sit in the back of the classroom with my hood up praying he doesn’t call on me.
No one scares me. @BradStevens my mom and dad are from Affton
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Thats going to happen regardless of who wins.
I wouldn’t be shocked if there is some sort of terrorist attack on Tuesday. I’m expecting the unexpected.
You can rationally drown yourself into any conclusion you wish. It’s your specialty. In reality you’re reading tea leaves like the rest of us.
I saw this lady last night. She is awesome. It’s like a tiger mother who runs a Chinese Dry Cleaner in politician form.
I being the lead on every major network is not an argument in your favor. I guarantee you if it wasn’t Peurto Rico it would be amoething else. Hell, many left wing nut jobs, including elected nut jobs, panned the event because the Nazis held a rally in NYC in a different building at a different location more than 80 years ago.
Trump has no defense to this left wing nonsense. You shouldn’t pretend he is responsible in any way. He’s has said often he would not impose a national abortion ban, yet Kamala keeps on saying that. The media not only refuses to hold her accountable, it actually amplifies the lie.
Blaming Trump for Democrat/media lies and misinformation doesn’t hold water. They will lie and spread hoaxes because when it comes to winning the election, they have no rules.
I really don’t want Harris walz. The bail project stupidity comes right to our doors. The taxes will be painful. I will personally get whacked. For what. Gov waste. Pork. Some stupidity in schools. Etc
How would you know that, Stoll? I linked a poll that showed 20+ percent of Republicans think violence would be justified if Trump loses. Less than 5 percent of Democrats think violence justified if Harris loses. How could you know it would be the opposite of what that poll indicates?
That wasn’t rioting over the results of an election. Our side did that on J6 2021 and it was a huge embarrassment.
Murt, the Dems raiding people's homes and executing their pets is a much bigger FU than anything that comedian said. Trump is smartly jumping all over it.
There was nothing violent like J6 In 2016. I honestly don’t remember any violent election related riots in 2016. I remember some protesting and the lady screaming “NOOOOOOOO!” and the stupid pussy hat protest.
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I think that is partially offset by Biden taking the stage with his comment. Talk about bad timing on his part
To steal something “again” there has to be another time and there wasn’t. That you MAGAs turn on Republicans who are merely doing their jobs is nauseating.
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This is probably it for Virginia updates on early voting as the in person ended Friday…1,995,570 for 2024 versus 2,445,138 for 2020. Virginia had a lot mail in ballots this year and unlike Georgia or NC it’s early voting does not include hundreds of satellite sites. Similar story to Wisconsin with fewer AA and minority voters plus younger voters are hanging back. This 45% or so of total turnout. By age, race and what part of the state voted this early vote in 2024 is a big improvement for the GOP over 2020. It might be impactful as far as who wins the state but GOP candidates in VA2/VA7 certainly will benefit.
Anti-Trump protests, some violent, erupt for 3rd night nationwide
Police used pepper spray on demonstrators in Portland, Ore., after a peaceful protest turned into what they called a riot.
www.usatoday.com
So mostly peaceful protests, which is what I remember, and some small scale rioting caused by anarchists, which I don’t even recall. Not very impressive I guess. J6 certainly was impressive and embarrassing.Anti-Trump protests, some violent, erupt for 3rd night nationwide
Police used pepper spray on demonstrators in Portland, Ore., after a peaceful protest turned into what they called a riot.www.usatoday.com
Weren’t they mostly peaceful? That’s what the article said. I honestly don’t recall any violence and that article made it sound pretty rare so why would I? J6 was violent, memorable and embarrassing - especially for all Republicans.
Are you doing your best CNN impersonation?
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Yay. He gets the Hamas backers’ endorsement. Think that is going to fire up Republicans to join them?
Yes, I linked his column earlier and he calls out some GOP polls specifically as culprits, including some you’ve been linking. I’m convinced you don’t actually read beyond what your Trumpster Twitter Twits post. They give you their spin and tell you what to think and you obey like an obedient and loyal dog.
Adding Ron Paul. Are you kidding me?!?! I freakin love Ron Paul.
Hope those worthless government bureaucrat’s are polishing their resumes.
Here I’ll help them.
Employer: United States Department of Education
Year: 2020-2025
Position: Manager of Nonsense
Key Accomplishments:
- Tried to look busy
- Carried around a nauseating sense of superiority
- Destroyed educational outcomes via shutting down schooling
- Gained 50 lbs.
- Sent my estranged kids to private school
Whatever do you mean? It's definitely a level playing field. No advantage for either side. 😉
Please don't. This place sucks enough. You leaving won't help.
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