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One of the problems with going electric vehicles and machines etc.

No they won’t. Maintenance has gone way down in ICE cars. High mileage flush’s, 100,000 mile spark plug changes etc. so keep believing that these electric cars have as many fluids and parts. Because they don’t. Matter of fact brakes and tires are the same but the brakes will rust off the car before they need changed. The interfaces are just adapters mostly. The car will take care of the rest. Where you getting your info?

Take this to the bank. I was a lifer in the car parts business until the last 20 years of being employed full time. Then I retired and got this part time job delivering for NAPA. I was shocked at the changes. All I deliver anymore are fluids, filters, and brakes. Throw in a few steering and suspension parts and that's 95% of what goes out the door. There is no such thing as a "tune up" anymore. I can count the number of spark plugs I deliver in a week on my two hands. No caps, rotors, or wires. Even belts are rated at 60K miles. Oil changes at 10K and you can get away with 20K with synthetic oil.
 
This entire premise is made up crap, useless pearl clutching. I base this from the many farmers I know. My brother, my cousins, the people now farming the farm where I grew up.

You will see some electrification of farm equipment but there is absolutely NO plan to go 100% electric in 30 years, 20 years, or 10 years, let alone the preposterous 1 year changeover (2023) suggested in the looney bins opening post.

The niche for electrification even now is a substantial one: those of us commuting 20 miles or less each way daily to work, where charging can be done at home in off-peak hours or at the place of employment. That alone can make a huge impact, and its going to happen. The niche will then expand as EV driving ranges expand from 200 to 400 to 600 to probably >1000 miles in the next decade. Yes, battery technology and cost / resources spent in production will need to improve. Then it's viable for trucking and longer-distance moving of goods.
Truth doesn't matter to these woke idiots making up crap.
 
Sure it is. Mine is a screamer turbo 6 and gets areound 35 on highway and about 30 average. It’s a decent size car too. That mileage. was unheard of just a few years ago. It has mild hybrid technology which is a feature many cars have nowadays, but it isn’t advertised.
Bad thing is most of these turbo small cube 6 engines are going with open deck designs. Not a fan of those. My work car is a 13 escape 2.0. It’s a closed deck and the newer open deck stuff has inherent issues. This car has been great and it’s at 300,000 miles. Still gets 25 combined. Hybrids are great. I’m really on the fence. Hybrid is very attractive though.
 
No they won’t. Maintenance has gone way down in ICE cars. High mileage flush’s, 100,000 mile spark plug changes etc. so keep believing that these electric cars have as many fluids and parts. Because they don’t. Matter of fact brakes and tires are the same but the brakes will rust off the car before they need changed. The interfaces are just adapters mostly. The car will take care of the rest. Where you getting your info?
Why will the brakes last longer? Just curious and probably missing a key detail.
 
Take this to the bank. I was a lifer in the car parts business until the last 20 years of being employed full time. Then I retired and got this part time job delivering for NAPA. I was shocked at the changes. All I deliver anymore are fluids, filters, and brakes. Throw in a few steering and suspension parts and that's 95% of what goes out the door. There is no such thing as a "tune up" anymore. I can count the number of spark plugs I deliver in a week on my two hands. No caps, rotors, or wires. Even belts are rated at 60K miles. Oil changes at 10K and you can get away with 20K with synthetic oil.
That’s why dealers are having a hard time. Most gravy work left is brakes and tires. Flushes..etc. electric cars have even less parts.
 
This has nothing to do with IF EV CAN be much cheaper/ easier to maintain. This is totally about they WON'T be, once the market isn't being subsidized by the tree huggers that hate spark plugs. It makes zero business since to invest a couple hundred billion for them to make your life cheaper and then they never get another $ from you.

Joe, take this from a guy who spent the lion's share of his working life in dealership parts & service operations -- the only thing the manufacturers care about is new car sales. Everything else they're involved in goes toward that end, including -- believe it or not -- quality and reliability. The best and most reliable cars sell the best. That's why Honda and Toyota lead the field.
 
That’s why dealers are having a hard time. Most gravy work left is brakes and tires. Flushes..etc. electric cars have even less parts.

The guy running the Honda parts operation today is/was my protege. When I was running it we didn't want to have anything to do with tires. Total PITA. Too much inventory $$$, too much space, too many SKUs, and not enough margin. He had to get into the tire business several years back just to keep his head above water. Said if it wasn't for crash parts and tires they'd be in a world of hurt.
 
Really? So a guy in the automotive industry for 30 plus years isn’t worthy? Listen Joe Joe. I can go toe to toe with you. I’m not sure you’ve noticed but most of the subsidizing is over. You can’t say that with big oil? You can’t say that with big energy trying to hold onto power. They are trying to keep that dirty Monopoly money but go on with your extensive knowledge of the automotive industry.
Joe Joe, I like that and it made me chuckle.
This isn't a pissin match about the auto industry. It's a business/ product focus discussion. They are NOT going to design these things to last a million miles. Through natural attrition and designed obsolescence they have got to get you back into the show room every 3-7 years or they go broke. They can extend that time range buy designing the vehicles a little differently but they have to get your $ every 3-7 years some why.
How many 6 yrs old dead Prius are around now that take $10k to replace the battery and stop the smoke that comes from under the dash when you turn on the wind shield wipers? They don't get fixed, they get you back on the lot.
Like Mark said, it may not be spark plugs caps and rotors, it will be interface boards, Resistors, HBI panels. When everything is all summed up, it will cost equal too, or more than now. It's just business. This is NOT about saving a damn penny for you and I.
 
Joe, take this from a guy who spent the lion's share of his working life in dealership parts & service operations -- the only thing the manufacturers care about is new car sales. Everything else they're involved in goes toward that end, including -- believe it or not -- quality and reliability. The best and most reliable cars sell the best. That's why Honda and Toyota lead the field.
That is exactly what I was saying. Now there could be some hang up on the original comment being about "Maintenance", I can walk that back some. But over all ownership cost will not be cheaper. Especially since the little maintenance that will need to be done due to actual failures now will require a pHd (so to speak).
 
How many 6 yrs old dead Prius are around now that take $10k to replace the battery and stop the smoke that comes from under the dash when you turn on the wind shield wipers? They don't get fixed, they get you back on the lot. Like Mark said, it may not be spark plugs caps and rotors, it will be interface boards, Resistors, HBI panels. When everything is all summed up, it will cost equal too, or more than now. It's just business.

Now you're talking repairs, not maintenance. There's no question that maintenance is waaay down. Repairs are another question, that may or may not play out as you describe.

My wifes creampuff 2015 Focus in down in the shop with a fvcked transmission control module. It's covered under their 8/80 emissions warranty. Even after that, Ford is covering this particular issue up to 10/100. They're even providing free rental cars. Why? Because they want her to buy a new Ford some day (not happening) or at least tell people she was treated well. It's all about selling the next new car.
 
Bad thing is most of these turbo small cube 6 engines are going with open deck designs. Not a fan of those. My work car is a 13 escape 2.0. It’s a closed deck and the newer open deck stuff has inherent issues. This car has been great and it’s at 300,000 miles. Still gets 25 combined. Hybrids are great. I’m really on the fence. Hybrid is very attractive though.

Victor, if you don't mind me asking, what IS your automotive industry background? Just curious.
 
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That is exactly what I was saying. Now there could be some hang up on the original comment being about "Maintenance", I can walk that back some. But over all ownership cost will not be cheaper. Especially since the little maintenance that will need to be done due to actual failures now will require a pHd (so to speak).
No it won’t. Way less parts. Software is easy and three phase stuff is the same. We were learning and training on electric stuff in 2005. The biggest learning curve will be safety which isn’t all that difficult. Ownership is already cheaper especially the Nissan Leaf and now the bolt. Those are actually as affordable a car as you will get. Are they perfect? No but neither is any ICE. For my mileage I drive those cars would save me 100’s a month. My nephew is a college baseball pitching coach/recruiter and he uses a tesla model y. Goes to Chicago 2 times a month. Loves it.
 
Victor's an oil man too. Brings a lot to the board. Way better than all the nerds, lawyers, lawyer nerds, fake financial advisors, and worst nerds of all: academics.
I’m a geek too. I build stuff. I might even build some storage batteries soon. My son loves to get his hands dirty. I was a GM ASEP student, I worked on getting my certification. Became one of two World class certified technicians in indiana. Also was one of the first Cadillac V series field mechanics. I owned my own shop for five years too. (Hated that)I topped out in the industry (for my education)and left to be a traveling fleet mechanic in the oil industry. I got to do some research for IU too. That was fun. Very large crash study. Now I’m a plant mechanic. Doing the grind at home. Miss the freedom of the oilfield. Anyway I pretty much know how this stuff works. The big 3 wouldn’t be investing in this stuff if it wasn’t profitable. The jigs up on energy. You can’t say it’s a democrat or republican thing because this has been coming down the pike a long time. I saw it years ago in the 90s. Was told by a GM engineer it was coming. Solar is so stinking cheap right now. Easy to install especially now that the mini inverters have hit the market. Big energy sees it too that’s why they are hesitant to put more infrastructure in(among other things).
 
I’m a geek too. I build stuff. I might even build some storage batteries soon. My son loves to get his hands dirty. I was a GM ASEP student, I worked on getting my certification. Became one of two World class certified technicians in indiana. Also was one of the first Cadillac V series field mechanics. I owned my own shop for five years too. (Hated that)I topped out in the industry (for my education)and left to be a traveling fleet mechanic in the oil industry. I got to do some research for IU too. That was fun. Very large crash study. Now I’m a plant mechanic. Doing the grind at home. Miss the freedom of the oilfield. Anyway I pretty much know how this stuff works. The big 3 wouldn’t be investing in this stuff if it wasn’t profitable. The jigs up on energy. You can’t say it’s a democrat or republican thing because this has been coming down the pike a long time. I saw it years ago in the 90s. Was told by a GM engineer it was coming. Solar is so stinking cheap right now. Easy to install especially now that the mini inverters have hit the market. Big energy sees it too that’s why they are hesitant to put more infrastructure in(among other things).
Yeah your background means I will include you with the list of men who post here. Congrats.
 
Joe Joe, I like that and it made me chuckle.
This isn't a pissin match about the auto industry. It's a business/ product focus discussion. They are NOT going to design these things to last a million miles. Through natural attrition and designed obsolescence they have got to get you back into the show room every 3-7 years or they go broke. They can extend that time range buy designing the vehicles a little differently but they have to get your $ every 3-7 years some why.
How many 6 yrs old dead Prius are around now that take $10k to replace the battery and stop the smoke that comes from under the dash when you turn on the wind shield wipers? They don't get fixed, they get you back on the lot.
Like Mark said, it may not be spark plugs caps and rotors, it will be interface boards, Resistors, HBI panels. When everything is all summed up, it will cost equal too, or more than now. It's just business. This is NOT about saving a damn penny for you and I.
Dude, I know all about that but less parts is a win for us. 1st gen Prius was a success but it’s also not a true electric car and the batteries are old tech. Was a great car and a template. Batteries are now lasting over ten years (active heating and cooling) pretty regularly as the first Tesla is still going. The notion the batteries just sit around is old news. They are already being reused as storage. Lots of scrappers are mixing and matching cells to get even more life. The old leafs are still going on crappy degraded batteries. If you know what to do they make great everyday cars(not extended travel).
 
The guy running the Honda parts operation today is/was my protege. When I was running it we didn't want to have anything to do with tires. Total PITA. Too much inventory $$$, too much space, too many SKUs, and not enough margin. He had to get into the tire business several years back just to keep his head above water. Said if it wasn't for crash parts and tires they'd be in a world of hurt.
Most team up with tire warehouses and get them same day delivered for the space issue. Dealers will be vastly different very soon. Cadillac pulled some franchises this year to get ready. Some of those were a hundred year old legacy dealers too!
 
Dude, I know all about that but less parts is a win for us. 1st gen Prius was a success but it’s also not a true electric car and the batteries are old tech. Was a great car and a template. Batteries are now lasting over ten years (active heating and cooling) pretty regularly as the first Tesla is still going. The notion the batteries just sit around is old news. They are already being reused as storage. Lots of scrappers are mixing and matching cells to get even more life. The old leafs are still going on crappy degraded batteries. If you know what to do they make great everyday cars(not extended travel).
Fascinating. Cool stuff. Most the posters on this board just push papers. Talk. Create problems.
 
Fascinating. Cool stuff. Most the posters on this board just push papers. Talk. Create problems.
It’s nonsense for me to hear people say it’s not affordable. It really is. The fuel savings alone subsidizes part of the cost. Factor in solar with battery back up and it save or even generates money. It’s simple math. Even battery back up systems alone save some. You buy the cheaper off peak energy at night and run off battery during peak. Then add solar and it’s a game changer. Especially if you are smart enough to install it yourself. Big energy loves to push article after article on how bad solar is all while investing in it for themselves. It’s a crock.
 
@Cavanagh. Cav is in the commercial solar industry. He can tell you how crazy the market is. He’s better versed on the specifics.
 
I’m betting at some point there will be neighborhood co-ops for solar and battery. It will be an all out war with greedy government and big energy very soon.
 
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This entire premise is made up crap, useless pearl clutching. I base this from the many farmers I know. My brother, my cousins, the people now farming the farm where I grew up.

You will see some electrification of farm equipment but there is absolutely NO plan to go 100% electric in 30 years, 20 years, or 10 years, let alone the preposterous 1 year changeover (2023) suggested in the looney bins opening post.

The niche for electrification even now is a substantial one: those of us commuting 20 miles or less each way daily to work, where charging can be done at home in off-peak hours or at the place of employment. That alone can make a huge impact, and its going to happen. The niche will then expand as EV driving ranges expand from 200 to 400 to 600 to probably >1000 miles in the next decade. Yes, battery technology and cost / resources spent in production will need to improve. Then it's viable for trucking and longer-distance moving of goods.
Trains will be magnetically moved. Won’t need a conductor either. Will move massive amounts of goods. The technology is being held up with back door deals, lobby and dirty politics. Free market isn’t always free. Lots of greasy palms.

 
Most team up with tire warehouses and get them same day delivered for the space issue. Dealers will be vastly different very soon. Cadillac pulled some franchises this year to get ready. Some of those were a hundred year old legacy dealers too!

Yeah, I don't know the details of how he handles the tire side, just what he said and what I've seen sitting in his department. We have a local distribution center that most of the local shops use and I'm sure he does as well. If I was there, I'd have done everything I could to have fast movers on hand but on consignment.

I loved my time at the Honda dealer, insofar as the actual job was concerned. That job fit my skill set perfectly. I was damn good. It was in the mid-late 90s and early 2000s, when reliability was great (no warranty work to speak of) and the customers didn't bat an eye for $300 services at 30K and 60K and $1000 at 90K (timing belt and water pump). I was a numbers guy and had tweaked my inventory system to the point that my OOS numbers were minuscule (and rarely were of anything that impacted driveability or safety). I flouted the industry conventions and kept a wide and shallow inventory, but with the same inventory investment. I loved it when I passed out the last set of Accord brake pads at the same time the truck was backing up to the dock with my weekly stock order. My protege still tells people I'm the guy that taught him how to be an inventory control Nazi. I turned my inventory something like 8 times annually based on gross profit when the Honda benchmark was less than 5. My revenue numbers were 150% of Honda benchmark, as were my $$$ per employee numbers.

The problem was the suits. We had an absentee owner and the GM was his henchman. No matter how good your numbers were, they were never good enough. Nevertheless, since "numbers don't lie" and mine were freaking great, my monthly commission which was based on the numbers (and was the lion's share of my salary) kept growing and growing and growing. They couldn't deal with that. So they decided to start fvcking with the departmental P&L and the commission schedule. That was the last straw, and when I had a chance to jump I took it.

That was around 20 years ago. The dealership has since changed hands and is in a new facility. My protege says they're not nearly the assholes that he and I dealt with back in the day, but that it's gotten tougher to do well and it's not nearly as much fun as what it used to be.
 
Trains will be magnetically moved. Won’t need a conductor either. Will move massive amounts of goods. The technology is being held up with back door deals, lobby and dirty politics. Free market isn’t always free. Lots of greasy palms.

It’s nonsense for me to hear people say it’s not affordable. It really is. The fuel savings alone subsidizes part of the cost. Factor in solar with battery back up and it save or even generates money. It’s simple math. Even battery back up systems alone save some. You buy the cheaper off peak energy at night and run off battery during peak. Then add solar and it’s a game changer. Especially if you are smart enough to install it yourself. Big energy loves to push article after article on how bad solar is all while investing in it for themselves. It’s a crock.
I love that scene
 
Yeah, I don't know the details of how he handles the tire side, just what he said and what I've seen sitting in his department. We have a local distribution center that most of the local shops use and I'm sure he does as well. If I was there, I'd have done everything I could to have fast movers on hand but on consignment.

I loved my time at the Honda dealer, insofar as the actual job was concerned. That job fit my skill set perfectly. I was damn good. It was in the mid-late 90s and early 2000s, when reliability was great (no warranty work to speak of) and the customers didn't bat an eye for $300 services at 30K and 60K and $1000 at 90K (timing belt and water pump). I was a numbers guy and had tweaked my inventory system to the point that my OOS numbers were minuscule (and rarely were of anything that impacted driveability or safety). I flouted the industry conventions and kept a wide and shallow inventory, but with the same inventory investment. I loved it when I passed out the last set of Accord brake pads at the same time the truck was backing up to the dock with my weekly stock order. My protege still tells people I'm the guy that taught him how to be an inventory control Nazi. I turned my inventory something like 8 times annually based on gross profit when the Honda benchmark was less than 5. My revenue numbers were 150% of Honda benchmark, as were my $$$ per employee numbers.

The problem was the suits. We had an absentee owner and the GM was his henchman. No matter how good your numbers were, they were never good enough. Nevertheless, since "numbers don't lie" and mine were freaking great, my monthly commission which was based on the numbers (and was the lion's share of my salary) kept growing and growing and growing. They couldn't deal with that. So they decided to start fvcking with the departmental P&L and the commission schedule. That was the last straw, and when I had a chance to jump I took it.

That was around 20 years ago. The dealership has since changed hands and is in a new facility. My protege says they're not nearly the assholes that he and I dealt with back in the day, but that it's gotten tougher to do well and it's not nearly as much fun as what it used to be.
Yep. Typical dealer. Always moved the goalpost. Same here. We had a bonus structure nasa couldn’t even decipher. I remember how mad I got when we started parts matrixing. It was designed to screw the customers. I’d had it with upselling too.
 
Trains will be magnetically moved. Won’t need a conductor either. Will move massive amounts of goods. The technology is being held up with back door deals, lobby and dirty politics. Free market isn’t always free. Lots of greasy palms.

I’m old enough to remember when the oil companies bought the patents for, and then suppressed, the carburetor that gave 100 mpg. That was a crock of crap too.
 
I’m old enough to remember when the oil companies bought the patents for, and then suppressed, the carburetor that gave 100 mpg. That was a crock of crap too.
Ehh. That’s a bit of a myth. It goes along the lines of the brown gas generator. You still have to fill the cylinder with the right mix of fuel. If you don’t then it creates detrimental hot spots that drastically reduces life of the engine. That’s why smaller displacement with positive displacement(turbo/supercharger) engine are popular. Makes up for efficiency. I play around with turbo cars too. Own a Buick GN got 30 years. Fun stuff but it’s about run its course.
 
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Yeah, I don't know the details of how he handles the tire side, just what he said and what I've seen sitting in his department. We have a local distribution center that most of the local shops use and I'm sure he does as well. If I was there, I'd have done everything I could to have fast movers on hand but on consignment.

I loved my time at the Honda dealer, insofar as the actual job was concerned. That job fit my skill set perfectly. I was damn good. It was in the mid-late 90s and early 2000s, when reliability was great (no warranty work to speak of) and the customers didn't bat an eye for $300 services at 30K and 60K and $1000 at 90K (timing belt and water pump). I was a numbers guy and had tweaked my inventory system to the point that my OOS numbers were minuscule (and rarely were of anything that impacted driveability or safety). I flouted the industry conventions and kept a wide and shallow inventory, but with the same inventory investment. I loved it when I passed out the last set of Accord brake pads at the same time the truck was backing up to the dock with my weekly stock order. My protege still tells people I'm the guy that taught him how to be an inventory control Nazi. I turned my inventory something like 8 times annually based on gross profit when the Honda benchmark was less than 5. My revenue numbers were 150% of Honda benchmark, as were my $$$ per employee numbers.

The problem was the suits. We had an absentee owner and the GM was his henchman. No matter how good your numbers were, they were never good enough. Nevertheless, since "numbers don't lie" and mine were freaking great, my monthly commission which was based on the numbers (and was the lion's share of my salary) kept growing and growing and growing. They couldn't deal with that. So they decided to start fvcking with the departmental P&L and the commission schedule. That was the last straw, and when I had a chance to jump I took it.

That was around 20 years ago. The dealership has since changed hands and is in a new facility. My protege says they're not nearly the assholes that he and I dealt with back in the day, but that it's gotten tougher to do well and it's not nearly as much fun as what it used to be.
Typical corporate bull
 
Yep. Typical dealer. Always moved the goalpost. Same here. We had a bonus structure nasa couldn’t even decipher. I remember how mad I got when we started parts matrixing. It was designed to screw the customers. I’d had it with upselling too.

I was fine with parts matrixing. Using a fixed margin % is dumb. Some stuff you have to be competitive on, other stuff where you're the only game in town you can hit a home run on... as long as you have it in stock and the car gets fixed same day. That's where I shined. I had the part; you would pay a pretty penny for it but they didn't care all that much as long as the car would be ready by 5 o'clock. Nothing pissed them off more than having the car down in the shop and having to pay a premium for the parts that had to be ordered in.
 
Maybe. But we hear a lot of "no way we move to electric, it won't work everywhere, it is too expensive, etc". All that was said by perfectly content horse and buggy owners. It isn't going to happen in a year, but in 15 years electric WILL dominate much as the car replaced the horse.
Dominate? Depends in what context. Passenger cars, possibly. Over the road trucking, industrial, agriculture, much less certain. Tech & infrastructure is a looong way off. We shall see…
 
I was fine with parts matrixing. Using a fixed margin % is dumb. Some stuff you have to be competitive on, other stuff where you're the only game in town you can hit a home run on... as long as you have it in stock and the car gets fixed same day. That's where I shined. I had the part; you would pay a pretty penny for it but they didn't care all that much as long as the car would be ready by 5 o'clock. Nothing pissed them off more than having the car down in the shop and having to pay a premium for the parts that had to be ordered in.
Yep. Lots of same day or late/next day parts services. I always found it hard to explain to customers anything technical. They just don’t understand the car business in general. I hated owning my own shop. Always wanted a deal and fixed in less than 24 hours. Fired a few customers.
 
I’ve always thought plug ins with a gas engine back up was the best way to go. Better than pure hybrid or pure electric. The Chevy volt i believe was the first. But it never got good reviews. My daughter has a plug in hybrid Q5 and likes it a lot. A little small for her family though.
I'm dreaming of a day when hybrids can get 250 miles of EV range, but still have the gas option in case I'm driving back to Indiana and would rather take a five minute break to fill up than a 30 minute one.

Plus as far as efficiencies go, my understanding is electric rules from 0 to 60 but gas is more energy efficient above 60.

Again making the most sense for a hybrid.

Lastly when people ask 'just wait til the battery dies' it then just turns into a car that gets 35 to 40 mpg.

There are volts out there with 500,000 miles on them. The battery struggles to hold a big enough charge anymore but it still works because the gas generator.

And those are first generation models that are still going.
 
Dominate? Depends in what context. Passenger cars, possibly. Over the road trucking, industrial, agriculture, much less certain. Tech & infrastructure is a looong way off. We shall see…
Especially with the negative view of electric. Local trucking will probably be very soon.
 
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No they won’t. Maintenance has gone way down in ICE cars. High mileage flush’s, 100,000 mile spark plug changes etc. so keep believing that these electric cars have as many fluids and parts. Because they don’t. Matter of fact brakes and tires are the same but the brakes will rust off the car before they need changed. The interfaces are just adapters mostly. The car will take care of the rest. Where you getting your info?
When I was researching one guy mentioned that the only problem he had was one of the breaks dropped.

I was like 'ummm wut!!!?'

Then he clarified it was from lack of use.
 
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Yep. Lots of same day or late/next day parts services. I always found it hard to explain to customers anything technical. They just don’t understand the car business in general. I hated owning my own shop. Always wanted a deal and fixed in less than 24 hours. Fired a few customers.

LOL. There was a time when I had a computer repair business I ran from home. Not enough to be a "real" business, but enough to know I didn't want to take the dive and open up a real shop. Even then I fired a few customers myself, or at least priced their repairs such that they chose to go elsewhere.
 
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