The take which you just put forth is pretty much my take. I would add though that I believe that the injuries which IU did have were the catalyst. Should Archie have performed better? To my layperson eye, I think the answer is absolutely. However, the Big Ten last year was so tough and so well coached that I'm willing to hand out a mulligan in the hope that the young coach learned some valuable lessons that will serve to make him that much better going forward.
My confidence in Miller is shaken somewhat, but I will not be surprised if he is in the running for COY accolades next spring. I'll pull up just short of predicting it with confidence this year, but it would not require divine intervention for IU to have a great season this year...imo