What if the 7 wins are:
OSU, @NEB, PUR, IOWA, PSU, MINN, WIS
Like you said, puts us at 19-12. For conversation sake, let’s say we drop 1st round of BTT again, 19-13, 9-11 Conf.
Took a look at the current NET rankings (which of course will change over the next 7 weeks) but just for fun these wins would put us at:
4-12 vs. Q1
5-0 vs. Q2
It’s one more Q1/Q2 win than last year, and similar to Ohio State’s resume last year (11 seed). Our NET probably ends up ~50-55 in that scenario.
Seems the committee sways back and forth every few years on evaluating and rewarding for total wins or strength of schedule. Do those wins keep us on the right side of the bubble sub 20 wins? Likely. Any less though, could be interesting.
...One step further, the conference is probably strong enough within to prevent a NET slide outside top 75 for teams like Purdue & Iowa even if they stay near the bottom of the Big Ten. If they did though, then it gets really interesting if those are the 7 wins.