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I think the GOP wins the house by more than traditional off-year but less than the tsunami it seemed.Democrats Edging Out Republicans for Midterms in 'Generic Ballot' Polling
Republicans are still favored to win the House of Representatives in the 2022 midterms despite the Democrats' slight lead and recent legislative victories.
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I think the change in the last 4-6 weeks or so represents the maximum amount you're going to see abortion affect the results. A couple of points here and there. Might make a difference in a small handful of really close races.Democrats Edging Out Republicans for Midterms in 'Generic Ballot' Polling
Republicans are still favored to win the House of Representatives in the 2022 midterms despite the Democrats' slight lead and recent legislative victories.
Inflation calming down and decreasing gas prices the past few weeks has probably helped a good amount, as well. I think inflation will drift down the next several months before drifting back up, which should favor Democrats.
that's like picking gonorrhea vs. syphilis.... With a small dose of Chlamydia thrown in just for fun
Yeah - I don’t know what to tell you. I’m not surprised, but it’s also terribly early.
Good summary IMO. Once the midterms are over look for more Pubs to distance themselves from Trump. They just can’t do it quite yet.I think the GOP wins the house by more than traditional off-year but less than the tsunami it seemed.
Meanwhile the Senate GOP PAC has stopped ad buys in PA, GA, WI, and AZ. They bought time in CO and WA.
It looks like this is going to be a crazy election.
Senate Republican campaign arm cuts ad spending in at least 4 key battleground races
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We can thank Trump for this. He cost us the Senate seats in Georgia, and control of the US Senate and he's probably going to cost us the Senate again. Yet our hard-core Trump backers just don't seem to care. He can do no wrong in their eyes.Democrats Edging Out Republicans for Midterms in 'Generic Ballot' Polling
Republicans are still favored to win the House of Representatives in the 2022 midterms despite the Democrats' slight lead and recent legislative victories.
You should tell me that the raid backfired bigly and the American people are done with this deep state bs.
The raid did not backfire. The idiots were going to idiot but the thinking moderates and independents were very interested.
Let's face it... Trump is the best weapon the Democrats have and they know it. Too bad some the Trump cult crowd doesn't realize it.
Agreed re last election but this election as it pertains to the senate we republicans simply have some awful candidates
Then why are they trying so hard to stop him from running in 2024? You make no sense.
Trump had a hand in some of those awful candidates.
That’s usually MoE for polls. They always seem to be off by 4-5% for D’s.
If he was so easy to beat you think they would want to run against him.
Republican turnout has been through the roof. No summer dem push polls will change what's coming. Every cycle they dothese nonsense polls like mark kelly up 17 over mcsally. Lol it's all bs
Lol I bet you 1000 dollars the gop gains at least 20 seats in the house. Deal?Democrats Edging Out Republicans for Midterms in 'Generic Ballot' Polling
Republicans are still favored to win the House of Representatives in the 2022 midterms despite the Democrats' slight lead and recent legislative victories.
Emerson is one of the few legit pollsters. You gov is beyond awful and always way off to make the dems look much stronger than they are.
The average midterm loss for a party in power is 26 seats, losing 20 would be incredibly good for the D's.
How do Bidens taste?
Herschel says he never talked to Trump about running and is mad at Trump. The Good Lord told Herschel to run
He lost the popular vote twice. It was a landslide popular vote loss in 2024. I just don't understand the devotion some of you have for a loser. Trump hates losers and he is one. He's greatly reduced our chances of winning back the Senate this November, yet none of that means anything to the Trump devotees. I don't get it.
They don't recognize that he induces the other side to show up in greater numbers to vote against him. People who may otherwise stay home
Grievance politics with a healthy dose of nativism. That's always been the formula. It doesn't appeal to everyone, but the people it does appeal to really, really like it.
The myth of the silent majority. Trumpers aren't the only ones susceptible to this, of course. We all fall for it to an extent. But they seem especially prone to believe that the vast majority of Americans secretly think just like they do, and so when their guy loses, it must be some kind of funny business.
I like winners. I don't like Trump anyway, I strongly disliked him when he was just a rich democratic celebrity scum bucket businessman, but I especially dislike political losers and he is a YUGE loser.
You are wrong, we do recognize that fact. This is where there is an internal struggle (speaking for only myself). The "rule" of an election, from the elementary level view, should be simple. Everyone vote for the person they feel will best forward their interest. Simple.
It will be interesting to see how the polls turn out. I tend to agree they are bias towards Democrats, but how much? 538 has the senate most likely turnout as Democrats picking up a seat.
Oh I don't think they are... they are keeping him front and center. They know how Trump is gonna react... all the stuff just makes him more likely to run.
agreed wholeheartedly.... Trump is the only thing keeping the Dems afloat right now. He is the gift that keeps giving... and too many Republicans are too engrossed in "Trumpism" to realize what's happening. It is truly time for a valid 3rd party to rise up from the pit
The last two elections left the losers screaming foul and the chad conspiracy theories prior to that.
