Can we stop citing Rasmussen polls?

[TheOriginalHappyGoat]

A few years ago, Rasmussen was a pretty solid pollster. Yeah, their methodology was not preferred, and they displayed a moderate GOP bias, but overall, they produced polls that were pretty close to reality, and a very slight adjustment to the left was all that was needed to close the gap. In short, they weren't very different from any other mildly partisan pollster.

But not anymore. They are way off the mark, now, and the 2018 midterms prove it. Missing the mark by nearly ten points isn't just simple bias. It's a sign of something deeply wrong with methodology. And, worst of all, they seem to refuse to recognize that something is wrong, meaning their polling in the future might go even further from reality.

 

[Morrison]

A few years ago, Rasmussen was a pretty solid pollster. Yeah, their methodology was not preferred, and they displayed a moderate GOP bias, but overall, they produced polls that were pretty close to reality, and a very slight adjustment to the left was all that was needed to close the gap. In short, they weren't very different from any other mildly partisan pollster.

But not anymore. They are way off the mark, now, and the 2018 midterms prove it. Missing the mark by nearly ten points isn't just simple bias. It's a sign of something deeply wrong with methodology. And, worst of all, they seem to refuse to recognize that something is wrong, meaning their polling in the future might go even further from reality.

But I’ve been told by Trumpers it’s the most accurate polling firm, since they routinely have his daily approval hovering around 50%.

 

[wiede]

But I’ve been told by Trumpers it’s the most accurate polling firm, since they routinely have his daily approval hovering around 50%.

Any poll that doesn’t use cell phones is outdated in its methodology.

The assumption that younger eligible voters don’t vote, and suburban women vote republican almost have to be part of their methodology. And both are clearly inaccurate- at least while Trump is in office.

 

[VanPastorMan]

Any poll that doesn’t use cell phones is outdated in its methodology.

The assumption that younger eligible voters don’t vote, and suburban women vote republican almost have to be part of their methodology. And both are clearly inaccurate- at least while Trump is in office.

Don't forget black men. Some are blaming them for Republican wins in Florida because some of them voted for Trump.

 

[cosmickid]

Don't forget black men. Some are blaming them for Republican wins in Florida because some of them voted for Trump.

What in the world does this inane comment have to do with the thrust of this thread? We are discussing Rasmussen becoming an outlier among pollsters due to incorrect,outdated methodology...

 

[VanPastorMan]

What in the world does this inane comment have to do with the thrust of this thread? We are discussing Rasmussen becoming an outlier among pollsters due to incorrect,outdated methodology...

I was commenting on Wiede's comment. He was talking about assumptions. The assumption is 90% plus of black men are going to vote Democratic. Florida showed this was not true.

 

[Marvin the Martian]

I was commenting on Wiede's comment. He was talking about assumptions. The assumption is 90% plus of black men are going to vote Democratic. Florida showed this was not true.

I was just looking at exit polling, 91% voted D for governor and 88% for senate.

 

[UncleMark]

I was just looking at exit polling, 91% voted D for governor and 88% for senate.

Yeah, but was it exit polling from Rasmussen?

 

[Marvin the Martian]

Yeah, but was it exit polling from Rasmussen?

That poll had the black male vote 50-50.

 

[Fro]

Scott Rasmussen actually hasn't worked for Rassss since 2013

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-rel...g-american-political-sentiment-300703850.html

When he left they got completely divorced from reality.

 

[JamieDimonsBalls]

I was just looking at exit polling, 91% voted D for governor and 88% for senate.

So then what in God's name is VPM talking about? @VanPastorMan