mcmurtry66 said:

No. pre msg trump was leading and Harris has regained. Use google. You’re becoming as ate up as dbm. This is one of many.

Kamala Harris ahead in enough swing states to win, Times poll says

Final survey before the 2024 US election shows the Democrat leading Donald Trump in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin

www.thetimes.com

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Use the RCP average and Silver. They’re the best aggregators. That times poll would be an outlier. You’re imagining things.

E.Z.Rider said:

Reminds me of what Notre Dame fans say "Notre Dame never lost a football game, they just ran out of time."

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Relatedly, that was also a refrain used by Vince Lombardi's Green Bay Packers ... It is an interesting reframing.

They BOTH SUCK. I blame the parties for giving us a choice of 2 morons. I wrote-in for Haley.

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mcmurtry66 said:

Good intel Spartans per usual. @dbmhoosier what are we hearing? Widespread cheating?

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ChicagoFineForNow said:

Are you talking about betting markets?

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mcmurtry66 said:

Polls

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He doesn't know what he's talking about. And anyone looking at polls at this point is an idiot. We've known forever that they would dumb some voter suppression polls in the last few days. The CNN polls were beyond comical. They completely over sampled whites with a 4 year degree while drastically under sampling whites without. All by design.

mcmurtry66 said:

Trump was trending in the right direction then msg and a cycle of racism and the trending abruptly shifted. Perception matters. Was it coincidental. Hard to prove but I doubt it.

As I said two weeks ago trump is his own worst enemy. He’d have been better off hiding in a basement. His events only hurt him. Last week we’ve got racism and shooting politicians as the stories surrounding him. That’s self-inflicted stupidity

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Still waiting for what you’re pointing to that indicates the “abrupt shift”.

You might be the problem McM. Media has filled your head with so much garbage that you’re imagining shifts that aren’t there.

Race is 55-45 Trump like it’s been for a couple weeks.

IIRC, not long ago I heard a talking head (or multiple ones) compare the upcoming matchup with O$U to the 2020 season, all while still saying O$U was still gonna beat IU this year.

That game was an absolute shootout. Our D that year compared to this year isn't close. Our O now is more methodical and breaks down the will of the opposing D. Our O in 2020 relied almost completely on explosive plays.

Also, we now have a coach that "is a maniac in the 4th quarter."

I mean, I envision this is what will be going through the minds of everyone in Columbus when we show up and put down the Buckeyes:

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Marvin the Martian said:

The question was not about voting, it was about citizenship. Shouldn't VA have access to naturalization records to cross check?

Do you think people tell the DMV when they lose/gain weight, change glasses, change hair color? All part of your identity on your license.

If someone received their license 3 years ago, they most likely do not even remember that question. Do you remember every question on every form you filled out?

I posted a link elsewhere that there are over 2 million people registered to vote in multiple states. A clear potential source of fraud. Yet nothing has been done. Virginia left ERIC, the group that alerted states when voters moved. Doubtless there are more than 1600 voters registered in VA and other states simultaneously. But Youngkin doesn't give a damn about that fraud. Why not? Why don't Republicans care about it? Seriously, I keep mentioning it and you guys blow it off. Why did conservative states scared sh*tless about voter fraud leave the group that tracked a major possible source over the requirement to send postcards to non voters reminding them to register? If fraud is such a big deal, why?

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It's not fraud to be registered in two states. No one ever gets charged for that. People move and there is no requirement to notify the state you're moving from that you've moved and request that you be taken off the voter rolls. We only submit a change of address form to the US post office in your new state. I assume the state has a process to verify its voter roll which eventually removes the moved person from it. It is voter fraud for a person to vote in his new state AND his old state. I'm pretty certain that I was still on the voter rolls in Texas in Ohio in 2012. I retired from the Navy in September 2012, and I had been a Texas resident (though I didn't live there for nearly all of my career - it's a military thing) since the early 1990 through the end of my active-duty service. Since I retired in September and registered to vote in Ohio for the 2012 election, I voted in Ohio, and I expect that I was still listed as an eligible voter in Texas for that election. Obviously, I didn't vote in Texas. I would have had to have asked for the usual absentee ballot which I didn't do knowing I was now officially an Ohio resident. I suppose I could have, and they could have charged and prosecuted me for voting there too. I'm sure Texas purged me at some point because something in their process would have figured it out.

Courtsensetwo said:

Bottom line is that no one really cares.

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Interesting take since Purdue fans didn’t start this thread or the Purdue loses exhibition thread. For someone who always calls out Purdue fans for coming over here to seek validation - why start these threads about Purdue and Edey if no one cares? Of course you do!

UncleMark said:

They attested to their citizenship when they registered.

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One of the benefits of requiring state-issued Photo ID to vote is that eligibility can be reliably determined with plenty of time in advance in case there’s an issue.

Marvin the Martian said:

Well for you ersatz fans that moved out of the Indy market .

When my wife and I married, we discussed moving to Colorado or Cincinnati. CO was eliminated because of the difficulty in following IU sports, it is a passion we share. Cincy was eliminated because, well, it is Cincinnati. But we still could hear IU on radio, go to a lot of games, and get to sports bars in the Indy market pretty easily.

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My apologies for not prioritizing IU athletics high enough on my list

From the Balcony said:

Are the three states: delusion, denial, and despair?

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Indiana, Illinois, and Kentucky.

mrhighlife said:

What was the women vote split in 2020? So far women have cast almost 500k more votes in Georgia. Is that cause for concern for the GOP?

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They were 55% of vote in 2020

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Hot take: Tucker is a better all around player than Mgbako. He looks more mature and more comfortable on the floor. Where I would call Mgbako a shooter I would call Tucker a scorer.

Spartans9312 said:

Early voting in person is over in Georgia and appears to be good news for the GOP

Total Voted by Race and Ethnicity 2020 2024 numbers as of right now end of day Nov 1st
Race Count Percent
Non-Hispanic White 2,266,958 56.5 2,325,198 58.1
Non-Hispanic Black 1,110,567 27.7 1,057,585 26.4
Hispanic 105,852 2.6 127,308 3.2
Non-Hispanic Asian American 102,368 2.6 112,854 2.8
Non-Hispanic Native American 5,592 0.1
Other/Multiple/Unknown 421,818 10.5 380,623 9.5
TOTAL 4,013,155….4,003,568

2024 link

Georgia Votes

2020 link

Georgia Early Voting Statistics

Besides the decline in the AA and other vote there has been a shift from voters in urban areas to suburban and rural counties. Rural whites vote stronger R than urban whites. “Non voters in 2020” who voted early in 2024 show that the numbers are higher as % of the vote in GOP rural and smaller counties than the state as a whole. It’s not just Election Day voters from 2020 who turned out for the GOP but voters who did not vote in 2020 in those counties voted early this year. In addition to AA voters who lag behind 2020 it’s also younger voters of all stripes. You can see all the urban cities and areas that lag in early voting turnout….lets just say Atlanta plus Savannah, Macon, Augusta and Columbus are not alone

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What was the women vote split in 2020? So far women have cast almost 500k more votes in Georgia. Is that cause for concern for the GOP?

UncleMark said:

They attested to their citizenship when they registered.

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Great point!

JamieDimonsBalls said:

In fairness, 30 years ago there may not have been any way to watch several of these games

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Well for you ersatz fans that moved out of the Indy market .

When my wife and I married, we discussed moving to Colorado or Cincinnati. CO was eliminated because of the difficulty in following IU sports, it is a passion we share. Cincy was eliminated because, well, it is Cincinnati. But we still could hear IU on radio, go to a lot of games, and get to sports bars in the Indy market pretty easily.

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Bowlmania said:

Why in the hell are you talking about Oregon and Colorado?

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Mail in returns in 2024 are lower than they were in 2020 by just about the same ratios in Oregon, Colorado, California. It’s as if voters in CA, OR and CO are acting exactly the same. We are seeing many other similar patterns in various states. Why should mail in ballot returns for the various states not familiar a pattern from state to state. Washington is similar. The slowness in ballot returns are there as well. Washington, however, unlike Oregon, Colorado and California does not have party registration so it’s hard to look at that detail.

So CA, OR and CO are all showing these two occurrences.
1st total ballots that have been returned is down.
2nd as to the ballots that have been returned the % percent and the % of ballots per GOP registrations are improved in a relative basis to 2020 numbers for the R side. So GOP is better % wise in 2024 than 2020.

We are just a few days out so ….a couple conclusions. Mail in ballots for these states will eventually be (maybe we will know the number by next Saturday) lower in 2024 than in 2020. And unless the trend changes the GOP % relative to 2020 will be better.

QB1 is back!
IU 37
MSU 13
QB2 will finish in relief as Rourke stays healthy