ugh. The bell curve is it's just as likely we L by +20. as it is get a W.
*this started out short and grew and grew.... humor me.
Stats are very comparable however there as a couple of stand outs, specifically OSU's defense.
Red Zone
| IU RZ Scoring % | 97.92% (#1) | Opp RZ Scoring % | 85.71% (#73) | | OSU RZ Scoring % | 97.37% (#2) | Opp RZ Scoring % | 52.17% (#1) |
Passing yards per game and Sacks
| IU Pass Yards/Game | 265.2 (#30) | Opp Pass Yards/Game | 191.6 (#27) | | OSU Pass Yards/Game | 267.6 (#27) | Opp Pass Yards/Game | 160.1 (#5) |
| IU Int Thrown % | 1.95% (#36) | Opp Int Thrown % | 3.08% (#45) | | OSU Int Thrown % | 1.75% (#21) | Opp Int Thrown % | 2.65% (#64) |
| IU QB Sacked % | 4.10% (#30) | Sack % | 7.89% (#26) | | OSU QB Sacked % | 4.04% (#28) | Sack % | 10.20% (#5) |
Considering our two schedules, i would assume our numbers are somewhat padded. Let's face it, we've faced the lower 1/2 of the B18 so the stats favor OSU so overall, I discount our stats a bit.
But (rose coloring) we've out scored common opponents by 103, vs OSU's +59 ( Nwstn, MSU, Nebr). So there's that.
Other factors:
OSU is dinged and lost a key player, while IU is mended and now rested +IU
OSU has Day, IU has Cig. +IU
OSU has home field and preforms well at home. BUT IU had a bye week and time to plot = a wash
OSU has seen the tough challenge and tested multiple times, IU has been discounted and disrespected multiple times and has the "chip on the shoulder" = a wash
OSU has weaker kicking %, IU has a good FG % but in a small sample size. +IU
Overall, I think OSU very talented but I also think they are beatable. It's up to our Offensive Line period. Keep them off QB and get a handful of +10 yd carries.
If we can keep our offense on the field, and not have Michigan type showing, we keep this close and win a low scoring game on field goals.
IU 16
OSU 14
