Nice break for the Horns to play this game in Arlington. AT&T Stadium is technically a neutral site, but not really. Vivid Seats says Texas will have the crowd advantage (59%). I actually would have guessed a higher percentage for Texas, but that's still an advantage.
The ESPN Predictor (which is of questionable reliability) says Texas has a 50.6% chance of winning, so basically a coin flip.
Ohio State crushed Tennessee and Oregon on their way to tonight's semifinal. Easy pick then, right? Maybe not. Tennessee was a home game for OSU and the Oregon game was played at a legitimately neutral site (the Rose Bowl). Also, there were no surprises for OSU against the Ducks on 1/1. They had played them earlier in the season and gave that game away, so a revenge factor was also in play.
I"ll go with Ohio State to win and cover but, unlike last night's game, something makes me uneasy about this pick.