As the Mueller investigation intensifies, the comparisons to Watergate become unavoidable. But the one factor that made Watergate resolve itself with clear evidence of guilt were "the tapes". Nixon's voice on tape telling Haldeman to get the CIA to tell the FBI to "back off" was the proverbial smoking gun. But if we assume there is a "there" there with Trump-Russia, will the evidence be so indisputable for there to leave little doubt in the minds of the public as to Guilt?
In recent weeks, this investigation has veered off a Watergate track into a OJ trial path. You have a senior investigator in Peter Strzok assuming the Mark Fuhrman role of "crooked cop" whose bias against the accused has led to howls from the present day Johnie Cochrans (Fox News, Nunes, Jordan, Gaetz) of a "tainted" investigation. You can see dividing lines in the public between one side that wants the investigation to continue and to be focused on evidence and not bias, while the other wants it shut down and for the focus to be centered on "institutional bias"...with the FBI in the role of the LAPD. The lines prior were race...the lines now are more party/ideology. Which brings us back to evidence....
Let's say lacking a smoking gun tape, just how high a bar would there need to be for the evidence to be widely accepted as Valid? Let's say Mueller presents evidence of Russian Oligarc financing of Trump International through loans funneled through Duetche Bank. Would paper transaction statements be viewed as just a bloody glove "planted" by biased, swamp-creature, anti-Trump FinCen Investigators? I sense this is one of many reasons Mueller is taking his time. These complex investigations take time...but he knows he has to have "the goods"...and a substantial portion of the population is already in a conspiratorial mood as it relates to his team and their work.
No matter what happens, there will be disbelieving conspiracy-spinning defenders of the administration. The day Nixon resigned, a full 24% of respondents had a favorable view of the Nixon administration. But just how much "dirt" will Mueller have to present to get to that level certainty where only 24% or less are ok with seeing an impeachment or resignation come to fruition? I'm trying to think of the point where even Tucker/Hannity/Ingram would have to raise the white flag on 45, but I don't see it. Has Gaetz/Nunes ever heard of what happened to Earl Landgrebe's political career after '74?
In recent weeks, this investigation has veered off a Watergate track into a OJ trial path. You have a senior investigator in Peter Strzok assuming the Mark Fuhrman role of "crooked cop" whose bias against the accused has led to howls from the present day Johnie Cochrans (Fox News, Nunes, Jordan, Gaetz) of a "tainted" investigation. You can see dividing lines in the public between one side that wants the investigation to continue and to be focused on evidence and not bias, while the other wants it shut down and for the focus to be centered on "institutional bias"...with the FBI in the role of the LAPD. The lines prior were race...the lines now are more party/ideology. Which brings us back to evidence....
Let's say lacking a smoking gun tape, just how high a bar would there need to be for the evidence to be widely accepted as Valid? Let's say Mueller presents evidence of Russian Oligarc financing of Trump International through loans funneled through Duetche Bank. Would paper transaction statements be viewed as just a bloody glove "planted" by biased, swamp-creature, anti-Trump FinCen Investigators? I sense this is one of many reasons Mueller is taking his time. These complex investigations take time...but he knows he has to have "the goods"...and a substantial portion of the population is already in a conspiratorial mood as it relates to his team and their work.
No matter what happens, there will be disbelieving conspiracy-spinning defenders of the administration. The day Nixon resigned, a full 24% of respondents had a favorable view of the Nixon administration. But just how much "dirt" will Mueller have to present to get to that level certainty where only 24% or less are ok with seeing an impeachment or resignation come to fruition? I'm trying to think of the point where even Tucker/Hannity/Ingram would have to raise the white flag on 45, but I don't see it. Has Gaetz/Nunes ever heard of what happened to Earl Landgrebe's political career after '74?
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