Russia-Ukraine war has begun

[Marvin the Martian]

I doubt they’ll be very effective.

Early results are not good.

North Korean troops deserting Ukraine frontline days after arrival: Report

At least 18 soldiers provided to Putin by Kim Jong Un were said to have abandoned their positions after arriving to the front, Ukrainian media reports.

www.newsweek.com

 

[DANC]

Early results are not good.

North Korean troops deserting Ukraine frontline days after arrival: Report

At least 18 soldiers provided to Putin by Kim Jong Un were said to have abandoned their positions after arriving to the front, Ukrainian media reports.

www.newsweek.com

Gosh, who could have predicted that!?!?

 

[Marvin the Martian]

Gosh, who could have predicted that!?!?

I suspect the headline could easily be, "North Koreans surrender to man armed with loaf of bread."

 

[Spartans9312]

 

[TheOriginalHappyGoat]

View embedded media

Not exactly an unsurprising take from a guy like Kagan.

 

[Spartans9312]

 

[Aloha Hoosier]

Abrams tanks in Russia:

MSN

 

[Aloha Hoosier]

MSN

 

[Aloha Hoosier]

North Korean troops fighting Ukraine will be 'fair game,' U.S. warns Putin

North Korean soldiers were being disguised as Russians and were acting under the Kremlin’s command instead of their own, South Korean Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun reported to lawmakers Thursday, his office told NBC News.

www.nbcnews.com

 

[DANC]

 

[JamieDimonsBalls]

This isn’ta good sign

Thread by @clement_molin on Thread Reader App

@clement_molin: How long will russian 🇷🇺 offensive last ? It's been a year since Russia launched its Donbass offensive, today, they are capturing Selydove and Hrynk, threatening the whole ukrainian 🇺🇦 south Dontesk ...…

threadreaderapp.com

 

[DANC]

This isn’ta good sign

View embedded media

Thread by @clement_molin on Thread Reader App

@clement_molin: How long will russian 🇷🇺 offensive last ? It's been a year since Russia launched its Donbass offensive, today, they are capturing Selydove and Hrynk, threatening the whole ukrainian 🇺🇦 south Dontesk ...…

threadreaderapp.com

Russia has been making incremental progress for a while now, and they're paying a heavy price. But they keep the meat grinder going.

Meanwhile, Ukraine seems to be holding onto Kursk. It's a strange situation.

 

[TomEric4756]

This isn’ta good sign

View embedded media

Thread by @clement_molin on Thread Reader App

@clement_molin: How long will russian 🇷🇺 offensive last ? It's been a year since Russia launched its Donbass offensive, today, they are capturing Selydove and Hrynk, threatening the whole ukrainian 🇺🇦 south Dontesk ...…

threadreaderapp.com

I think you’re looking at a before picture. The offensive has cost Russians 100’s of armored vehicles.
The black lines below show the starting point nearly two years ago and the scale is in km.

 

[JamieDimonsBalls]

Worthwhile read

Thread by @RaduHossu on Thread Reader App

@RaduHossu: 1/18 Strategically, in the long term Russia has lost the war, but Ukraine may lose it in the short term militarily I. Two years ago, when I was still on the Eastern Front (Kharkiv Oblast), I...…

threadreaderapp.com

 

[DANC]

Worthwhile read

Thread by @RaduHossu on Thread Reader App

@RaduHossu: 1/18 Strategically, in the long term Russia has lost the war, but Ukraine may lose it in the short term militarily I. Two years ago, when I was still on the Eastern Front (Kharkiv Oblast), I...…

threadreaderapp.com

Good perspective on the long term effects on Russia.

I'm surprised he didn't mention Ukraine's incursion into Kursk as a prime negotiating point.

I'm also surprised no one really talks about internal Ukrainian development of longer range missiles. Because I'd bet they are hard at work on developing those now, since the US won't allow them to use ours. I think this could very well be the thing that brings Russia to the negotiating table, if it comes to fruition.

 

[JamieDimonsBalls]

 

[Aloha Hoosier]

8,000 North Korean troops in Kursk could join Ukraine war in days, Blinken says

The Defense Department said earlier this week it believes North Korea sent 10,000 troops to Russia. Now, most are in Kursk, Antony Blinken said.

www.usatoday.com

 

[Aloha Hoosier]

https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/03/europe/ukraine-powerful-russian-offensive-intl/index.html

 

[IUCrazy2]

https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/03/europe/ukraine-powerful-russian-offensive-intl/index.html

The Ukrainians don't have enough men to be in the kind of fight they have been in. Nobody wants to hear this but they are going to have to sit down and talk unless everyone is OK with kicking off WW3.

 

[Marvin the Martian]

The Ukrainians don't have enough men to be in the kind of fight they have been in. Nobody wants to hear this but they are going to have to sit down and talk unless everyone is OK with kicking off WW3.

They will have to sit down, but when and under what terms is up to them. Can we imagine France telling us we need to negotiate with England in 1778 under the idea England keeps the South? We shouldn't tell them what deal to take nor what deal not to take. It has to be their decision.

I suspect a stumbling block, among many, is what the government of Ukraine is after a deal. I suspect Putin has very clear ideas of what he wants.

We all recall footage of Putin and the giant table during COVID. He has little desire to be at risk. The odds of WWIII are always non-zero, but Ukraine doesn't significantly alter that. Putin is very aware of his mortality.

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/a9/Putin_and_Macron_meeting_with_a_large_table.jpg