Me either and I am simply an observer, reading others thoughts. Seems to be some theories that the Orcs know there is a shit ton of new things that go bang, with their names on them, that are inbound. They are trying to grab anything they can.. and are failing at it (but that is their stratagy).
As to your "luring" them out.... add on a dash of my conspiracy theory ability... I figure the MIC knew wellllll in advance that the pubs were going to cave and at least some of the unhealtcare boom toys, were already in place, or damn close. On the DL of course. Ukraine pulls back, dropping little scooby snack for the orcs to follow into the box trap.
The orc "200's" (now sunflower food)have been 650, 750, 800 ish per day for a couple weeks, then BAM.... 1340.
Another thing I've noticed for a while. Tanks and APV's #'s have been well down for a bit. I think the tank killed # is 12,000 now and APV's 14,000... Russia may actually be running low, FINALLY. Stalling on this aid package, maaaaaay have been for a reason. (total speculation).
Again, just my tea leaves.