You wouldn't think that if you actually read the bill. As we explained in great detail at the time.
Polymarket
- Thread starter snarlcakes
- Start date
Excuse me, but could you please tell us when dbm is scheduled to post his next "breakthrough" poll showing Trump winning?
They made a decent move in Trump's direction. Harris's lead in the popular vote also dropped to 61% for a little while and Republicans chances of sweeping increased to 40%. It's going to be interesting to see how predictive these markets are or are not in November.
It's obvious you guys are staggering your meaningless "polls" to exaggerate Trump's support.
It’s not a poll, it’s a betting market. Harris has good odds if you like her to win. Jump on it.
Last edited:
Yep. Rarely wrong. Sandyhook faked. If I was one of the parents of a child killed I would have gladly spent the rest of my life in jail to get the chance to hear him beg for his life. Then I’d execute him. He’s a piece of s** t.
Trump’s campaign is pushing fake polls to encourage turnout, as is the Harris campaign and media allies. Harris should win this going away.
The only concern is her campaign staff making the same mistakes Hillary’s did by trying to out Republican the Republicans. Why she is doing these boring events with Liz Cheney and Brett Bauer, instead of daily rallies in college towns to excite all the new young voters is beyond me.
The only concern is her campaign staff making the same mistakes Hillary’s did by trying to out Republican the Republicans. Why she is doing these boring events with Liz Cheney and Brett Bauer, instead of daily rallies in college towns to excite all the new young voters is beyond me.
I got all the bullet points - and think they basically ruined both the bill and its chances with the emergency authority triggers.
If the Senate authors of that bill had actually wanted to force House Republicans to show their cards and put Trump on the defensive, they should either have just moved the bill which had already passed the House or done this bill without requiring the encounter thresholds to trigger the “emergency authorities”. Just make them the normal default policy, with the goal (unattainable though it is) being zero encounters between POEs.
Doing what they did made it easy for House Republicans to decline it - without denting Trump’s advantage on the issue even slightly.
Ron Brownstein appeared on the Hacks on Tap podcast with Axelrod and Mike Murphy and kind of touched on this.
They made a lot of good points about what she is and isn’t doing and what she should and shouldn’t be doing. But the one that resonated with me the most is that she’s not really projecting a clear and concise closing argument (contra Trump who is going with the “they/them” ad and, of course, hammering immigration).
Instead, they see her as being transactional with this or that group that she’s lagging her target performance with (thus the Breakfast Club appearance and the possible Rogan appearance) - which necessitates narrow, tailored messaging.
Good Lord, man. I’m certainly no Alex Jones fan. But do you think fantasizing about murdering him is a good way to declare your presence on the higher moral ground?
What he said about Sandy Hook was cruel, crass, and heartless - in addition to being twisted and bizarre. But responding to his words by expressing a dark fantasy is pretty obviously a bit much. Maybe if it was directed at Lanza?
