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Polls - - a week out

Bowlmania

Hall of Famer
Sep 23, 2016
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New battleground state polls appearing today in RealClear:

  • Arizona (CNN): Harris +1
  • Nevada (CNN): Trump +1
  • Nevada (Trafalgar Group): Tie
  • North Carolina (WRAL-TV/Survey USA): Tie
  • North Carolina (Trafalgar Group): Trump +3
  • North Caroline (Elon): Tie
  • Wisconsin (InsiderAdvantage): Trump +1
  • Michigan (Emerson): Trump +1
  • Michigan (Susquehanna): Harris +5
  • Pennsylvania (AmGreatness/NSOR): Tie
All but the Susquehanna poll (Michigan) are within the MOE.

So how soon 'til Trump declares victory? Election night? November 6? Tomorrow?
 
New battleground state polls appearing today in RealClear:

  • Arizona (CNN): Harris +1
  • Nevada (CNN): Trump +1
  • Nevada (Trafalgar Group): Tie
  • North Carolina (WRAL-TV/Survey USA): Tie
  • North Carolina (Trafalgar Group): Trump +3
  • North Caroline (Elon): Tie
  • Wisconsin (InsiderAdvantage): Trump +1
  • Michigan (Emerson): Trump +1
  • Michigan (Susquehanna): Harris +5
  • Pennsylvania (AmGreatness/NSOR): Tie
All but the Susquehanna poll (Michigan) are within the MOE.

So how soon 'til Trump declares victory? Election night? November 6? Tomorrow?

Be honest Bowl... you are shitting your pants right now, just like Harris' campaign.
 
Be honest Bowl... you are shitting your pants right now, just like Harris' campaign.

Maybe not as much as the Trump camp after MSG rally. How fitting would it be if it turns out the PR disparagement ends up costing Trump the election?

But it's all relative, isn't it? The race-baiting and SXism was always built in, but who could have predicted Trump would have held a rally to roll it out to America through what they thought was comic relief right before the election? It won't matter to 90% of the electorate, but it very well could do him in where it counts.
 
Maybe not as much as the Trump camp after MSG rally. How fitting would it be if it turns out the PR disparagement ends up costing Trump the election?

But it's all relative, isn't it? The race-baiting and SXism was always built in, but who could have predicted Trump would have held a rally to roll it out to America through what they thought was comic relief right before the election? It won't matter to 90% of the electorate, but it very well could do him in where it counts.
It is all relative. Maybe signing up that progressive lying goof walz will be the difference in PA when Shapiro is right there
 
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It is all relative. Maybe signing up that progressive lying goof walz will be the difference in PA when Shapiro is right there
Can't argue that. If Harris doesn't take PA, she only has herself to blame. I'm guessing she was thinking more of Wis and Mich. While she's doing better than Biden would have in these 2 states, she probably wasn't expecting Wis and Mich to be this close having Walz on the ticket.
 
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It's unfathomable to me that half the country will brush aside the ransacking of the Capitol and the theft of state secrets and vote for Trump. I'm not shitting my pants yet, but I just might in a week or so.
Bc of progressives for many
 
It's unfathomable to me that half the country will brush aside the ransacking of the Capitol and the theft of state secrets and vote for Trump. I'm not shitting my pants yet, but I just might in a week or so.
It’s unfathomable to me half the country was okay with burning police stations, businesses and looting all summer. The democrat nominee raised money to get the criminals out on bail.
 
It's unfathomable to me that half the country will brush aside the ransacking of the Capitol and the theft of state secrets and vote for Trump. I'm not shitting my pants yet, but I just might in a week or so.
It speaks to how awful Joe and Kamala have been.

It’s the movable object versus the stoppable force.

I think anyone who thinks this election will be a landslide in either direction is nuts.
 
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Be honest Bowl... you are shitting your pants right now, just like Harris' campaign.
I posted current polling numbers that reflect a toss up election. I didn’t think that would be triggering. But I guess I shouldn’t be surprised by your response and tone. Anyone who has a user name that references a guy’s balls has to be more than a little fvcked up.
 
I think Mark just sees January 6th and can’t see past it.

I think it’s not as big a deal to a lot of people who are struggling every day, and blame Joe and Kamala for that.
I think you're wrong. I think it's a big deal. But I also think a lot of other things are a big deal. Lots of people are going to vote based entirely on their thoughts about abortion. A lot of others will voter entirely based on the cost of living crisis. A lot of others will vote based entirely on the fact that (insert candidate here) is an idiot who can't be trusted with the reins of government.

But it all evens out and adds up to a razor-thin 50/50 election. That's what we have. Stock up on booze, because next Tuesday is going to be a loooooooooooooooong night.
 
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I think you're wrong. I think it's a big deal. But I also think a lot of other things are a big deal. Lots of people are going to vote based entirely on their thoughts about abortion. A lot of others will voter entirely based on the cost of living crisis. A lot of others will vote based entirely on the fact that (insert candidate here) is an idiot who can't be trusted with the reins of government.

But it all evens out and adds up to a razor-thin 50/50 election. That's what we have. Stock up on booze, because next Tuesday is going to be a loooooooooooooooong night.
I’m offended that you assume I’m not ALWAYS stocked up on booze.
 
I think you're wrong. I think it's a big deal. But I also think a lot of other things are a big deal. Lots of people are going to vote based entirely on their thoughts about abortion. A lot of others will voter entirely based on the cost of living crisis. A lot of others will vote based entirely on the fact that (insert candidate here) is an idiot who can't be trusted with the reins of government.

But it all evens out and adds up to a razor-thin 50/50 election. That's what we have. Stock up on booze, because next Tuesday is going to be a loooooooooooooooong night.
Nothing will be resolved that day
 
I think Mark just sees January 6th and can’t see past it.

I think it’s not as big a deal to a lot of people who are struggling every day, and blame Joe and Kamala for that.
To Zep’s point, Puerto Ricans are pissed about October 27. It could cost The Con. Bigly.
 
To Zep’s point, Puerto Ricans are pissed about October 27. It could cost The Con. Bigly.
Yea, they’re really pissed😂 A failed campaign grasping so far they need to hang their hat on a dumbass comedian who has no part of Trump’s campaign.



 
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I think Mark just sees January 6th and can’t see past it.

You're right. That and the various attempts to overthrow the election. And the theft of state secrets, which no one seems to be able to justify or dismiss, so they just ignore it.

I think it’s not as big a deal to a lot of people who are struggling every day, and blame Joe and Kamala for that.

A lot of that blame is misplaced. The inflation spike was a shock to the system, but overall it's not been the cataclysm people like to make it out to be. The alternative was to risk a recession and job loss.

<cue mcm rant in 3, 2, 1...>
 
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You're right. That and the various attempts to overthrow the election. And the theft of state secrets, which no one seems to be able to justify or dismiss, so they just ignore it.



A lot of that blame is misplaced. The inflation spike was a shock to the system, but overall it's not been the cataclysm people like to make it out to be. The alternative was to risk a recession and job loss.

<cue mcm rant in 3, 2, 1...>
 
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You're right. That and the various attempts to overthrow the election. And the theft of state secrets, which no one seems to be able to justify or dismiss, so they just ignore it.



A lot of that blame is misplaced. The inflation spike was a shock to the system, but overall it's not been the cataclysm people like to make it out to be. The alternative was to risk a recession and job loss.

<cue mcm rant in 3, 2, 1...>
Honestly I’m okay with people holding on to Jan 6 and election shit. If that’s your reason it’s fine. What I don’t tolerate is this shitty admin’s glow up. They’re horrible
 
Honestly I’m okay with people holding on to Jan 6 and election shit. If that’s your reason it’s fine. What I don’t tolerate is this shitty admin’s glow up. They’re horrible
Not gonna lie, I'm kind of with you here, which hurts, because you're such an unbearable ass, but I can't get behind people defending Biden or Harris or really any Dems at all. The Democratic party of the past fifteen years has sucked major ass. I'm only voting for Harris because I think Trump is dangerous in the one area that I think is more important than all others. That's it.

I mean, if you really, truly think that Harris will be a great president, more power to you, but I honestly think you're probably full of shit. To me, she's simply Not Trump.
 
New battleground state polls appearing today in RealClear:

  • Arizona (CNN): Harris +1
  • Nevada (CNN): Trump +1
  • Nevada (Trafalgar Group): Tie
  • North Carolina (WRAL-TV/Survey USA): Tie
  • North Carolina (Trafalgar Group): Trump +3
  • North Caroline (Elon): Tie
  • Wisconsin (InsiderAdvantage): Trump +1
  • Michigan (Emerson): Trump +1
  • Michigan (Susquehanna): Harris +5
  • Pennsylvania (AmGreatness/NSOR): Tie
All but the Susquehanna poll (Michigan) are within the MOE.

So how soon 'til Trump declares victory? Election night? November 6? Tomorrow?
How is he doing with Hispanic voters in those states?
 
I posted current polling numbers that reflect a toss up election. I didn’t think that would be triggering. But I guess I shouldn’t be surprised by your response and tone. Anyone who has a user name that references a guy’s balls has to be more than a little fvcked up.

Ah, always deflecting because you are scared. I get it, your party’s strategy was a disaster and now you are grasping. Trump was far behind in the last two. A toss up means he is way ahead and the trends are Kamala headed into the toilet.

Follow the dollars.
 
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Not gonna lie, I'm kind of with you here, which hurts, because you're such an unbearable ass, but I can't get behind people defending Biden or Harris or really any Dems at all. The Democratic party of the past fifteen years has sucked major ass. I'm only voting for Harris because I think Trump is dangerous in the one area that I think is more important than all others. That's it.

I mean, if you really, truly think that Harris will be a great president, more power to you, but I honestly think you're probably full of shit. To me, she's simply Not Trump.
Fair
 
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Honestly I’m okay with people holding on to Jan 6 and election shit. If that’s your reason it’s fine. What I don’t tolerate is this shitty admin’s glow up. They’re horrible
I’m not and you’re turning soft Coach. There isn’t one damn reason anyone should vote for those socialist, Bitcoin hating, asshats. Zero. Zilch.
 
I’m not and you’re turning soft Coach. There isn’t one damn reason anyone should vote for those socialist, Bitcoin hating, asshats. Zero. Zilch.
I do think he tried to cheat the election. It was a F up. I knew we were in no danger and no it now but still. If it is for someone I get it. And you know I’m not soft. Want me to unload on our military guy?
 
It speaks to how awful Joe and Kamala have been.

It’s the movable object versus the stoppable force.

I think anyone who thinks this election will be a landslide in either direction is nuts.
Gas was $2.99 today in a state not named Missouri or Oklahoma (cheap tax states). Someone else saw $2.69 for gas elsewhere in the same high tax state.

Americans don't really care about gas prices -- or they wouldn't sit in their cars in front of box stores or groceries or in drivethrough lanes with their engines idling as they play with their phones.
 
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