I've been pretty close with the detailed predictions so far this year, so here goes:
IU comes out scoring early, up 17-7 after 1.
Things settle down and it's 24-14 at half.
The defense holds firm in the second half and Sheridan keeps his foot on the gas, IU wins 38-24 (with UM getting a late TD as the IU defense lets them kill clock dinking/dunking down the field).
Unfortunately, IU rushing yards under 90.