ADVERTISEMENT

lose to Oregon and win the rest does anyone have any idea

kurt cloverdales

All-American
Mar 3, 2020
7,859
7,886
113
what that would put our net ranking at, I realize there are a lot of moving parts and what other teams do over that stretch will also factor in. but for some of you who understand the NET rankings {I don't} could that possibly get us into the 40s, or would it basically keep us mid 50s
 
  • Like
Reactions: Bucket Getter
Just a guess...there are so many moving parts that are impossible to predict...

Current NET 56

Penn State...win...Net stays in the Mid 50's...probably 55.

Washington...win...Net moves a little because its a road win, not much though because they're ranked low...52.

Oregon...loss...net won't move much because of it being a Quad 1 road loss... 53.

OSU...win...net won't move a ton unless they're solidly a quad 1 level team...51-52 ish...

I'd say its unlikely our NET gets in to the 40s, unless we win out.
 
Just a guess...there are so many moving parts that are impossible to predict...

Current NET 56

Penn State...win...Net stays in the Mid 50's...probably 55.

Washington...win...Net moves a little because its a road win, not much though because they're ranked low...52.

Oregon...loss...net won't move much because of it being a Quad 1 road loss... 53.

OSU...win...net won't move a ton unless they're solidly a quad 1 level team...51-52 ish...

I'd say its unlikely our NET gets in to the 40s, unless we win out.
so, in reality winning at Oregon is the only thing that can help us, dropping one of the other games could really hurt.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Bucket Getter
so, in reality winning at Oregon is the only thing that can help us, dropping one of the other games could really hurt.
OSU win will help some but not as much as the negative impact of a loss.
But yeah, the OR game is our best chance to gain ground, at least until the B1G tourney.

AMS66 is correct...we're trying desperately to improve our grade late in the semester after flunking several exams.
 
so, in reality winning at Oregon is the only thing that can help us, dropping one of the other games could really hurt.
Depends on how you look at it. Losing to PSU and/or Washington would cause us to drop...maybe a fair bit.

But at this point, its pretty difficult to actually gain on the other teams ranked similarly to us.

The part that is frustrating, is our NET can move up and down without us playing a game. Generally, the wins and losses the opponents on our record incur, largely offset each other. But if we had a schedule dynamic that might lead to 2-3 key opponents winning a few games in a row, or losing a few games in a row, and moving up or down a Quad level because of that...it could move us more than a spot or two.

In the end...

win all 4 remaining games, we'll be in safely, even if we lose first game of BTT.

Lots of combinations of 3 wins that might get us on the right side of the bubble, but we'd need a win or two in the BTT, I suspect.

No combinations of 2 wins that get us at large consideration, even if we make a run to BTT title game.

All my opinion, obviously.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Bucket Getter
I think IU has to get to 20 wins
I don't think that's true, if you mean total wins. 2 more regular season wins, then 2 BTT wins gets us to 20...but almost assuredly would NOT get us in the tournament.

20 regular season wins? You're right for sure.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Bucket Getter
I don't think that's true, if you mean total wins. 2 more regular season wins, then 2 BTT wins gets us to 20...but almost assuredly would NOT get us in the tournament.

20 regular season wins? You're right for sure.
yeah 20 regular 'should' do it. that means we end on a 5 game streak with maybe 2 more Q1 wins and 'hopefully' go into the B1G tourney in the NET upper 40s and a .500 conf record. That usually means a ticket punched.
 
yeah 20 regular 'should' do it. that means we end on a 5 game streak with maybe 2 more Q1 wins and 'hopefully' go into the B1G tourney in the NET upper 40s and a .500 conf record. That usually means a ticket punched.
I can't think of a situation where that wouldn't do it. Maybe if we got drilled in the BTT by 30 or something?
 
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT