Not really disagreeing with you, but I've become numb to claims that people are "leaving" a state. Hard to prove, it seems.
Are the claims of "leaving" based on documented cases of people known to be physical residents of one state certainly, actually, undeniably going through the BS of packing their stuff into a truck, canceling their utilities, cleaning their vacated residence and driving the rental truck at 50 mph two days to a different state?
Or ...
Are these claims based on a calculation or estimate of one state's reduction in population correlated somehow to a calculation of another state's gain in population?
So many of these claims seem to involve population increases in Texas and, frankly, I wonder if anybody in Texas would even provide that information. Maybe I'm wrong though.