There’s something to that point.
a sports psychologist might help (and I am serious). It’s been an issue for years. Whether they expect to lose, are relieved to lose, etc.., it’s clearly an issue.
I remember when the Cubs lost that playoff game when Bartman (fan in stands) caught that foul ball. I told a bunch of Cubs fans that I thought the Cubs were relieved to have had that happen, that it gave them an excuse to lose. Of course they thought I was nuts, but who knows. The mind is a powerful thing: for good or bad.
My opinion on this is "winning" is baked into the cake. Its foundational. Obviously you can help your cause by recruiting "winners". In basketball, a singular player can have a much larger impact on whether a team wins or loses, than team sports like football or baseball. So you can win ball games in basketball, without a winning culture being baked into your cake. But its rare, and its not repeatable or reliable.
Tom Crean is a prime example of this. I don't think he does, basically anything, for a basketball program that's trying to create long term, reliable success. When he hits on recruits, he has success. Dwayde, Cody, Vic, Yogi, Bryant, Troy Williams...when he hasn't had kids like that, he hasn't had success. Heck, even when he has had kids like that, he's had bad years...Anthony Edwards as a prime example.
The question I'm asking myself right now...is Woodson establishing a winning culture? Did that start at his first team meeting? Did he lay out expectations that day that lead to reliable, repeatable success? Always being on time, competing at 100 percent on every rep, focusing on your own duties and jobs, not being o.k. with mental laziness and/or mistakes...etc... Programs like Wisconsin, Kansas, Baylor now seemingly, Duke, Purdue lately...they're all VERY different in their approach. There's a wide difference in talent levels, types of players, styles of play. So why are they all consistently very successful? I think its because those programs focus on foundational things that expect/demand their players to pay attention to, and are held accountable to, on a daily basis...heck on an individual rep basis. And that practice and mindset becomes so engrained into their basketball DNA, that when they're on the road, late in February, and find themselves needing to make winning plays late in a game...they're relying on them to execute habitual things that they've all done literally thousands of times, over and over and over again. They're not relying on kids to "get hot", or "rise to the occasion"...just do your job the way you've done it countless times before, and we'll be fine.
The things above can take some time. There are countless examples of great coaches that didn't have great years in their first seasons...or even first couple seasons. So I hope Woodson is building a winning culture. It doesn't appear that he is, from the results we're seeing on the court. From some of the off the court issues this team has had. Many people lauded Coach Woodson for the NW games suspensions. Saying he's "building a culture"... My comeback to that would be...He should have had a culture built before that, starting back in July when they all got together for Bahamas...that would have created an environment where those kids wouldn't have made those decisions in the first place that night.
There are improvements though. So despite the visual evidence to the contrary. I'm hanging on a few things to keep me optimistic about the direction of Woody's program. Defense, turnovers, free throws, and creating and taking good shots. I don't think there's any question all of these things have improved as the season has wore on. Visually they look like they have. I'm sure the numbers back that up, mostly, though I haven't really looked closely at them.
So maybe with a full offseason, and a year under his belt, Woody will be able to build on these improvements, make them become more foundational, and repeatable, and continue to establish new "floors".
I'm MUCH, MUCH, MUCH less worried about who stays, and who he gets to replace who leaves, than I am about the things I wrote about above.