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If only Putin had used the wrong pronouns . . .

Biden's pre-invasion public release of his Intel had a major influence on involving the West. That’s plainly obvious to everyone except, evidently, you.

The US and allies are already putting up resistance and the limited amount leaves plenty of options for escalation. Putin knows this and it isn’t stopping him. That undercuts your argument, if force is persuasive.

The one point where I think Biden should be more open and forceful is in threatening Putin with future consequences. This wasn’t possible at the outset because the west wasn’t so united but now we are. Biden should publicly tell Putin The economic sanctions will last until the Russian military leaves Ukraine and Crimea completely and entirely. Putin wouldn’t like that one iota. He would bluster and counter threaten but that would scare the living beJesus out of every Russian actor aware of the threat.
1) I absolutely do agree that Putin thought that now was the time to act after the Afghanistan debacle. He (correctly) figured that we would have no stomach to send troops right back into the fray. So the timing was right.

2) The problem I have with the saying that Putin didn't invade the Ukraine during Trump's watch is that it excludes all other factors from the story. There are SEVERAL major events that have happened in the world that could have been major reasons for Putin invading now as opposed to a few years ago.

For example:

A) Up until a year and a half ago, we had a significantly larger military presence relatively close by (Syria & Afghanistan).

B) The "Perfect Phone Call". To put it bluntly, the whistleblower thing put the Ukraine front and center in American / Western media when up until that time, 90% of America couldn't point to where the Ukraine was on a map (I mean, it's probably only improved to 80%, but you get the idea.....). Russia invading right when the Ukraine was already on everybody's mind might have gone over even worse than what's transpiring now.

C) Do I really need to mention the significant event of 2020 that might have prevented a war from starting?

D) China has been prepping for the Olympics for a few years now. We know already that they asked for the invasion not to happen until after they were completed. Do we know that China hadn't been pushing that concept for more than a few months, perhaps even a year or two?

E) According to some news sources, Russia envisioned new sanctions would be coming and had built up a war chest to offset this. While I am not a financial expert at all, my understanding is that the US tends to be a trendsetter on the world economy, as in, when we are experiencing a good economy, within a few years, the other world economies catch up (and vice-versa, when we tank, the rest of world doesn't tank for a little while thereafter). So it may have taken a good amount of time to build up that war chest (and god knows that Covid likely took things back a notch). It might have simply been that the money wasn't there until now.

America is a big fish, but frankly, the world does not revolve around us. There are possibly hundreds of factors even beyond the ones above from other countries that could have sped up or delayed this decision.
Biden is extremely risk averse. He demonstrated this when he was V.P. and shows it in several ways as POTUS. This is particularly evident with his Ukrainian deeds and comments. Congress and Europe are in front of Biden on all of this. That’s kinda weird as Biden likes to see himself as the ultimate tough guy. He has been aggressive with sanctions but he can’t even get the messaging straight about that. In any event, the effect of sanctions is way too long.

Of course none of us know what is going on in secret. Given Biden’s tendency to shoot his mouth off about too much, I doubt we are involved in many clandestine activities. I would hope we have a hand in stirring up domestic turmoil in Russia, but I have my doubts.

Yes, there are other reasons why Putin chose to prepare for the invasion only after Biden’s inauguration, but I still believe the presence of Biden in the White House was a material factor.
 
So if Trump were still president, Putin would not have invaded Ukraine ?

Maybe, but the invasion was inevitable in my view.
 
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So if Trump were still president, Putin would not have invaded Ukraine ?

Maybe, but the invasion was inevitable in my view.
Can’t ever know that. However, I think Biden increased the odds. Also increased the odds of war crimes without consequence.
 
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Biden is extremely risk averse. He demonstrated this when he was V.P. and shows it in several ways as POTUS. This is particularly evident with his Ukrainian deeds and comments. Congress and Europe are in front of Biden on all of this. That’s kinda weird as Biden likes to see himself as the ultimate tough guy. He has been aggressive with sanctions but he can’t even get the messaging straight about that. In any event, the effect of sanctions is way too long.

Of course none of us know what is going on in secret. Given Biden’s tendency to shoot his mouth off about too much, I doubt we are involved in many clandestine activities. I would hope we have a hand in stirring up domestic turmoil in Russia, but I have my doubts.

Yes, there are other reasons why Putin chose to prepare for the invasion only after Biden’s inauguration, but I still believe the presence of Biden in the White House was a material factor.
It’s an interesting paradox. A more cerebral approach fosters European, NATO, and international cooperation but also gives Putin an oversized sense of superiority and self-confidence.
 
So if Trump were still president, Putin would not have invaded Ukraine ?

Maybe, but the invasion was inevitable in my view.
All we know is that Putin DID NOT invade while TRUMP was president and never made the first move to do it until after he was out.
No matter your (or anyone's) view on anything. Putin did not, while Trump was in. He DID for 100% sure do it when Biden was in. It's really not any harder than that, no matter how bad one person looks that is in the west wing nor how much people hate the last occupant. All the rest is noise, own it. BIDEN did not stop it nor give Putin reason NOT to do it.
 
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Biden is extremely risk averse. He demonstrated this when he was V.P. and shows it in several ways as POTUS. This is particularly evident with his Ukrainian deeds and comments. Congress and Europe are in front of Biden on all of this. That’s kinda weird as Biden likes to see himself as the ultimate tough guy. He has been aggressive with sanctions but he can’t even get the messaging straight about that. In any event, the effect of sanctions is way too long.

Of course none of us know what is going on in secret. Given Biden’s tendency to shoot his mouth off about too much, I doubt we are involved in many clandestine activities. I would hope we have a hand in stirring up domestic turmoil in Russia, but I have my doubts.

Yes, there are other reasons why Putin chose to prepare for the invasion only after Biden’s inauguration, but I still believe the presence of Biden in the White House was a material factor.
General Petraeus answers a lot of the questions in this thread. Link

BERGEN: Should the US have begun arming Ukraine after Putin seized Crimea in 2014?

PETRAEUS: Congress authorized the transfer of Javelin weapons to the Ukrainians, and then it was delayed in the Obama administration. In the early period of the Trump administration, the Javelins were finally delivered, but then you had the whole issue with Ukraine subsequent to that when President Donald Trump reportedly withheld equipment for a period.

The effort by the Biden administration to arm the Ukrainians and the actions of our Western partners has been really quite dramatic, especially in the immediate run-up to the invasion and then following it. You see that Germany, which would only send helmets prior to the invasion, agreed to give lethal weapons. Even the EU agreed to send 500 million euros worth of military and other aid to Ukraine. So, there were revolutionary policy changes just days after the invasion began.

BERGEN: Are you surprised by that?

PETRAEUS: I think you must give credit to the US and to NATO and to the EU. I think that the Biden administration has performed impressively, and I say this as someone who publicly criticized the administration for the decision to withdraw from Afghanistan and the conduct of the withdrawal in August 2021.

BERGEN: Getting inside Putin's mind, of course, is not easy, but to what extent do you think that US withdrawal from Afghanistan may have figured in his calculations?


PETRAEUS: It is impossible to say, obviously, but what one can say with confidence is that some potential American adversaries seized on that withdrawal to say: "See? We told you the US is not a dependable partner and ally, and we told you that the US is a great power in decline."

Hearteningly, I think that US actions and those of our allies around the world on Ukraine have shown that the US is a dependable partner and is not a great power in decline. If anything, instead of Making Russia Great Again, what Putin has done is to Make NATO Great Again.


BERGEN: There have been warnings by the Biden White House about the possible use of chemical weapons by Putin. Is that plausible? Because it seems like kind of a Rubicon to cross.

PETRAEUS: It would be a Rubicon to cross, although the Russians have crossed that Rubicon before. They used the nerve agent Novichok against opponents of the regime such as Sergei Skripal and Alexei Navalny. They clearly have nerve agents. It's unknown whether they have them in large amounts and whether they're deliverable, but that clearly has to be a serious concern.

Certainly, the Biden administration has sought to dissuade Putin from using chemical weapons by exposing that possibility. In fact, another way in which this administration has been very impressive is taking what clearly are finished intelligence products and turning them into publicly releasable announcements without exposing sources and methods, which is really quite unique.

In fact, I think it has been quite effective because it has established the Biden administration's credibility on Ukraine. You can't dismiss what the administration is saying is possible, given that so much of what they said about Putin's plans for and goals in Ukraine, which was either initially dismissed or seen as unlikely, has now come to pass.
 
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COH, I totally get that you have an extremely low opinion of Biden. If you read the interview answers by general Petraeus I think you can see that Biden has done a lot of good things in this Ukraine situation and you can take pride in that as an American.
 
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COH, I totally get that you have an extremely low opinion of Biden. If you read the interview answers by general Petraeus I think you can see that Biden has done a lot of good things in this Ukraine situation and you can take pride in that as an American.
I think there have been several boxing matches that the loser's supporters look back and say, "but he did some good thing", yet having his brains beaten out. There's nothing NOTHING to be proud of here. ... Well, we tried ends up with people dead.
 
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I think there have been several boxing matches that the loser's supporters look back and say, "but he did some good thing", yet having his brains beaten out. There's nothing NOTHING to be proud of here. ... Well, we tried ends up with people dead.
I’ll take with General Petraeus thinks over what you think every second of eternity.
 
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I’ll take with General Petraeus thinks over what you think every second of eternity.
If Petreaus says "he's done SOME good things", I will take it as exactly what he says,
Hunker down and expect that the CIC has done just enough for us to still get our brains beat out.
When he says the CIC has done things perfectly, I'll feel safe having old people ice cream on the patio.
 
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You nailed it. If only Putin had offended one of the over 100 new genders, the dems would have reacted. Putin looks at Biden and his administration and giggles.
Yes, Russia’s mafioso dictator invading a western allied democracy all comes down to transgendered people in America. Cuckoo!!!!!

You’re willing to throw away everything our founders stood for because you are afraid a TG person will be in the same bathroom with you?

Got it!

You are not an American. You are disgusting. Please move your fat ass to Russia.
 
You have to remember that he was a Democrat for many years. :)

I don't know if I have ever seen him smile.... always looks like he's mad at the world.

Ronald Reagan couldn’t be close to being a Republican today. The Republican Party is in death rattle stage.
 
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Yes, Russia’s mafioso dictator invading a western allied democracy all comes down to transgendered people in America.

You’re willing to throw away everything our founders stood for because you are afraid a TG person will be in the same bathroom with you?

Got it!

You are not an American. You are disgusting. Please move your fat ass to Russia.
Actually I have a skinny ass and my GF is hotter than yours 😂
 
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Biden is extremely risk averse. He demonstrated this when he was V.P. and shows it in several ways as POTUS. This is particularly evident with his Ukrainian deeds and comments. Congress and Europe are in front of Biden on all of this. That’s kinda weird as Biden likes to see himself as the ultimate tough guy. He has been aggressive with sanctions but he can’t even get the messaging straight about that. In any event, the effect of sanctions is way too long.

Of course none of us know what is going on in secret. Given Biden’s tendency to shoot his mouth off about too much, I doubt we are involved in many clandestine activities. I would hope we have a hand in stirring up domestic turmoil in Russia, but I have my doubts.

Yes, there are other reasons why Putin chose to prepare for the invasion only after Biden’s inauguration, but I still believe the presence of Biden in the White House was a material factor.

That is one of the most ridiculous posts you’ve ever made.

Yeah, Putin was afraid of the guy who gave him a rusty trombone every time they were within 5 meters proximity of one another.

You know this.
 
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Actually I have a skinny ass and my GF is hotter than yours 😂

I would estimate the chances of anything you just typed being remotely true are about…hmmmm….1 in 500 million.

The good news is with everything that’s going on in Ukraine, you’ll have a decent chance of a finding a mail order bride. Keep in mind, once she has her visa (and sees you drive a wagon with an orange triangle on the back), you can wave goodbye. 😉

You’re disgusting.
 
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Biden is extremely risk averse. He demonstrated this when he was V.P. and shows it in several ways as POTUS. This is particularly evident with his Ukrainian deeds and comments. Congress and Europe are in front of Biden on all of this. That’s kinda weird as Biden likes to see himself as the ultimate tough guy. He has been aggressive with sanctions but he can’t even get the messaging straight about that. In any event, the effect of sanctions is way too long.

Of course none of us know what is going on in secret. Given Biden’s tendency to shoot his mouth off about too much, I doubt we are involved in many clandestine activities. I would hope we have a hand in stirring up domestic turmoil in Russia, but I have my doubts.

Yes, there are other reasons why Putin chose to prepare for the invasion only after Biden’s inauguration, but I still believe the presence of Biden in the White House was a material factor.


This is generally nonsense. US policy has not changed in Eastern Europe 20+ years across administrations of both parties. (Bush/Obama/Trump/Biden)

You have a bizarro fascination with President's personalities when they are in one party..... and then a bizzaro obsession with saying they are completely irrelevant when they are of another party.

If anyone is to take you seriously, you should have even a modest attempt at consistency.

What policy actions would you like to see re: Ukraine?
 
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Can’t ever know that. However, I think Biden increased the odds. Also increased the odds of war crimes without consequence.

This is the world class idiot you voted for... glass houses and all.

"I'm surprised - I'm surprised. I thought he was negotiating when he sent his troops to the border. I thought he was negotiating," Trump told the outlet in a phone interview. "I thought it was a tough way to negotiate but a smart way to negotiate."

Putin sent more than 150,000 troops to the border of Ukraine before he began a war that has already cost thousands of lives in three weeks.

"I figured he was going to make a good deal like everybody else does with the United States and the other people they tend to deal with - you know, like every trade deal. We've never made a good trade deal until I came along," Trump said. "And then he went in - and I think he's changed. I think he's changed. It's a very sad thing for the world. He's very much changed."

 
I think there have been several boxing matches that the loser's supporters look back and say, "but he did some good thing", yet having his brains beaten out. There's nothing NOTHING to be proud of here. ... Well, we tried ends up with people dead.
Suggestions?
 
You have to give Trump credit for one thing getting the rest of the NATO members to come together. They realize the US may not have there backs in the future and its made it a stronger organization.
 
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You have to give Trump credit for one thing getting the rest of the NATO members to come together. They realize the US may not have there backs in the future and its made it a stronger organization.
As long the NATO members paid up there fair share, Trump had their backs. I don't see anything wrong with that.
 
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COH, I totally get that you have an extremely low opinion of Biden. If you read the interview answers by general Petraeus I think you can see that Biden has done a lot of good things in this Ukraine situation and you can take pride in that as an American.
Why didn’t Petraeus mention Biden’s delay of arms in the months prior to his scripted zoom call with Putin? Petraes also doesn’t mention Biden’s coziness with Putin in the restart to the JCPOA. I have difficulty evaluating Petraeus without knowing his thoughts on those matters. It all goes together.
 
This is the world class idiot you voted for... glass houses and all.

"I'm surprised - I'm surprised. I thought he was negotiating when he sent his troops to the border. I thought he was negotiating," Trump told the outlet in a phone interview. "I thought it was a tough way to negotiate but a smart way to negotiate."

Putin sent more than 150,000 troops to the border of Ukraine before he began a war that has already cost thousands of lives in three weeks.

"I figured he was going to make a good deal like everybody else does with the United States and the other people they tend to deal with - you know, like every trade deal. We've never made a good trade deal until I came along," Trump said. "And then he went in - and I think he's changed. I think he's changed. It's a very sad thing for the world. He's very much changed."

Huh? Most of the world, including our own commentariat and bureaucrats thought the troop buildup was a negotiation tactic. It may have been at that time. Many professionals keep saying the Russian invasion is poorly planned and poorly logistically supported. I’m old enough to remember when our own intelligence services reported Putin began to withdraw some troops. So who knows. Putin could have changed his mind seeing our piss-poor response.

In any event, it was during Putins troop buildup that we should have been much more aggressive. Instead the United States become more timid for fear of escalating the situation.

P.S. Trump isn’t the only one who says Putin has changed. Why do you hold that against him?
 
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COH, I totally get that you have an extremely low opinion of Biden. If you read the interview answers by general Petraeus I think you can see that Biden has done a lot of good things in this Ukraine situation and you can take pride in that as an American.
All he says is that we are now releasing our intelligence to the public.

This isn't some bold step - it's part of a media campaign that shouldn't have been necessary in the first place.

I cannot give credit to an Administration that encouraged military adventurism by a country that the previous Administration he was a part of didn't even recognize Russia as a threat.
 
I would estimate the chances of anything you just typed being remotely true are about…hmmmm….1 in 500 million.

The good news is with everything that’s going on in Ukraine, you’ll have a decent chance of a finding a mail order bride. Keep in mind, once she has her visa (and sees you drive a wagon with an orange triangle on the back), you can wave goodbye. 😉

You’re disgusting.
Does your girlfriend still protect you and your expensive cars in Chicago? 😂
 
Huh? Most of the world, including our own commentariat and bureaucrats thought the troop buildup was a negotiation tactic. It may have been at that time. Many professionals keep saying the Russian invasion is poorly planned and poorly logistically supported. I’m old enough to remember when our own intelligence services reported Putin began to withdraw some troops. So who knows. Putin could have changed his mind seeing our piss-poor response.

In any event, it was during Putins troop buildup that we should have been much more aggressive. Instead the United States become more timid for fear of escalating the situation.

P.S. Trump isn’t the only one who says Putin has changed. Why do you hold that against him?
Sure. That's it. Putin amassed over 100,000 troops along the Ukrainian border, along with stockpiles of blood and medical supplies, as a negotiation tactic.

I don't know what "commentariat and bureaucrats" you listen(ed) to, but what I kept reading and hearing - - many days before the invasion actually commenced - - was that an invasion was imminent.

Putin has long called the collapse of the Soviet Union "the greatest geopolitical tragedy of the 20th Century." It's no secret that he wants to rebuild the Russian empire. Ukraine is an early step.

Finally, Putin hasn't "changed." He's long been a ruthless killer and power-hungry tyrant.

It's unfortunate all of this is a surprise to you. You should read more.
 
Sure. That's it. Putin amassed over 100,000 troops along the Ukrainian border, along with stockpiles of blood and medical supplies, as a negotiation tactic.

I don't know what "commentariat and bureaucrats" you listen(ed) to, but what I kept reading and hearing - - many days before the invasion actually commenced - - was that an invasion was imminent.

Putin has long called the collapse of the Soviet Union "the greatest geopolitical tragedy of the 20th Century." It's no secret that he wants to rebuild the Russian empire. Ukraine is an early step.

Finally, Putin hasn't "changed." He's long been a ruthless killer and power-hungry tyrant.

It's unfortunate all of this is a surprise to you. You should read more.
Too bad you didn’t tell Biden Putin was a murdering ruthless power hungry tyrant hell bent on reestablishing the Soviet Union. Biden was still taking options off the table in early 2022 because he didn’t want to aggravate Putin.
 
Could it be Putin's invasion of Ukraine has nothing to do with NATO or who happens to be a United States president?

This article entitled Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Is Essentially Not About NATO contends Putin is more concerned about democracy taking hold in the countries of the old Soviet Union and the overthrow of autocrats like himself.

The article in part has this to say,

A longer look at Putin’s two decades in power shows that, above all, he fears political competition in the neighborhood.

So why was 2014 so concerning to Russia that it chose to invade [Crimea] ? Given Putin’s rhetoric about Euromaidan as a Western-backed plot, the most obvious conclusion is that he was afraid that regime change and democratization in Ukraine might reach – – or at least set an example for — Russian society and destabilize Putin’s increasingly consolidated authoritarianism. Research on the color revolutions and on the third wave of democratization in the region shows that this neighborhood effect was real. In other words, it’s not NATO at its doorsteps that’s so concerning to the Kremlin, but political competition, because it threatens authoritarian stability and introduces prospects of democratization.
 
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Could it be Putin's invasion of Ukraine has nothing to do with NATO or who happens to be a United States president?

This article entitled Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Is Essentially Not About NATO contends Putin is more concerned about democracy taking hold in the countries of the old Soviet Union and the overthrow of autocrats like himself.

The article in part has this to say,

A longer look at Putin’s two decades in power shows that, above all, he fears political competition in the neighborhood.

So why was 2014 so concerning to Russia that it chose to invade [Crimea] ? Given Putin’s rhetoric about Euromaidan as a Western-backed plot, the most obvious conclusion is that he was afraid that regime change and democratization in Ukraine might reach – – or at least set an example for — Russian society and destabilize Putin’s increasingly consolidated authoritarianism. Research on the color revolutions and on the third wave of democratization in the region shows that this neighborhood effect was real. In other words, it’s not NATO at its doorsteps that’s so concerning to the Kremlin, but political competition, because it threatens authoritarian stability and introduces prospects of democratization.
Agree, hoot. Early in the war thread I posted about Putin being worried about democracy which was why I said I hope we are helping with the Russian civil unrest. His ruthless crackdown on free expression is not sustainable.
 
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Agree, hoot. Early in the war thread I posted about Putin being worried about democracy which was why I said I hope we are helping with the Russian civil unrest. His ruthless crackdown on free expression is not sustainable.
Not trying to pick a fight, but how does that square with your observation (from a poll) that 70% of Russians back or believe Putin?
 
Too bad you didn’t tell Biden Putin was a murdering ruthless power hungry tyrant hell bent on reestablishing the Soviet Union. Biden was still taking options off the table in early 2022 because he didn’t want to aggravate Putin.
"This is a historic moment," Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, said Wednesday. "I guess you could say Zelenskyy is Winston Churchill and Biden is FDR for historical analogy."

You’re in rare company, COH, rare company. You, Tucker Carlson, Ted Cruz, The Squad, marjorie Taylor green. Must make you feel really special.
 
"This is a historic moment," Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, said Wednesday. "I guess you could say Zelenskyy is Winston Churchill and Biden is FDR for historical analogy."

You’re in rare company, COH, rare company. You, Tucker Carlson, Ted Cruz, The Squad, marjorie Taylor green. Must make you feel really special.
Speaking of history, so much for that “so it wont happen again“ theory of learning and knowing history. Those who say that didn’t expect a senile easily frightened old man in charge.

Lol. Talking about rare company. Do you realize that you are the only person in the whole world who knows, or even cares, what a group consisting of your truly, Tucker Carlson, Ted Cruz, Marjorie Taylor Green and The Squad know or even think? Hell I don’t know that and I’m a member of your group.
 
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Speaking of history, so much for that “so it wont happen again“ theory of learning and knowing history. Those who say that didn’t expect a senile easily frightened old man in charge.

Lol. Talking about rare company. Do you realize that you are the only person in the whole world who knows, or even cares, what a group consisting of your truly, Tucker Carlson, Ted Cruz, Marjorie Taylor Green and The Squad know or even think? Hell I don’t know that and I’m a member of your group.
As to... "Those who say that didn’t expect a senile easily frightened old man in charge".

Putin is showing signs of aging. Also ever since his days as a KBG agent, he has definitely been paranoid :) .
 
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As to... "Those who say that didn’t expect a senile easily frightened old man in charge".

Putin is showing signs of aging. Also ever since his days as a KBG agent, he has definitely been paranoid :) .
Agree hoot. But you need to be careful with posts like this. Trump also said Putin has changed and those who have agreed with Trump about anything are seen to have their nose up certain parts of Trump’s anatomy. ;)
 
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This whole thing has me really confused. On the one hand, it seems the only rational thing to do is support Ukraine.

But I’ve always been wary of Eastern Europeans in general. They are usually dumb, they don’t dress well, they also speak too loudly. They seem quick to violence and to project masculintity (zero chill), however they prefer clear liquor to brown, very feminine. A paradox.
 
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