Harris vs. Trump 2024

[ChicagoFineForNow]

If I may paint for you a nightmare scenario. Trump sweeps the sunbelt states, including Nevada. Harris sweeps the blue wall states. Final outcome 270-268, Harris.

A close win. What is the nightmare in that you might say?

Let me throw you back to the complete dumpster fire that was the 2020 census. 14 states with a statistically significant miscount.

• Undercount: Arkansas (-5.04%), Florida (-3.48%), Illinois (-1.97%), Mississippi (-4.11%), Tennessee (-4.78%) and Texas (-1.92%).
• Overcount: Delaware (+5.45%), Hawaii (+6.79%), Massachusetts (+2.24%), Minnesota (+3.84%), New York (+3.44%), Ohio (+1.49%), Rhode Island (+5.05%) and Utah (+2.59%).

What does that mean as far apportionment? 7-9 EC votes that should currently be in GOP hands, but aren't

Some will say the 2020 Census was done by Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, not Dems fault. That is true Wilbur Ross is a complete dipshit, however the Census Bureau is one of several government agencies that needs to be ripped out root and branch and replaced. I don't think any of us should trust those who work there.

"Besides the census is always an inexact science others would say." Not this inexact folks...

With miscounts this big, make no mistake it was incumbent on Gina Raimondo to perform a special census if she had any integrity. She didn't

Make no mistake ya'll. THAT would be a stolen election.

 

[dbmhoosier]

Absolutely. Look for Newsom also. Maybe more who are not on anybody’s radar. she will be a disaster with favorables <40%.

No chance for Newscum. Won't nominate 2 Californians in a row. The 28 Dem primary will be all about holding the Rust Belt as Vance can't win without one. Shapiro's selling point will be that he and big Gretch can hold all 3 and fend off Vance and RFK or Tulsi. No one else would have a prayer. So vote for me or go ahead watch Vance take office for 8 years.

 

[dbmhoosier]

If I may paint for you a nightmare scenario. Trump sweeps the sunbelt states, including Nevada. Harris sweeps the blue wall states. Final outcome 270-268, Harris.

A close win. What is the nightmare in that you might say?

Let me throw you back to the complete dumpster fire that was the 2020 census. 14 states with a significantly significant miscount.

• Undercount: Arkansas (-5.04%), Florida (-3.48%), Illinois (-1.97%), Mississippi (-4.11%), Tennessee (-4.78%) and Texas (-1.92%).
• Overcount: Delaware (+5.45%), Hawaii (+6.79%), Massachusetts (+2.24%), Minnesota (+3.84%), New York (+3.44%), Ohio (+1.49%), Rhode Island (+5.05%) and Utah (+2.59%).

What does that mean as far apportionment? 7-9 EC votes that should currently be in GOP hands, but aren't

Some will say the 2020 Census was done by Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, not Dems fault. That is true Wilbur Ross is a complete dipshit, however the Census Bureau is one of several government agencies that needs to be ripped out root and branch and replaced. I don't think any of us should trust those who work there.

"Besides the census is always an inexact science others would say." Not this inexact folks...

With miscounts this big, make no mistake it was incumbent on Gina Raimondo to perform a special census if she had any integrity. She didn't

Make no mistake ya'll. THAT would be a stolen election.

Yes. Dems are in big trouble come 2032.

 

[CO. Hoosier]

Yes. Dems are in big trouble come 2032.

I don’t think the Democrats will ever be in big trouble. The characteristics that defined a typical Republican has been systematically attacked by education, media, social media, and more. We are seeing an irreversible cultural change.

 

[dbmhoosier]

They know. Queue Marc Elias.

 

[dbmhoosier]

The rural counties aren't f****** around this election.

 

[cosmickid]

Mail ballots - Clark County, NV
10/31

Dem 8,805 (40.5%) +4,050
Rep 4,755 (21.8%)
Other 8,177 (37.6%)

Total 21,737

Moderate batch good for a 4k Dem margin, raising the Clark Dem firewall to 11k and lowering the statewide margin to Rep +44k.

The Dems really not getting the mail volume or percentage they need

Sort of like in 2022 when Ralston was bemoaning the early numbers and conceding the race to Laxalt even before election day...