Actually, both parties are running the only possible candidates who could possibly lose to the other. It's as if I set up a humidifier and a dehumidifier in the same room just to watch them battle it out.
Harris vs. Trump 2024
- Thread starter Aloha Hoosier
- Start date
Actually, both parties are running the only possible candidates who could possibly lose to the other. It's as if I set up a humidifier and a dehumidifier in the same room just to watch them battle it out.
There is no logical thought put into their theories. Trump said he lost because of voter fraud, so by God, he lost due to voter fraud. Make up “facts” to support that notion. That’s all there is to it. To get around inconvenient facts like Republican involvement and finding no voter fraud - they’re just Never-Trump RINOs. The country is full of Trump loving MAGAs, RINOs and Libtards (Libbies, Progressives, Dims, Marxists, etc.) and only the MAGAs are good - the others are evil.
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Concur. There’s just something about Trump that excites a significant minority of the GOP and they vote in primaries.
Mark Halperin, the guy who broke the story about Biden getting out, said this morning that Kamala's plagiarism story was just the tip of the iceberg. That you can be VP for 4 years, a Senator, and an AG and still have lots of skeletons in the closet. 🍿
The Constitution lists the qualifications for President. Pretty sure Trump has them all.
Plagiarism stories for politicians never go anywhere. Probably because it's unlikely Harris actually committed any plagiarism. In reality, her ghostwriter probably did.
Of course. The NYT deserves all the heat it gets here. I'm just saying, don't expect this to change any votes. No one cares what's in a book that Harris probably didn't even write, anyway.
"We love our Muslims. We have the best Muslims. No country on Earth has better Muslims than we have right here."
I watch Halperin on 2 way every morning and then his wrap up at 5 in the afternoon. The experts he brings on with him are Sean (lie about the inauguration) Spicer and some goofy looking Dem (Dan) I've never heard of who can best be described as milquetoast. My theory is that Halperin tries to stick it to the mainstream media every chance he gets because he's angry over the sexual harrassment allegations that prompted his fall from grace...
Spicer is actually connected to Trump's campaign and imho is an idiot. He makes ridiculous claims regarding the state of the race based on phony polls, and Halperin just goes along without offering any pushback. In fact it's very rare for Halperin and Spicer to even disagree.
And he rare times they do almost disagree Halperin only makes a half hearted attempt at dissent and then basically agrees with Spicer.. And the Dem guy basically sits there with his toothy grin, nodding his head. Half the time instead of refuting one of Spicer's easily disprovable lies (like even I could do) he'll weigh in and basically offer his approval of the nonsense Spicer just spouted.,..,
Lately they've been on this "Trump is winning" "Dems are nervous" crusade without providing any solid evidence of why that would be. No discussion of early vote numbers that look very good for Harris, just polls that are cooked just like they were in 2022. For some reason Halperin never seems to have a legit Dem analyst on, someone like Simon Rosenberg who is keyed into the campaign, and could offer some actual insight.
How exactly does Halperin get credit for breaking the Biden story? Harris only found out on Sunday when she was having dinner with family and Biden called. Are you saying Biden told Halperin before he told Kamala? Or did Mark just make a prediction that happened to come true?
If you watch any analyst talk about "junk polls" the 3 you listed are inevitably at the top of the list.They were also some of the main culprits in 2022 pushing the phony "Red Wave" nonsense. You were even posting them here nearly every day...
Changing journalistic culture is more important, I think. The NYT continues to self inflict damage to its credibility. Sad.
I've already said my piece on Halperin, and having Tuck Tuck claim Halperin has the "best sources in the business" is certainly not,imho a ringing endorsement. He actually had a consultant on this evening who I thought presented a cogent argument.
I only see the youtube clips they release, so I didn't catch her full name. She's a former Republican operative turned Independent who worked for people like Pete Wilson,Christy Todd Whitman,and Romney and provided a great insight as to why she left the GOP in the era of Trump. More invited guests with that insight and integrity and I might modify my position on Halperin's role as a "neutral observer"...
Meanwhile I found this very interesting and feel like I learned a lot...
There are thousands of people who have better connections that Halperin. What is your obsession with this man?
Again, fair. But my point was that there's no reason for this to be a big story, and my point stands. No one cares. The NYT should care, and it's embarrassing that they don't, but the fact is no one else does care, and there are good reasons for that.
You want to lick his shoes. Does your unquestioning slavish devotion ever embarrass you? It's nice in a dog, but cringeworthy in a grown man.
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I don't know a single man that wants to be Trump. I also don't know any women that want to be with him.
I don't say this often, but you are following Trump like Jim Jones' followers followed him.
Are you that confident that Trump is going to lose, Aloha?
I’m not. And I don’t think there’s much cause to be confident of that.
Nope. I'd bet big money that he'll lose the popular vote, but he could win the EC. His ceiling nation-wide is around 46 percent, but some of the battle ground states could go his way. People forget that he was a deeply unpopular President even before COVID. He'll be an extremely unpopular President again. His Presidency will add even more division to the country. He must be purged and it's not a sure thing that he will be.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: it’s appropriate to view pretty much every major news organization as being propaganda organs for one or the other parties.
They all claim objectivity in their news coverage. But only a fool would truly believe that. To the extent they ever do anything counter to their narrative, it’s almost always cursory.
IMO, the closest thing we have to a media outlet that is actually objective is C-Span…because they mostly just let the cameras roll without commentary.
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Oh, it’s very likely that he’ll lose the popular vote.
A Dem candidate should expect to win big solid Blue states by roughly 6-7 million more votes than a GOP candidate should expect to win big solid Red states.
Biden 2020 won his 5 biggest margin states (CA, NY, MA, IL, WA) by a total of 10.3m votes. Trump 2020 won his 5 biggest margin states (TN, TX, AL, KY, OK) by just 3m votes.
But, obviously, any state’s margin has no bearing on the distribution of EVs. A Dem gets the same number of EVs from CA if they win it by 5 hundred
votes or 5 million.
This sounds like a threat to with hold military aid.
Predicated on Israel calibrating it's actions in a manner would help Biden/ Harris in the election.
Citing two officials familiar with the matter, the Washington Post said Netanyahu had told the Biden administration that he was willing to strike military rather than oil or nuclear facilities in Iran, suggesting a more limited counterstrike aimed at preventing a full-scale war.
The retaliatory action would be calibrated to avoid the perception of "political interference in the U.S. elections," the Washington Post quoted one official as saying.
To quote Lee Corso..."Not so fast my friend". The most accurate pollster of 2022 (A+ rated Marist) has their new national poll out this morning.And to say it is the opposite of Marquette is an understatement.
Not only do they have Harris up 5 (the biggest margin since she entered the race, but it's up from 3 points from their previous poll. It also has her over the magical 50% by 2 points...
Economist/You Gov (rated A) has her up 4. Interesting because they were in the field as late as yesterday...
Maybe it's JD's fault...
TIPP Insights another A class poll has been doing a daily poll of the same 1248 LV. Yesterday Harris was +3, today +4 (50-46). Again that magic number of 50%. In 2020 TIPPS final poll was Biden by 4,he won by 4.5.
Quiiipiac shows Trump up handily in GA (52-46^), but NC (50-47) is a different story...
Another magic 50%.
Has Trump reached his ceiling?
His ceiling for votes is about 46% nationwide.
Here is an accurate representation of where the race actually stands. Simon was on Meidsa Touch (the same network where he exposed the phony "Red Wave" prior to the 2022 midterms) yesterday exposing this year's version...
Simon is the best in the business. I'm not a paid member of Hopium Chronicles, but for some reason I still get access to his weekly briefing, so I watched last night's edition.He exapanded on some of the things he discussed briefly on MT, but he also went in to how much $$ Hopium has raised for Dem candidates in the Southern battlegrounds, above the Harris campaign funds which are more concentrated in MI,WI and PA...
After watching the call in interview with Gallego and Gallego sharing what is happening in AZ and where his internals show Harris in that state, I'm staring to feel good about the possibility of winning AZ. I feel pretty good about NV and NC, and I'm reluctant to include GA and basically say Harris will win all 7 battleground states. But GA's early vote is encouraging as well-we just need to see more data about where the early vote is coming from.
It was also striking to me in the way Gallego speaking from his backyard responded to his kids being kids making noise and playing compared to the video of Vance yelling at his kids when they were distracting him while he was doing a phone interview. Not a huge deal, but it was instructional to see the difference in Gallego's reaction to chaos compared to Vance...
This is long, but I'll link it in case anyone is interested...
Simon is the best in the business. I'm not a paid member of Hopium Chronicles, but for some reason I still get access to his weekly briefing, so I watched last night's edition.He exapanded on some of the things he discussed briefly on MT, but he also went in to how much $$ Hopium has raised for Dem candidates in the Southern battlegrounds, above the Harris campaign funds which are more concentrated in MI,WI and PA...
After watching the call in interview with Gallego and Gallego sharing what is happening in AZ and where his internals show Harris in that state, I'm staring to feel good about the possibility of winning AZ. I feel pretty good about NV and NC, and I'm reluctant to include GA and basically say Harris will win all 7 battleground states. But GA's early vote is encouraging as well-we just need to see more data about where the early vote is coming from.
It was also striking to me in the way Gallego speaking from his backyard responded to his kids being kids making noise and playing compared to the video of Vance yelling at his kids when they were distracting him while he was doing a phone interview. Not a huge deal, but it was instructional to see the difference in Gallego's reaction to chaos compared to Vance...
This is long, but I'll link it in case anyone is interested...
I think he will be north of 48%. Immigration and inflation will move the needle in his direction.
This is how you win elections people. Not by flying out to California and doing endless fundraisers with George Clooney and John Legend. Btw Trump will be visiting a McDonald's this weekend where he will work the fry machine for a half hour. This is the way.
