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We got a contender

B
Al Bino said:
Good for you.
Go hang a banner next to your Helm's mythical championship.
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Mythical?? Just the way they did it back then! Did you know back in 1943 Purdue Football went 11-0, went up to South Bend and beat Notre Dame and yet the Helms Trophy went to 10-1 Notre Dame. Wasn't always fair, but it was how things where done. But there is nothing Mythical about it, you go tell Notre Dame their Helms are not real!
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Good morning from beautiful East Lansing

T
IUFreak said:
A little worried about this one today, much more so than the weasels at home next week. That said, I haven't seen MSU play and this IU team has been calm, cool, and collected to date. Hopefully QB1 has no lingering effects.

PS my local Meijer has started stocking Busch Light stadium bottles year-round and it's glorious.
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I’m happy for you but I’m against it on principle. Busch Light is only meant to be drunk, in less than 4 seconds, out of a hole on the side of the can.
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Good morning from beautiful East Lansing

I
A little worried about this one today, much more so than the weasels at home next week. That said, I haven't seen MSU play and this IU team has been calm, cool, and collected to date. Hopefully QB1 has no lingering effects.

PS my local Meijer has started stocking Busch Light stadium bottles year-round and it's glorious.
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Peacock Network?

brebelle3
Tokyo Steve said:
Against interest (don't know about possible bandwidth issues with increased numbers logging on to streams), I'll note the following.
Here in Japan, while listening on the Varsity app to Don and Buck, I use one of the many free streaming sites aggregated at one of the sites listed below to watch the game, typically with about a 20-second delay behind the radio broadcast.
sportshub.stream
sportsurge.net
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This is the way.

Stop feeding the beast. Get a VPN (I use proton, it's free), login your account to an overseas IP address, stream away. IU basketball, football, NFL, baseball, soccer, whatevs.

Yes, there will be a short delay.
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Women dominate early voting

S
cosmickid said:
I use the UF site for raw numbers, but Target Smart is where they dig into the numbers based on who votes and where.I can't navigate the actual website, but Tom Bonier makes several appearances on various shows and reveals what their data says...

For a political junkie like me it's like a kid at Christmas...

Login to view embedded media
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The GOP did not embrace early voting in 2020 and their turnout was diminished because of it. The best way to have the best turn out for a party in our voting system is embrace it and make it work for you. That is why the GOP has a chance to improve on its turnout from 2020. You can see the stats from Georgia 2020 and clearly the case where Urban turnout is down and GOP rural and suburban turnout is up. Pubs have retained their early voters, added some from same day voters and brought in new voters. Fulton county turnout 2020 457,000 and yesterday it’s 439,000 plus more white and fewer AA voters. DeKalb county was 323,000 in 2020 but only 288,700 this year in early voting.

Here is the turnout numbers per every county in Georgia 2024


Turnout numbers for Georgia counties in 2020


So it appears that many of these +733,000 non voters who cast early vote ballots live in rural and suburban counties. Like Appling County Georgia…a 78% Trump county had 815 non voters…

You can bear down on counties in Georgia votes


Rabun county a 78% Trump county…out of 8603 early voters 1564 were non voters. Towns county a Trump 80% County…7396 early voters and 1580 non voters in 2020. New voters are from Trump strongholds. It looks like they are spread throughout the state….rural and suburban turnout is up relative to 2020 and it looks like most of the new voters are nesting in GOP areas and I wouldn’t assume they won’t vote GOP
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Good morning from beautiful East Lansing

T
Cold as balls outside to start the day.

RV lot opened at 7.

Jr. and I had dinner at a Petro truck stop near Angola last night and slept at a Love’s in Lansing.

Not visited by any lot lizards. No sex workers at a truck stop? Recession must be coming.

When the sun comes out, so do the Busch Lights. Let’s kick some Spartan ass this afternoon.
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Polls - - a week out

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Early vote in Georgia was quite different than it was 2020.

Rural I counties are up, younger voters are down and by what I saw it was 3% less AA. Complete numbers for 2020 in link above.

www.foxnews.com

Rural Georgia counties outpace Dem strongholds as Peach State shatters early voting records

Georgia's rural, red-leaning counties have seen a significant uptick in early voting this year.
www.foxnews.com www.foxnews.com

White was 56.5 AA was 27.7….the current data is 58.7 white and 26.2 AA but more important the white voters are not younger white voters in Fulton and DeKalb counties but from rural Georgia
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Polls - - a week out

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Colorado as of Oct. 31st….1,731,171 are in or about 55% or so of expected votes? 18-34 make up about 9% of ballots in….five days to go if count a Tuesday postmark from Thursday and in 2020 they accounted for 24% of total ballots turned in.

The GOP in Colorado is only a bit more R than the mail ballots in 2020 but most voters are indies so it’s really depends in that state. Still based on what seems to be lower younger and minority voter numbers that is historically good for the GOP
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Polls - - a week out

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Oregon ballot returns are up to 1,166,985…well behind 2020 numbers. GOP voters have returned 50.6% of their ballots or 376,000 while Ds have returned 45.9% of their ballots. Portland area lagging in ballot turn in numbers….younger voters are slower to turn in ballots and I bet turnout is lower than 2020.

In 2020 the mail in ballot count was 2.115 million and the Ds had 889,178 ballots turned in and the Rs had 621,000. Some voters do vote in person but if this trend holds instead of being 268,000 votes ahead the Ds would be maybe 160,000 or so votes ahead of the Rs. We will know more on Monday. This number is likely about 50% of turnout
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Gastroenterologist Bloomington

NPT
UncleMark said:
Wife's last trip to Sask a couple months ago cost her $47 round trip, and that's because she bought flight insurance.
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I just got an email the other day that says one of us can get TSA PreCheck for free through one of our credit cards. My wife goes more than I do so we'll probably get it for her. Normally getting through security at Indy is not a big deal but it is some other places that she might go.
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Polls - - a week out

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www.upliftcampaigns.com

2024 AZ Early Ballots | UPLIFT

www.upliftcampaigns.com www.upliftcampaigns.com

Mail ballot update for Arizona…pretty brutal news for Ds…2,183,594 ballots like 65% or more of total votes

716,864 D
892,815 R
573,915 Other
+8% for the GOP. The pool of voters who voted early in person or sent in ballots is about +4.8%. The balance of the voters who have not voted early or requested a mail ballot is about +6% R. So the pool of voters who could potentially vote on early (did not request a mail in ballot) is actually more R then those who have returned ballots. Of course at any point in time voters can put their ballot in the mail or they can take it a Dropbox or commission office. Must be in hand by end of Election Day.

With 65% of ballots in younger voters are well behind 2020 numbers and minority apparently are below 2020 levels as well. This is pretty stunning turnaround from 2020 numbers.
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Polls - - a week out

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cosmickid said:
Dems feel increasingly bullish about PA, both in terms of early vote as well as ED prospects.

First off despite increased efforts and turnout from GOP registered voters, Dems still lead 941,000--547,000 in terms of votes cast by registered Dems vs registered Pubs. So nearly a 400,000 vote lead.

But beyond just the raw numbers, Dems are pretty happy with the composition of the early vote...

With the already demonstrated generation gap in the early vote in PA (Women lead by 13%), as well as the generation gap that shows up in actual polling it's reasonable to assume that some of the registered female repubs who voted early by mail so far are voting for Harris. And of the GOP mail votes that have been cast they are overwhelmingly coming from areas where Haley did very well in the Primary. For reference PA has a closed Primary and Haley got over 130,000 votes in PA despite the Primary occurring 7 weeks after she left the race.

We won't know how Haley voters split until after the election. But a significant number of GOP voters who cast mail ballots in 2020 actually voted for Biden. So it's pretty reasonable to assume a number of these early votes cast by Haley supporters are voting for Harris. But we won't find out till the votes are counted...

Also fully 93% of the early GOP vote comes from 2020 voters. Which means they aren't doing a good job of turning out new or lower propensity voters. Of that 547,000 votes returned early by the GOP, 47% come from voters who voted on ED in 2020.

On the other hand of the 940,000 votes returned by Dems only 12% come from people who voted on election day in 2020. That means the Dems total includes a combination of both mail voters from 2020, as well as New or non-2020 voters...


Have the returned numbers from Clark Co been updated yet. As of last night they were still lagging significantly behind...
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I must have posted them in the wrong thread. The GOP added +15,000 voters to the rolls in Nevada since Oct 1st.

The GOP momentum in early voting is continuing without pause
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