cosmickid said:

Lets shake things up a bit, I love this shit...

So the gold standard for statewide polling in Iowa is Ann Selzer and the Des Moines Register. So it's shocking that in the last day or two they have released their latest poll which shows Harris trailing by 4 pts 47-43 in Iowa. But what's most shocking is that this exact same poll in June had the race at 50-32 Trump over Biden.

This is their first poll since June,and it's easy to see that Harris has turned this race on it's head. To the extent I place any importance on polls, it's when a quality poll shows a huge shift in momentum in it's results from one point to another. So this would qualify as something to keep an eye on...

A couple of possible indicators to watch for is if the camapigns own internals line up with this public poll. If they do, then we may see a trip by possibly Walz or at least one of the surrogates to the Hawkeye state.We just saw an example of this when Doug visited the Villages in FL. Some polls in FL have the race considerably closer than expected and apparently the campaign's own polling indicated a surrogate trip would be worthwhile...

One thing FL and Iowa have in common is an abortion measure on the ballot. Trump can lie all he wants about everyone wanting Roe to be overturned and "sent back to the states, but the reality is in every state where the preservation of abortion has been on the ballot post-Roe, including KS,MT,KY,OH etc... the pro abortion measure has passed. And not only won, but won handily. I don't expect 2024 will be any different...

It will be interesting to see if Trump determines a need to sink $$ into Iowa. In the end Both Iowa and FL will likely be closer than expected, but Trump will win. However if Trump truly lads Iowa by only 4 points that is very damaging to any aspirations he might have elsewhere in the Midwest.

Donald Trump vs Kamala Harris: Iowa Poll shows how the 2024 presidential race has tightened

A new Iowa Poll reveals Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris by 4 points, a significant improvement from President Biden's previous 18-point deficit.

www.desmoinesregister.com

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Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how

The new Iowa Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 points. Pollster J. Ann Selzer: “It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming.”

www.desmoinesregister.com

Big Red Crimson Buffalo said:

I sat in games at IU where visiting MSU fans taunted us. Shit talking and laughing, up 50+. This is redemption day. I love it. I’ve walked away many times completely deflated against MSU as they threw us around like ragdolls. And ran up the score. Karma is a bitch!

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Marvin the Martian said:

So, who do we want for the monarchy? Jr has convinced me the Kennedy family is out. How about the Mannings?

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Bowlmania said:

You're insane.

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ChicagoFineForNow said:

That is still in the hands on the voters. It places a larger emphasis on who you vote into your state legislature who are much more accessible than your U.S. Senator. It was a brilliant concept.

Emphasis on National Politics is every thing wrong today. Democracy is a tool. A useful one. Not a goal in and of itself.

Tell me Marv. When you think of the “elites” do you think of your State Rep?

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Marvin the Martian said:

Just a very noisy group who want to feel good about losing by making up reasons they lost. Next it will be the sun for in their eyes.


Vote IDs are fine, I haven't spoken against them. Just that there must be exceptions. But a few years ago Alabama struck by closing license branches in poor rural counties. Now for people who may not have a car, that is a legitimate imposition.

Bloomberg - Are you a robot?

There is no 100% perfect system, we need to prevent the perfect from being the enemy of the good. The tighter we lock things down, the more likely disenfranchisement happens. The easier we make it to vote, the more likely fraud is. The trick, the real trick, is to balance those

I keep mentioning that loophole of states not reporting people that move, and it gets zero traction from the "zero fraud can happen" crowd. Why? We have known about this problem for a long time, and Florida led the charge AWAY from the solution. Not sending out registration reminders was more important than fraud.

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Hoosiers Rising said:

Ha, some of us are like a thousand then!

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