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Latest Bracketology, released yesterday

Disclaimer...Its July. There aren't very many things as useless as a summer Bracketology, in terms of actual analysis and predictions.

But its a conversation starter.

At first glance, seeing the 5 seed was disappointing. And I do think this team could be better than that. But... a 5 seed does mean we're viewed roughly as a "Top 20" team at years end. And from the rest of the B10 teams listed as in the tournament, IU would have the 2nd highest seed (Purdue at 4). So maybe that also would imply we'd be contending at the top of the conference.

So this gets back to everyone's expectations... If we did finish 2nd in the regular season, were a top 20 ish team at years end, and got a 5 seed...is that a good year for Woody and the program?
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Harris vs. Trump 2024

It's becoming a statistical dead heat in the new polls. She appears to have made up all the ground lost after the Biden debate and has the momentum heading into the DNC and then the final stretch. Very interesting and thorough poll here:


Keep an eye on the RCP poll averages as new polls are completed and added:

Looks like MBB seat selection starts next Tuesday 8/6....

Emails being received that inform season ticket buyers that they will receive their selection day/time & priority point statement in the mail. I'd bet those letters could be showing up in mailboxes tomorrow and/or Thursday (maybe even today?) and that the online selection system will go live very soon to allow buyers to familiarize themselves with the process.
As an example I got my women's selection time letter & priority points statement in the mail this year on 7/19 2 days after receiving the email informing me that it was coming on 7/17. The letter was dated 7/16 so apparently was in the mail before I received the 7/17 email.
They also encourage folks to check into the online selection system early to familiarize themselves with it so would expect that will go live soon. I got the email telling me that the WBB selection process was live on 7/19. WBB selection started this year on 7/23.

Best of luck to you season ticket buyers and GO HOOSIERS!!!!!!
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Looks like MBB seat selection starts next Tuesday 8/6....

Emails being received that inform season ticket buyers that they will receive their selection day/time & priority point statement in the mail. I'd bet those letters could be showing up in mailboxes tomorrow and/or Thursday (maybe even today?) and that the online selection system will go live very soon to allow buyers to familiarize themselves with the process.

Best of luck to you season ticket buyers and GO HOOSIERS!!!!!!
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IU Football and the New Hope...

CCC and the staff he brought with him seem to know how to conduct practices efficiently. They seem to know how to turn a team around and have it be successful in its first year (based on CCC's history). They obviously know how to get a quiet, confident buy-in from the players in a new situation (with the help of portal guys from the last place they coached at).

I always thought that CTA improved the basic talent-level at IU, but didn't always use/develop that talent as well as he/they could have (partially because they had the usual IU burden of not being able to keep good coordinators).

The Spring Game alone (& the fact that it was openly televised, with no chicanery around that fact involved) gave me hope that this team will be much improved this year.

We will see. The proof is in the pudding...

But I for one have - to mix metaphors - drunk a fair amount of the kool-aid already....🤷‍♂️....👍

Shapiro and Trump agree on this (sorry Kamala)...

Shapiro backs 'aggressive' business tax cuts as Harris campaign vets him for VP


I find it interesting that Shaipro understands that tax cuts work to keep PA companies competitive with other states. So, I assume he understands the same concept works on the federal level versus global competition.

Sadly, Kamala either doesn't understand that concept or just doesn't care. If she chooses Shapiro and they are elected, I hope he can teach her about economics.

Sporting News says 3 BT Teams Won't Go To A Bowl Game In 2024:

Greg McElroy picks NW, PU, & Indiana as Big Ten teams who won't go to the postseason. "If these teams get to a bowl this year, it would be a great accomplishment. If Curt Cignetti can get Indiana to a bowl game in year 1, that would be an incredible achievement."

I'm sure Coach Cig is shaking in his boots.:)

  • Poll
Haley for President Question

(Republican voters only) Who would you have voted for if Haley was the Republican nominee?

  • I would have voted for Haley

    Votes: 22 88.0%
  • I would have voted for Biden / Harris

    Votes: 2 8.0%
  • I would have voted for JFK

    Votes: 1 4.0%
  • I would have stayed home

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Honestly, I don't know.

    Votes: 0 0.0%

Republican / Trump voters only.

If Haley had been the nominee instead of Trump with either Biden or Harris as the opposition, would you have voted for her? Honest answers.

If you feel that it would have depended on whether it was Biden or Harris, that's OK. Please respond as such.

The election has changed.

Trump continues to play to his base which he already has locked up. Harris has retrieved the 90% black vote for another cycle. She also has the women vote. The only women who don't support abortion for medical problems are religious and don't know any friends who have suffered a pregnancy that they want with a myriad of complications.

  • Poll
Republican Slip of the Tongue Poll

Trump and Co and/or a Republican Elected Official will say one or more of the following...

  • The N word

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • B*tch

    Votes: 2 11.8%
  • Dog whistle word/phrase for the N word and/or b*tch

    Votes: 10 58.8%
  • All of the above

    Votes: 3 17.6%
  • None

    Votes: 3 17.6%

This poll refers to anyone in Trump's circle and Republican elected officials. What word(s) will potentially come out of their mouths, if any, over the next 6 months in reference to Kamala Harris?

Lichtman getting closer...

This is for the members of the Board who follow Lichtman's predictions and might be curious as to where he believes the race is at present. He's holding off till after the DNC because a couple of his undecided keys are dependant on whether or not Chicago and the DNC in 2024 resemble Chicago 1968. The buzzphrase coming out of 1968 was "Beat the Press and Mace the Nation" with millions on the streets thruout LBJ's Administration, including thousands of protestors being clubbed by Chicago police every night in prime time for a week...

There are currently four keys Lichtman rates as shaky/undecided with 2 leaning Red and two leaning Blue. The two leaning Red involve foreign policy success and failure and only a Gaza ceasefire or massive Ukraine victory would salvage the Foreign Policy success key for Dems. But the opposition needs six keys, so one of the 2 Blue leans would need to reverse as well. Civil unrest seems unlikely, and the other is a significant 3rd party. That means RFK would have to stabilize at 10% or more in polling compilations and my guess is we'll see his numbers continue to drop. So that's why Lichtman says a lot would have to go wrong for the Dems to be predicted (by his keys) to lose.

It's important to remember that this is Lichtman's model and his keys. People who claim they are "subjective" or try to provide their own analysis are free to develop their own model and do so. But if the discusion is about his keys, it has to be applied to his definition and the parameters he established after he went back as far as 1860 and determined the keys that he found to be in play in every US election. Individual interpretations of a key are fine when people want to use their own criteria to prognosticate future results. But if you're going to use his model and judge it's effectiveness you have to do so using his definitions, which he's been using since 1982 the year he made his first prediction and said Reagan would win in 1984.

Here is his current read on the keys,and how he defines them. Right now I'd say he's on the verge of predicting Harris to win, but again he's holding off till he sees how things shake out in Chicago at the end of August. For the Dems to be predicted to lose there would have to be an earth shattering development. I agree with Lichtman that's technically possible, but highly unlikely...

For anyone wondering why Biden endorsed Harris, and did everything he could to avoid an open,divisive primary just know that Biden knows Lichtman and is well aware of the keys.If the Dems were facing internal strife and a divisive primary in Chicago, the Pubs would have 6 keys, instead of the 5 they currently have or lead on.

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Biden Proposed Supreme Court Reforms

First, I have no idea what limited presidential immunity has to do with any proposed reforms of the judiciary itself. This is just a response to a single recent opinion -- and is entirely situational. By that I mean that it's all about Trump and the various legal things that came his way as he ramped up another presidential campaign. Ask everybody at some other period of time, in some other situation, and it seems entirely possible you could get precisely the opposite answers -- depending on who is embroiled in what at that time.

Second, I'm quite sure that judicial term limits would require a Constitutional amendment. The Constitution specifies a number of terms of office. And, of course, the 22nd amendment specifies term limits for presidents -- which didn't exist prior to 1947. Given the absence of terms or term limits for federal judges in the ratified text (it only says good behavior), it seems obvious that Congress lacks the authority to do this by statute.

Again, this is also situational. And, no, it isn't a thing right now because we've determined after 30 years on the bench that Clarence Thomas is a crook. It's a thing right now because Democrats have lost their shit about the opinions being issued by the Roberts court.

Third, a judicial code of ethics may be a little murkier. The lower courts already have one that's imposed by statute -- and administered by the Judicial Conference (which was also created by statute). But the lower courts are entirely a creature of Congress by way of Article I, Section 8. The Supreme Court is its own branch of government. So there are probably separation of powers obstacles here as well -- and it probably explains why the statutory judicial code of ethics has always only been only on the lower courts.

One wonders how Congress would react if the Judicial Branch tried to craft and institute a code of ethics on the Legislative Branch. Congress does this itself -- and for a reason.

Biden, Harris call for Supreme Court term limits

  • Poll
Book Club selection: we need your help

Which book should we read next?

  • Blood Meridian by Cormac McCarthy

    Votes: 5 41.7%
  • 100 Years of Solitude by Gabriel Garcia Marquez

    Votes: 2 16.7%
  • In the Garden of the Beasts by Erik Larson

    Votes: 1 8.3%
  • Short stories by Flannery O'Connor

    Votes: 1 8.3%
  • In the Shadow of the Sword by Tom Holland (a history of Islam).

    Votes: 3 25.0%

The WCBC has reached an impasse and needs help with the selection of our next read. @larsIU loved the idea of letting the Cooler pick our next book, and we like to humor him every once in a while (pity, really), so here you go.

Please vote. If mockery is a must, please at least try to be clever.

Thank you for your consideration,

/S/ Your Betters

No Formal Team Captains This Year

https://www.thedailyhoosier.com/for...u-football-wont-name-team-captains-heres-why/

“Never chosen captains, ever,” Cignetti said. “I put guys out in front of flex and then when we are done they say something to the team before practice then we practice. That might be the same three guys, it might be seven guys on a rotation. That’s the way I’ve done it.”“Never chosen captains, ever,” Cignetti said. “I put guys out in front of flex and then when we are done they say something to the team before practice then we practice. That might be the same three guys, it might be seven guys on a rotation. That’s the way I’ve done it.”
“Captain is a nice term, it was used a while back, to me it’s more important to have a lot of good leaders.”

Cignetti said he chose linebacker Aiden Fisher, running back Justice Ellison and offensive lineman Mike Katic to join him at Lucas Oil Stadium because they represent three distinct groups on his first Indiana roster: a transfer from James Madison where Cignetti came from, a transfer from elsewhere, and a returning IU player.

Every team in the Big Ten had to pick three players to join the head coach in Indianapolis for the annual event. And there’s no doubt Cignetti views the trio he chose as some of the leaders on this 2024 edition of IU football.
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