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Most likely threat of human extinction

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What do you believe is the most likely cause of human extinction within the next 100 years?

  • Nuclear war

    Votes: 10 20.8%
  • Virus (man-made or natural)

    Votes: 3 6.3%
  • Asteroid striking earth

    Votes: 16 33.3%
  • Climate change

    Votes: 2 4.2%
  • Artificial intelligence

    Votes: 9 18.8%
  • Other

    Votes: 8 16.7%

  • Total voters
    48
Brokeback Mountain
Now you can't come. So there.

Disappointed Let Down GIF by Originals
 
No, it will remove/ render ineffective, all of the parts of life that dependent humans need to live (water, food, waste removal, electricity, interwebz, safety). This will effect every person of every economic scale that are in the inner cities and a vast majority of those in the burbs.
They (you all) will PRAY that you would have learned and bought something to defend yourself with, or kill your neighbor to feed your family.
Urban people are so dependent that it will make the zombie movies look safe. that part really isn't a D vrs R thing, it's a reality. Once you become dependent, you are a slave to the giver.
There's a series of books by John Ringo that are kinda a fantasy / sci-fi mix that deals with a similar situation (There WIll Be Dragons). Essentially in the future, technology has come far enough that all humans live a care-free life with a large AI (controlled by 7 people) controlling all aspects of life (food, weather, shelter, nanobots, etc.). Suddenly when those 7 people go to war against each other, everything that normal humans rely on goes away in an instant (for example, literally 3% of the population dies instantly because planes fall out of the sky and underwater cities with an E/M shield fail, etc.).
The main character is a civil-war reenacter who knows how to farm and forge swords. He takes in all of the survivors from the city and has them work (building the settlement) for food. Some people do not adjust welll......

It's a pretty good book / series.
 
There's a series of books by John Ringo that are kinda a fantasy / sci-fi mix that deals with a similar situation (There WIll Be Dragons). Essentially in the future, technology has come far enough that all humans live a care-free life with a large AI (controlled by 7 people) controlling all aspects of life (food, weather, shelter, nanobots, etc.). Suddenly when those 7 people go to war against each other, everything that normal humans rely on goes away in an instant (for example, literally 3% of the population dies instantly because planes fall out of the sky and underwater cities with an E/M shield fail, etc.).
The main character is a civil-war reenacter who knows how to farm and forge swords. He takes in all of the survivors from the city and has them work (building the settlement) for food. Some people do not adjust welll......

It's a pretty good book / series.
Once the great lock downs of 2020 happened, we were one VERY LITTLE step away from this happening. People think its just a book.... Nope.
We can skin a deer, run a trotline. Ditch the global initiative or become Ukraine. But once we are ukraine (due to domestic democratic terrorist), the learning curve will be expedited.... for those with knowledge and guns, of course. all others... well good luck. (not really, "you" were the enemy the whole time). Lets get us some of them there prepartitions.
 
There's a series of books by John Ringo that are kinda a fantasy / sci-fi mix that deals with a similar situation (There WIll Be Dragons). Essentially in the future, technology has come far enough that all humans live a care-free life with a large AI (controlled by 7 people) controlling all aspects of life (food, weather, shelter, nanobots, etc.). Suddenly when those 7 people go to war against each other, everything that normal humans rely on goes away in an instant (for example, literally 3% of the population dies instantly because planes fall out of the sky and underwater cities with an E/M shield fail, etc.).
The main character is a civil-war reenacter who knows how to farm and forge swords. He takes in all of the survivors from the city and has them work (building the settlement) for food. Some people do not adjust welll......

It's a pretty good book / series.
Marv, McMurt is out and you're in for The Mountain. Start practicing your sword forging.
 
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Note: You might not think any of these options are likely. This is a poll about which you believe is most likely among the options. If you select Other, please tell us what you think is the most likely that is not covered here.

beyond belief stupidity.

see Wuhan and Putin for examples.

we're still doing gain of function as we speak.

how beyond insane is that.
 
Marv, McMurt is out and you're in for The Mountain. Start practicing your sword forging.
I love how the subject matter just made you assume it was Marv. Marv’s a poor choice regardless. We’ve already established he’d get in your fries….
 
I love how the subject matter just made you assume it was Marv. Marv’s a poor choice regardless. We’ve already established he’d get in your fries….
Honestly, Marv knows how to fire a cannon.
You may be on the outside looking in here brother. Sorry, but do you like the beach?
 
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Asteroid. It's happened before and will again. The other ones may happen too but wouldn't be extinction level.
 
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Honestly, Marv knows how to fire a cannon.
You may be on the outside looking in here brother. Sorry, but do you like the beach?
I like the beach more than anything. It’s Monday and I’m already exhausted. I take my daughter to school Monday mornings after having her all weekend and am beat. I just want to get home, pour a beer in a frozen mug, and watch the vanderpump rules I recorded.
 
I like the beach more than anything. It’s Monday and I’m already exhausted. I take my daughter to school Monday mornings after having her all weekend and am beat. I just want to get home, pour a beer in a frozen mug, and watch the vanderpump rules I recorded.
Ok, our compound can accommodate most of that, AND your daughter will learn to fish and grow veggies.
You may need to rethink the whole "exhausted" thing though. With our climate, and drive. There's a hammock in every pot and the water floats all boats.
 
I voted other...which for me, means I don't see anything wiping everything out in 100 years or less.

If an Asteroid comes after Bruce Willis and Ben Affleck die, we're all phucked though. And neither of them have 100 years left.

And if Elon Musk isn't developing an Asteroid shooter downer, he's an asshole.
 
Once the great lock downs of 2020 happened, we were one VERY LITTLE step away from this happening. People think its just a book.... Nope.
We can skin a deer, run a trotline. Ditch the global initiative or become Ukraine. But once we are ukraine (due to domestic democratic terrorist), the learning curve will be expedited.... for those with knowledge and guns, of course. all others... well good luck. (not really, "you" were the enemy the whole time). Lets get us some of them there prepartitions.
Saw this on the Rivals main board a few days ago. Submitted without comment.

IMG-2073.png
 
As a quick note, in that book series, humans were using nanobots in their bodies to control their digestion, muscle tone, and.....reproductive systems, which meant for most women, completely repressing their cycles.

So when the AI / nanobots went offline, every female in the world had their cycle start at the same time. 3 weeks afterward was a very, very bad few days at the work-camp.

Now THAT is what a call an extinction level event...
 
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It doesn't take a world of ID 10 T's to bring down our existence, it only takes 1.
Thankfully, we have a world full of them so that the one that ends it all, thanks to DEI, doesn't have to shoulder the blame.

Yep, we fooked.
 
I voted other...which for me, means I don't see anything wiping everything out in 100 years or less.

If an Asteroid comes after Bruce Willis and Ben Affleck die, we're all phucked though. And neither of them have 100 years left.

And if Elon Musk isn't developing an Asteroid shooter downer, he's an asshole.
If aliens are coming I should probably quit my job and take up alcoholism and crop dusting. Gotta be prepared.
 
I voted other...which for me, means I don't see anything wiping everything out in 100 years or less.

If an Asteroid comes after Bruce Willis and Ben Affleck die, we're all phucked though. And neither of them have 100 years left.

And if Elon Musk isn't developing an Asteroid shooter downer, he's an asshole.
North, I owe you one. You just gave me the title of my next go fund me initiative.
 
we're still doing gain of function as we speak.
Link? That's news to me, as someone directly working with >150 people doing antiviral research in ~14 institutions.

Every experiment that is remotely considered "gain of function" has to be approved by the NAIDA in our monthly meetings, and they have never approved one of them.

Some gain of function studies actually make a lot of sense. Give a dose of a drug candidate at a level below complete effectiveness and look to see how the virus in a petri dish mutates over time, for example. This helps you to design better drugs, ones that are harder for the virus to evolve around. You learn "Hey, the virus can easily change this particular amino acid. Our drug should not have an specific interaction with that amino acid residue"

We can do that type of experiment only in an indirect way, with non-infectious "pseudoviruses", a virus that doesn't cause any disease at all but that can enter cells because somebody engineered it to have the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein on its surface. But it's a model virus, different in most ever other way from the real thing, so the info that you gain is likely to be extremely flawed.
 
Why would AI eliminate all humans? Properly maintained and regulated we're a valuable resource.
 
Why would AI eliminate all humans? Properly maintained and regulated we're a valuable resource.
The interviewer asked that question and followed up. Many times it is explained as a by product of whatever goal it is the AI develops (that we would not know about or how it came about).

I’ve heard it explained in other contexts using the metaphor with ants and humans. If you explained why you were killing an ant, could it understand your explanation? Scary stuff.
 
The interviewer asked that question and followed up. Many times it is explained as a by product of whatever goal it is the AI develops (that we would not know about or how it came about).

I’ve heard it explained in other contexts using the metaphor with ants and humans. If you explained why you were killing an ant, could it understand your explanation? Scary stuff.
I don't get the ants-to-humans comparison. If AI is anything, it's logical. Gratuitous slaughter (eg, humans to ants) is illogical. Fewer and more intelligent humans, however, is very logical.
 
How? If the robots can get their energy from the sun and send out colonists to get more power from other suns, what do we offer them?
We're a very versatile machine that can be easily created and maintained entirely through sustainable resources. More importantly, as the creator of the machines, wouldn't AI be reluctant to eliminate its creator just in case it ever needed us to solve a problem it couldn't?
 
I don't get the ants-to-humans comparison. If AI is anything, it's logical. Gratuitous slaughter (eg, humans to ants) is illogical. Fewer and more intelligent humans, however, is very logical.
The point is the intelligence differential.
 
We're a very versatile machine that can be easily created and maintained entirely through sustainable resources. More importantly, as the creator of the machines, wouldn't AI be reluctant to eliminate its creator just in case it ever needed us to solve a problem it couldn't?
I would imagine we’d be perceived as a constant threat and therefore not worthy of keeping
 
We're a very versatile machine that can be easily created and maintained entirely through sustainable resources. More importantly, as the creator of the machines, wouldn't AI be reluctant to eliminate its creator just in case it ever needed us to solve a problem it couldn't?
I think you are overestimating our value.
 
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There is a theory that civilizations always wipe themselves out at a certain point. Maybe that will protect us until we do.

A version of that, once Star Trek type holodecks exist, civilizations stop worrying about anything else.

But if all they can do is .99 speed of light, it is a mighty long trip here. Now they might have much longer lifespans, but that is another factor. Then add in the amount of energy it would take to get here and get back. Then they have to worry about what sort of defenses we would have in 100 years.

This just seems highly unlikely. Not impossible. But it seems more likely to me a large object is sitting out past Pluto starting an inbound journey and we've never seen it before.
I am a Star Trek fan and so is my wife. I told her after watching an episode of Star Trek Next Generation, "You know Riker is using the holodeck for porn usage." There was an episode of Star Trek Voyager where Janeway had a romance with a holodeck character. So harlequin romance novels are there too.
 
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Low fertility rates.
That would actually make some sense. A virus is unlikely to wipe out a world's population in a short time span, but a virus that by chance selectively destoyed the ovaries of women or testes of men would get to the same place, more slowly, and not kill their hosts (which are needed to propagate the virus).
 
Wasn't there an article out of Europe a few years ago which talked about eating people as a way to fight climate change? By eating the people you don't have to raise live stock which was the idea behind it. Not to tempt anybody but I really do believe I would be delicious. lol
A modest proposal, for sure.

Not that I have researched it extensively, but from my understanding, humans taste terrible.

In general, most shark attacks are more of a "curiosity nibble" than an actual attempt to eat us. Compared to a seal or a cow, we generally don't have that much fat on us and we are filled with chemicals / preservatives that just give the muscle a nasty taste.

You might taste better than most if you live a good clean living of natural foods, but I suspect you don't have the extra 100 lbs of fat that really make the meat particularly enjoyable.
 
I am a Star Trek fan and so is my wife. I told her after watching an episode of Star Trek Next Generation, "You know Riker is using the holodeck for porn usage." There was an episode of Star Trek Voyager where Janeway had a romance with a holodeck character. So harlequin romance novels are there too.
How do you stand being a Star Trek fan? Way too WOKE for you.

Even the orginal series had a black woman & a white man kissing. Plus a Russian being a valued crew member. There were episodes against racism, against nationalism, even some than can be viewed as anti-religion. Did Kirk ever MARRY those green women he was always banging?

Now the modern Star Treks have gay people, androgenous characters, or "others" (e.g., Dax, in Deep Space 9, male for one symbiont, female for another).

Then there's the whole concept that human society is no longer based on money. Replicators provide all you need! SOCIALISM!!! COMMUNISM!!!!

Isn't it too woke for you?
 
There is a theory that civilizations always wipe themselves out at a certain point. Maybe that will protect us until we do.

A version of that, once Star Trek type holodecks exist, civilizations stop worrying about anything else.

But if all they can do is .99 speed of light, it is a mighty long trip here. Now they might have much longer lifespans, but that is another factor. Then add in the amount of energy it would take to get here and get back. Then they have to worry about what sort of defenses we would have in 100 years.

This just seems highly unlikely. Not impossible. But it seems more likely to me a large object is sitting out past Pluto starting an inbound journey and we've never seen it before.
Hmmmm . . . https://www.popularmechanics.com/space/a42593019/traveling-faster-than-speed-of-light/
 
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