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Your Three Keys for the Big Upset in the Big House...

mine -
  1. No turnovers for IU
  2. Two takeaways by IU
  3. 100% TDs when IU is in the red zone
Michigan is # 1 nationally in: a) scoring defense, b) total defense and c) red zone defense. But they're "only" 14th in turnover margin.

This reminds me of that classic scene in "Dumb and Dumber."
Lloyd: What do you think the chances are of a guy like you and a girl like me ending up together.
Mary: Well, Lloyd, that's difficult to say; we really don't...
Lloyd: Hit me with it! Just give it to me straight! I came a long way to see you, Mary. The least you can do is level with me. What are my chances?
Mary: Not good.
Lloyd: You mean not good, like one out of a hundred?
Mary: I'd say more like one out of a million.
Lloyd (beginning to smile): So you're telling me there's a chance. YEAH!
 
Personally, I suggest simplifying the gameplan.

Give all our players ballball bats and a six pack of Redbull...

Tasers optional...
 
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