Ok. I hadn't seen the Trump tweets.
I'll predict Perdue squeaking out a 1.1% win.
How do you see these races ending up?
Trouble for Warnock and Dems in GA?
- Thread starter JamieDimonsBalls
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I'll predict Perdue squeaking out a 1.1% win.
How do you see these races ending up?
Three million people have already voted, and the GOP has tried to disenfranchise voters which a Judge has halted. I think the Dems should win, but without knowing how big of a lead in votes they hold going into election day it's impossible to tell.
I do think that candidates that feel comfortable do not negatively campaign and charge "child abuse" on the weekend before the election. I just think at this point the voters Loeffler needs to attract (moderates) will be turned off by her Trumpist rhetoric...
The Dems did a great job of turning out the Biden vote, he actually won GA despite what Trump wants to whine about. The key is to get people who voted for Loeffler and Perdue but against Trump to turn out and vote for the Dems. I think it's a desperate ploy by the GOP candidates to claim they support the 2000 stimulus check, and would almost be willing to bet that if elected they will fall back in line with McConnell's position when Trump is gone and the House passes it later this month.
I hope people who are voting for those two are smart enough to realize they're lying, but I just don't know. Turnout in Atlanta and the suburbs will likely tell the tale...
Loeffler Sinks to Last-Ditch ‘Child Abuse’ Accusations Against Warnock
CUMMING, Ga.—With three days to go before the runoff election to decide control of the U.S. Senate, Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R-GA)—who has run a relentlessly negative campaign against her Democratic challenger, pastor Raphael Warnock—is throwing out the harshest and most personal attacks seen so far...
Warnock and Ossoff polling numbers are skewed by 1 poll. SurveyUSA which gives Dems a +2 bias. It's hard for me to see how Dems can get better than 100% turnout in Atlanta while GOP voters came out this past week hard.Three million people have already voted, and the GOP has tried to disenfranchise voters which a Judge has halted. I think the Dems should win, but without knowing how big of a lead in votes they hold going into election day it's impossible to tell.
I do think that candidates that feel comfortable do not negatively campaign and charge "child abuse" on the weekend before the election. I just think at this point the voters Loeffler needs to attract (moderates) will be turned off by her Trumpist rhetoric...
The Dems did a great job of turning out the Biden vote, he actually won GA despite what Trump wants to whine about. The key is to get people who voted for Loeffler and Perdue but against Trump to turn out and vote for the Dems. I think it's a desperate ploy by the GOP candidates to claim they support the 2000 stimulus check, and would almost be willing to bet that if elected they will fall back in line with McConnell's position when Trump is gone and the House passes it later this month.
I hope people who are voting for those two are smart enough to realize they're lying, but I just don't know. Turnout in Atlanta and the suburbs will likely tell the tale...
Loeffler Sinks to Last-Ditch ‘Child Abuse’ Accusations Against Warnock
CUMMING, Ga.—With three days to go before the runoff election to decide control of the U.S. Senate, Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R-GA)—who has run a relentlessly negative campaign against her Democratic challenger, pastor Raphael Warnock—is throwing out the harshest and most personal attacks seen so far...www.yahoo.com
I saw a graph (can’t find it) showing showing a day-by-day parallel between early voting in November and now. Except, a shift downward in total amounts. That has to be a bad indicator for Ds. Rs have a structural advantage and Ds only hope of overcoming that is winning the turnout battle by x%.Three million people have already voted, and the GOP has tried to disenfranchise voters which a Judge has halted. I think the Dems should win, but without knowing how big of a lead in votes they hold going into election day it's impossible to tell.
I do think that candidates that feel comfortable do not negatively campaign and charge "child abuse" on the weekend before the election. I just think at this point the voters Loeffler needs to attract (moderates) will be turned off by her Trumpist rhetoric...
The Dems did a great job of turning out the Biden vote, he actually won GA despite what Trump wants to whine about. The key is to get people who voted for Loeffler and Perdue but against Trump to turn out and vote for the Dems. I think it's a desperate ploy by the GOP candidates to claim they support the 2000 stimulus check, and would almost be willing to bet that if elected they will fall back in line with McConnell's position when Trump is gone and the House passes it later this month.
I hope people who are voting for those two are smart enough to realize they're lying, but I just don't know. Turnout in Atlanta and the suburbs will likely tell the tale...
Loeffler Sinks to Last-Ditch ‘Child Abuse’ Accusations Against Warnock
CUMMING, Ga.—With three days to go before the runoff election to decide control of the U.S. Senate, Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R-GA)—who has run a relentlessly negative campaign against her Democratic challenger, pastor Raphael Warnock—is throwing out the harshest and most personal attacks seen so far...
I’m not going out on any limb predicting the Rs win both but I don’t see it otherwise. Trump supporters are Uber-motivated and the election-day weather is favorable.
Georgia election tomorrow...so what actually matters? GOP win one? Both? Dems win both?
Even if the Dems win both, Kelly, Sinema & Manchin are unlikely to side with progressive policies on economic recovery efforts.
I still think GOP wins both
Even if the Dems win both, Kelly, Sinema & Manchin are unlikely to side with progressive policies on economic recovery efforts.
I still think GOP wins both
The early/mail vote has been better for Dems than the general election and there appears to be no lack of energy or letdown on the Dem side (tens of millions going into turnout operations certainly helps).
We shall see what happens on Election Day in terms of who's left to turn out.
What are you basing that on. Geogiavotes doesn’t paint such a rosy picture.
Georgia Votes
www.georgiavotes.com
My sense is Trump voters are more motivated than ever and D turnout will be at best slightly up for special elections but off the general by 20+%. End result: ballpark of 55-45% for Rs or more.
Doesn't look good "IF" the polls are accurate. Three of the four candidates are truly scumbags.
Modeled party early voting had the GOP up 47.5% to 45.7%. Makes sense that the Dems couldn't replicate voter drive in runoffs and Dem donors abandoned both races. GOP will be heavy in voting in-person today along with Libertarians swinging to Loeffler and Perdue.
Dekalb county is about 12% down in Senate runoff from Presidential election for early/mail in ballots.
In addition to the structural advantage in pure numbers, Rs have a decided structural advantage in that rural polling sites have relatively minuscule waiting lines. Also safer health wise in times of infectious disease.
Im no expert in Georgia politics, but Ossoff seems like a lightweight. He couldn’t win a House seat 2 years. Seems like a wasted opportunity for the Ds because Perdue’s stock trading issues are mighty suspicious.
suspicious is an understatement. It’s reprehensible regardless of its legality
He makes Burr look like a piker, yet Burr was the one who got hammered. I guess there are legalistic/technical differences, but I'll be damned if I can make sense of them.
CNN: "Georgia Senate runoff poll shows share of younger voters dropped from 20% in November -to 13% in runoff. But older voters up from 19% in November to 25% in runoff. Worrisome for Democrats"
Makes sense considering Dekalb county drop offs and pose bad news for Dems
Makes sense considering Dekalb county drop offs and pose bad news for Dems
Youth turnout down 7% and 60+ up 6%. Even if they are at 88% of November turnout, that 12% is going to hurt.
51-49
The results of this election may presage the midterm elections in 2022. In terms of turnout. My hunch is Trump voters will continue to turn out in large numbers unlike in 2018. The Democrats could easily lose the House.
"Some lines are approaching an hour-long in Cherokee, Forsyth, Paulding Counties. A handful of precincts have received extensions tonight, latest one is 7:40."
GOP voter surge
GOP voter surge
Looks like a landslide for the Dems. Only way the Pubs win is by cheating.
www.huffpost.com
2020-21 Georgia Senate Election and Runoff Live Results
Track your candidate using our interactive, live election maps and infographics
well if we lose this too we had better figure out how to use the damn mail. wtfLooks like a landslide for the Dems. Only way the Pubs win is by cheating.
2020-21 Georgia Senate Election and Runoff Live Results
Track your candidate using our interactive, live election maps and infographics
So far it's looking pretty good for Dems. GOP turnout is down in North GA, I think in 3 counties the number is down about 20% of what it was in Nov., And in some of those Red areas Dem share of the early vote is higher than it was in Nov...
Both sides are looking to match their Nov numbers, but turnout is key for GOP because Trump lost the state. So lower turnout AND not matching the numbers he got in Nov is a double-edged sword for them...
Don't know if other channels are doing a turnout comparison between Nov and today. But Kornacki is tracking it and the Dems are way ahead of Biden's numbers in the Dem areas around Atlanta...
Kornacki or King? That's the big question.
www.rawstory.com
Debate breaks out online over election numbers by John King or Steve Kornacki
The polls haven't closed in Georgia yet as voters decide the make-or-break election for Republicans. While exit polls have numbers out, they ignore a whopping 3 million previously cast ballots in the state. So, the election-night conversation turned to news station loyalty based on the numbers...
www.rawstory.com
Kornacki or King? That's the big question.
Debate breaks out online over election numbers by John King or Steve Kornacki
The polls haven't closed in Georgia yet as voters decide the make-or-break election for Republicans. While exit polls have numbers out, they ignore a whopping 3 million previously cast ballots in the state. So, the election-night conversation turned to news station loyalty based on the numbers...
two guys that can’t even work modern technology properly? Pass
This is not good. Trump needed to do everything he could on his way out to support Perdue and Loeffler. Instead he claimed fraud in the voter system, and offered mix messaging on stimulus that put them between a rock and a hard place.
The Trump loss stung, but this one really hurts.
Joe Manchin, come towards the light my friend.
The Trump loss stung, but this one really hurts.
Joe Manchin, come towards the light my friend.
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