Putin is the prototypical Russian leader. He wants to expand the Russian empire and he'll do anything to get it. He's either going to get overthrown by losing the war or continuing the meatgrinder, or take a chance on making a deal with Ukraine to keep them out of NATO.Trumps whole posture towards Putin is one big face saving exercise according to George Friedman. Putin is in a precarious position caught between the ultra-nationalist Russian right wing wing and more liberal Russians that want to gravitate westward. The Russian kinetic army has proven to ineffectual.
Putin needs to come out of this war appearing to have won and in power because only a complete ****ing moron would want to roll the dice on Putin be deposed and having to deal with whatever creature gets belched out of the ultra-nationalist wing next.
He needs to declare victory and get his troops out of Ukraine. Make a deal to demilitarize Donbas and Crimea.
The Russians have learned a hard lesson about their military capabilities and the next guy after Putin isnt going to magically make it better.