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Missouri Primary and others

MI-11-D, Levin leads Stevens 59-41
MI-10-R - James leads with 92%. MI-11-R - Ambrose is sitting on 70%
 
Tlaib leads with 56% in MI-12-D. Winfrey is next at 26%.
NPR and CNN both have Stevens leading Levin 59-41 so original post was bassakwards.
Dixon leads big.
 
No on Kansas abortion referendum up to 73% per NPR.
Derek Schmidt leads KS-Gov-R 75-25.
Kobach leads Kansas AG 38-34
 
Schmitt is up 40-28% over Hartzler. It’s getting late early.
MO-4-R, Alford leads Brattin 30-26%. In MO-7, it’s Burlison at 27% leading . Very early in both races.
 
No on the Kansas Value Them Both abortion amendment is down to 65% as more of the rural vote comes in. Kobach still up by 4
 
Dixon wins MI-Gov-R.
Gibbs was up 58-42 in MI-3-R but lead is now down to 53-47%. 10% of Kent County is in. Previously all votes were from Ottawa County
 
Wagner, Luetkemeyer and Graves have won. MO-2-R, MO-3-R and MO-6-R.
Eric (Schmitt) has won.
 
Gibbs’ lead is now down to 52-48%. This is a battle between Kent and the other 2 counties. Kent, where Meijer is winning, is bigger.
 
What does No mean?
“Because Kansans value both women and children, the constitution of the state of Kansas does not require government funding of abortion and does not create or secure a right to abortion. To the extent permitted by the constitution of the United States, the people, through their elected state representatives and state senators, may pass laws regarding abortion, including, but not limited to, laws that account for circumstances of pregnancy resulting from rape or incest, or circumstances of necessity to save the life of the mother”
 
What does No mean?
No is big trouble for the GOP heading into the Fall, because it shows that Roe is even an issue in a state like KS...

The amendment was an attempt to remove protection of abortion from the KS Constitution. It's a wake up to the GOP because there is no way you can look at results in a state like KS (where clearly the NO vote extended beyond the Kansas City suburbs) and feel comfortable as an unabashed anti-abortion candidate in states with a much larger amount of suburban voters...

The mail in vote was huge, and although there were slightly more early mail ballots from registered Republicans there were a significant amount of mail votes which were designated as "unaffiliated". The fact that NO took a huge lead in the early mail vote and never relinquished it speaks to an extremely high level of motivation for people to vote on the amendment, and most voted NO.

That means whichever GOP nominees emerge in MO they could be looking at numbers that are formidable enough that they may feel it necessary to nuance their (current) anti abortion stance. Based on those results in Kansas (and the major KC metro area results), the Dems may be in play in both the Gov and Sen races in MO...
 
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Huge wakeup call for the Pubs if that happens.
Not really.
“Because Kansans value both women and children, the constitution of the state of Kansas does not require government funding of abortion and does not create or secure a right to abortion. To the extent permitted by the constitution of the United States, the people, through their elected state representatives and state senators, may pass laws regarding abortion, including, but not limited to, laws that account for circumstances of pregnancy resulting from rape or incest, or circumstances of necessity to save the life of the mother”
word salad
 
Huge wakeup call for the Pubs if that happens.
But is it? Polling has showed that about 2/3 of Americans were good with Roe. Now we see a bellwether red state hit just north of 60% supporting abortion rights. I don’t think we should be surprised by these results. It only shows that the position to ban abortion in most all circumstances is an extreme minority position, which most of us already knew.
 
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Huge wakeup call for the Pubs if that happens.

But is it? Polling has showed that about 2/3 of Americans were good with Roe. Now we see a bellwether red state hit just north of 60% supporting abortion rights. I don’t think we should be surprised by these results. It only shows that the position to ban abortion in most all circumstances is an extreme minority position, which most of us already knew.

All true. But the number of Republicans advocating for a moderate position on abortion, i.e. allowed up to 15-24 weeks with exceptions afterwards, seem to be vanishingly small.

Last night's results tell me two things: voters as a whole are reasonable and moderate, and today's Republican Party faithful are off the charts nutso.
 
Looks like Lake will win in
All true. But the number of Republicans advocating for a moderate position on abortion, i.e. allowed up to 15-24 weeks with exceptions afterwards, seem to be vanishingly small.

Last night's results tell me two things: voters as a whole are reasonable and moderate, and today's Republican Party faithful are off the charts nutso.
This may be correct, but the only reason this result occurred in a state like Kansas was this was a ballot question. If this was being decided in a heavy GOP led state with very safe seats, the result would have likely been very different.
 
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