So, last year was amazing. And I’m just as bought into the hopes that IU football is establishing itself as a legit threat in the Big10.
But…I am a lifelong IU football fan. So it’s difficult to shed the pessimism.
I think the bowl game last year should serve as a little bit of a “pump the brakes” on IU being a program that can contend with OSU type hope. Which is where A LOT of IU fans want to take their expectations right now. It’s great to have legit reasons for those types of hopes. It’s dangerous to have those types of expectations.
So…while my hope is we do something unheard of and go 10-2, 11-1, or heck why not, 12-0 this year. I think a fair expectation is more like 8-4. And involves how competitive we are against OSU, PSU, Iowa, Cincinnati, etc…. Rather than any expectations of beating them. And/or then any expectations of running the table on the rest of the games. Minnesota is gonna be really good. Are we really at a point to expect to win in the big house? Maryland is talented. Should we ever expect to beat Purdue in West Laughy?
I expect to be competitive in all our games.
I expect to win: Idaho, Western Kentucky, Rutgers
I’d be bummed out but not shocked if we didn’t win: Michigan State, Purdue, Minnesota
The other 6 games are just gonna be really tough…and really fun to watch hopefully.
So 5-1 or 6-0 on those first couple groups. 2-4 or 3-3 in the really tough ones.
Here’s a scenario that worries me… what will our historically weak fans do if we lose a top 20 road B10 game, beat Idaho, then lose to a Top 10 playoff caliber Cincy team? Obviously it’s just as possible we beat Iowa and Cincy…maybe I should just be focusing on the hope side.