It is obviously a little hard to say with all the turnover, but it is getting to the point in the year where it is fun to start really considering how things might go and imagining what might happen. After all, everything is a possible outcome before a ball's been kicked. Even 15-0 and a National Championship!
For me, I feel the floor is 3-9. Most likely, starting 3-0 and losing out in this case.
Though maybe we trade an L against Illinois for a W against Rutgers. I'm definitely not a believer in anything Schiano is doing yet.
The optimistic ceiling, in my opinion, is 8-4.
Beating Illinois, Idaho, WKU, Nebraska (not buying Nebraska, either), UMD, Rutgers, and then 2 of three out of Cincy, MSU, and Purdue. There's a possibility 7-5 is the more reasonable ceiling if MSU and Cincy don't come back to Earth.