Is there any logic in this thought I'm having?
Whichever party wins in November, very easily could lose ground politically for years and years...because the opposite party will be forced to move closer to the center?
We've seen what happens to the GOP party when Trump is in office. He hasn't changed. If anything he's worse, and a Trump revenge tour will be worse on the GOP than his first term was. Further, I would think another loss to Trump would force Democratic decision makers to audit why the loss happened. And that answer should be pretty clear...the further left the policies and rhetoric, the less popular. Also, it seems to be clear that some of the larger determining demographics in POTUS elections...Minority votes, suburban women...they're trending to more moderate, even conservative values. So as a result of that, we could be looking at a Vance vs Shapiro type race in 28. And I think Shapiro could be a 2 term, strengthen the entire ticket for 8 plus years, kind of guy.
On the flip side...If Harris wins...2 losses by Trump, combined with the likely down ballot damage his campaign will cause... will the GOP finally put him, and anyone like him, out to pasture? I mean, that would have to be a monumentally embarrassing loss? No? It would have to act as smelling salts for the party. Combine that with a Harris Presidency, that will be one of the more progressive administrations we've ever seen... And I would think it would accelerate the shift towards more moderate to conservative desires for large chunks of voters. Would the GOP be ready for Haley? Are there any other rising stars on that side, that are a bit more rational and moderate...Wesley Hunt?...Maybe Charlie Baker gets the NCAA turned around?
I guess my point is...is it inevitable that whoever wins this next POTUS election...its going to end up in a better, more moderate POTUS in 2028 and beyond?