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Rutgers Numbers Crunch

daddyhoosier

Junior
Aug 31, 2019
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iufb.net
October 18, 2022 | DaddyHoosier | iufb.net

All-time Series – Indiana leads 5-3

Previous Meeting – Rutgers won 38-3 in Bloomington last season

SP+ – Rutgers 72, Indiana 84

CBS Sports 131 – Rutgers 78, Indiana 84

PFF Power Ranking – Rutgers 71, Indiana 96

SP+ Projected Score – Rutgers 26 – Indiana 21

SP+ Win Probability – 62%

ESPN Pick Center Projected Score – Rutgers 24 – Indiana 21

screenshot_20221016-222519_espn.jpg


The strength of this this Rutgers team is their defense. The Scarlet Knights only allow 22 points per game which ranks 36th in FBS. They are actually 8th in the country in rush defense allowing a stingy 91.7 yards per game. They are also 8th in rushing yards per attempt allowing less than 3 yards (2.89) per. And it’s not because people don’t bother to run on them because their secondary is so poor, Rutgers ranks 27th in FBS in pass defense, allowing only 194.2 yards per game. Drilling down a little deeper Rutgers is:

  • 10th in total defense (285.8 ypg)
  • 15th in FBS in 3rd down defense (.295).
  • 18th in interceptions (8, including 1 for a touchdown)
The Scarlet Knights are not particularly disruptive in terms of sacks (1.89 / g, 89th) and tackles per loss (6.0 / g, 51st). Their turnover margin is even. A weird quirk, if a team can get to the red zone on them they have given up a score 100 percent of the time, which obviously is tied for last in FBS.

Offensively the picture is a little different. Rutgers averages only 22.8 points per contest which is 12th in the Big Ten and 104th in FBS. Through the air the gain 173.2 yards per game which is 115th in FBS. On the ground they average 160.8 yards per game which is currently 61st in the country. Rutgers runs the ball 59 percent of the time. It will be interesting to see if this trend holds as the Hoosier Secondary has actually been weaker than Indiana’s rush defense. Rutgers has had 8 passes intercepted (the same as Indiana) so they are susceptible to that. They allow 2.0 sacks per game and 5.83 tfls per game, both of which are kind of middle of the road numbers. The Scarlet Knights have failed to score in the red zone 5 times this season (14 of 19) which is good (or bad) for 111th in the nation.

On Special Teams Rutgers has blocked 4 kicks which is 3rd in FBS and leads the Big Ten. This could be a potential X-factor in this game as Indiana has already given up multiple blocks.
 
Last edited:
October 18, 2022 | DaddyHoosier | iufb.net

All-time Series – Indiana leads 5-3

Previous Meeting – Rutgers won 38-3 in Bloomington last season

SP+ – Rutgers 72, Indiana 84

CBS Sports 131 – Rutgers 78, Indiana 84

PFF Power Ranking – Rutgers 71, Indiana 96

SP+ Projected Score – Rutgers 26 – Indiana 21

SP+ Win Probability – 62%

ESPN Pick Center Projected Score – Rutgers 24 – Indiana 21

screenshot_20221016-222519_espn.jpg


The strength of this this Rutgers team is their defense. The Scarlet Knights only allow 22 points per game which ranks 36th in FBS. They are actually 8th in the country in rush defense allowing a stingy 91.7 yards per game. They are also 8th in rushing yards per attempt allowing less than 3 yards (2.89) per. And it’s not because people don’t bother to run on them because their secondary is so poor, Rutgers ranks 27th in FBS in pass defense, allowing only 194.2 yards per game. Drilling down a little deeper Rutgers is:

  • 10th in total defense (285.8 ypg)
  • 15th in FBS in 3rd down defense (.295).
  • 18th in interceptions (8, including 1 for a touchdown)
The Scarlet Knights are not particularly disruptive in terms of sacks (1.89 / g, 89th) and tackles per loss (6.0 / g, 51st). Their turnover margin is even. A weird quirk, if a team can get to the red zone on them they have given up a score 100 percent of the time, which obviously is tied for last in FBS.

Offensively the picture is a little different. Rutgers averages only 22.8 points per contest which is 12th in the Big Ten and 104th in FBS. Through the air the gain 173.2 yards per game which is 115th in FBS. On the ground they average 160.8 yards per game which is currently 61st in the country. Rutgers runs the ball 59 percent of the time. It will be interesting to see if this trend holds as the Hoosier Secondary has actually been weaker than Indiana’s rush defense. Rutgers has had 8 passes intercepted (the same as Indiana) so they are susceptible to that. They allow 2.0 sacks per game and 5.83 tfls per game, both of which are kind of middle of the road numbers. The Scarlet Knights have failed to score in the red zone 5 times this season (14 of 19) which is good (or bad) for 111th in the nation.

On Special Teams Rutgers has blocked 4 kicks which is 3rd in FBS and leads the Big Ten. This could be a potential X-factor in this game as Indiana has already given up multiple blocks.
Two rather important tidbits that ESPN left out of that snapshot is that Rutgers is yet another team we have to play who's also coming off their Bye week And..., similar to the Nebraska scenario..., they've also fired a Coordinator (in this case their OC) and are coming into this game a complete unknown (in regard to tendencies)... Sound familiar...😖🙉😣🙈😕
 
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