League Win Projection Poll

[aajohn2000]

Ok my fellow Hoosier faithful, 2 league games down and 18 to go. We are currently 1-1 and with the calendar turning to January, we are fully in the throws of league play. What say you? How many wins will IU finish with in league play this season?

As a data point, Indiana has only had one season where they finished with a winning record in league play since the 2015/2016 season. This came 2 seasons ago where IU finished 12-8. January features 9 league games beginning with Rutgers in Bloomington on Thursday 1.2.

 

[hookyIU1990]

3-8 going into February looks like a possibility.

 

[aajohn2000]

3-8 going into February looks like a possibility.

I say it's more than a possibility and more like a high probability. Here is what I see in January and I am trying to be as objective as possible.

Rutgers: Win
@ Penn State: Fugly Loss
USC: Win
@Iowa: L
Illinois: L
@OSU: L
@NW: L
Maryland: L
@Purdue : L

January league record: 2-7 / Overall 3-8

In a worst case scenario, we win one home game and lose every other game and finish January 1-8 and 2-9 overall. I could be wrong, but seeing what I have seen tonight and this being the norm most every night, it's tough to pick IU winning any games. I doubt they will be favored in any except for maybe Rutgers and USC.

 

[twenty02]

I say it's more than a possibility and more like a high probability. Here is what I see in January and I am trying to be as objective as possible.

Rutgers: Win
@ Penn State: Fugly Loss
USC: Win
@Iowa: L
Illinois: L
@OSU: L
@NW: L
Maryland: L
@Purdue : L

January league record: 2-7 / Overall 3-8

In a worst case scenario, we win one home game and lose every other game and finish January 1-8 and 2-9 overall. I could be wrong, but seeing what I have seen tonight and this being the norm most every night, it's tough to pick IU winning any games. I doubt they will be favored in any except for maybe Rutgers and USC.

They might win one of those home games just because home conference games.... But really hard, right now, to see this team winning anything on the road

 

[Chicago-bound Hoosier]

I say it's more than a possibility and more like a high probability. Here is what I see in January and I am trying to be as objective as possible.

Rutgers: Win
@ Penn State: Fugly Loss
USC: Win
@Iowa: L
Illinois: L
@OSU: L
@NW: L
Maryland: L
@Purdue : L

January league record: 2-7 / Overall 3-8

In a worst case scenario, we win one home game and lose every other game and finish January 1-8 and 2-9 overall. I could be wrong, but seeing what I have seen tonight and this being the norm most every night, it's tough to pick IU winning any games. I doubt they will be favored in any except for maybe Rutgers and USC.

Go ahead and throw in the first game in Feb. at kohl center. Where we haven’t won since RMK was coach.

 

[aajohn2000]

They might win one of those home games just because home conference games.... But really hard, right now, to see this team winning anything on the road

In Tom Crean's first season, we finished 1-17. I don't think we will finish that bad, but the production and quality of play on the floor relative to talent will be worse than that season and probably the worst of my lifetime and I turn 48 in 2 weeks. I am not trying to be doom and gloom, but this team truly plays horribly night in and out. They appear to collectively not really give a shit.

 

[aajohn2000]

Go ahead and throw in the first game in Feb. at kohl center. Where we haven’t won since RMK was coach.

Will have plenty of time to prepare for the February slant once we get through January. But agree, that is an automatic loss.

 

[twenty02]

In Tom Crean's first season, we finished 1-17. I don't think we will finish that bad, but the production and quality of play on the floor relative to talent will be worse than that season and probably the worst of my lifetime and I turn 48 in 2 weeks. I am not trying to be doom and gloom, but this team truly plays horribly night in and out. They appear to collectively not really give a shit.

No. Obvious watching them they aren't having any fun whatsoever.

 

[edub72]

I think 7-11 in BIG regular play for

 

[IUINSB]

No. Obvious watching them they aren't having any fun whatsoever.

And watching them isn't fun either.

 

[TomEric4756]

Nolan Warren predicts 10-10 conference record.

https://www.warrennolan.com/basketball/2025/team-predict-schedule?team=Indiana

I don’t see any reason from Winthrop to be more optimistic.

0-17 from 3 at one point. Difficulty staying in front of the dribblers.
Hatton’s performance was a plus.

 

[CriticArisen]

Ok my fellow Hoosier faithful, 2 league games down and 18 to go. We are currently 1-1 and with the calendar turning to January, we are fully in the throws of league play. What say you? How many wins will IU finish with in league play this season?

As a data point, Indiana has only had one season where they finished with a winning record in league play since the 2015/2016 season. This came 2 seasons ago where IU finished 12-8. January features 9 league games beginning with Rutgers in Bloomington on Thursday 1.2.

“What say you?”

I say even Aragorn couldn’t help us at this point unless he could shoot a good volume of 3’s at around 45%.

 

[CriticArisen]

Nolan Warren predicts 10-10 conference record.

https://www.warrennolan.com/basketball/2025/team-predict-schedule?team=Indiana

I don’t see any reason from Winthrop to be more optimistic.

0-17 from 3 at one point. Difficulty staying in front of the dribblers.
Hatton’s performance was a plus.

I am sure it has happened but can’t remember a D1 team shooting 5% from 3.

I hoped for more improvement from MM from Fresh to Soph season. His scoring is just up 1.5 ppg thus far.

I wish they would assess a technical on Malik for his signature flex after making an uncontested lay up. Too ridiculous to allow.

 

[aajohn2000]

“What say you?”

I say even Aragorn couldn’t help us at this point unless he could shoot a good volume of 3’s at around 45%.

I chose 8 or less wins. Nothing. Emphasis on NOTHING, inspires any confidence in predicting a positive season for this team. The coaching is awful / non/existent and overall play of the team is mediocre at best. I see a season that is somewhere between 6-14 to 8-12 in conference play. I think it’s highly probable the team goes 1-8 in January and will be ranked dead last or a game ahead of Minnesota at the beginning of February. It’s funny hearing people talk about IU in the big dance. I don’t think we will qualify for our own conference tourney.

 

[CriticArisen]

Go ahead and throw in the first game in Feb. at kohl center. Where we haven’t won since RMK was coach.

A clown and a little girl are walking in the woods and the little girl says, “ l’m so scared!”. The clown says- “ You’re scared, I have to walk out of here alone.”

 

[Indyhorn]

The best news for IU fans is all the Woody excuses have been proven inane.
“Team needs time to come together” see Louisville
“We need better guard play” see NIL spend
“We lost X man, we lost the big boy Ballo man, etc et.” See Gonzaga

I remain all but certain there will be no viable argument to keep him by March. The deep pocket boosters want to win too. Woody had a viable argument he needed better talent. They bought him the shiniest players on the shelf and then the Bahamas happened. It’s over folks.

 

[Al Bino]

The best news for IU fans is all the Woody excuses have been proven inane.
“Team needs time to come together” see Louisville
“We need better guard play” see NIL spend
“We lost X man, we lost the big boy Ballo man, etc et.” See Gonzaga

I remain all but certain there will be no viable argument to keep him by March. The deep pocket boosters want to win too. Woody had a viable argument he needed better talent. They bought him the shiniest players on the shelf and then the Bahamas happened. It’s over folks.

I see no viable argument to keep him NOW!

Of course, I wanted him fired after last year.

 

[Tammany Hall]

Usually things get a little than expected, like late last year, so I'd guess 11 wins and we're on the bubble. There is still technically talent on this team if they can find any sort of somewhat working strategy/line-ups/confidence.

To be clear I thought Woody should have been replaced last year and he should be replaced after this season (idk who would takeover). I'm just guessing on # of B1G wins.

 

[hickorytree1]

In Tom Crean's first season, we finished 1-17. I don't think we will finish that bad, but the production and quality of play on the floor relative to talent will be worse than that season and probably the worst of my lifetime and I turn 48 in 2 weeks. I am not trying to be doom and gloom, but this team truly plays horribly night in and out. They appear to collectively not really give a shit.

These players have minimal basketball talent. They can't make shots that talented players usually make. Regardless, the coaching staff needs to go.

 

[IUfan1957]

I predicted in an earlier post that IU would go 9-11 while needing a win in the B1G tourney to get to 10 wins in league play. With the inconsistency in this team's non-conference play and a chance to watch B1G teams, I'll put us at 7-13 with hope we could achieve a 12th or 13th tournament seed.
Optimism fading. Go Hoosiers!

 

[aajohn2000]

Usually things get a little than expected, like late last year, so I'd guess 11 wins and we're on the bubble. There is still technically talent on this team if they can find any sort of somewhat working strategy/line-ups/confidence.

To be clear I thought Woody should have been replaced last year and he should be replaced after this season (idk who would takeover). I'm just guessing on # of B1G wins.

hey @Tammany Hall, it's everyone's best guess! So did you vote 11 wins?

 

[Tammany Hall]

hey @Tammany Hall, it's everyone's best guess! So did you vote 11 wins?

Yes.

 

[Pryght]

Given our lack of non-conference success, how many B1G wins do we need to make the tournament?

12?

 

[UTFO]

Given our lack of non-conference success, how many B1G wins do we need to make the tournament?

12?

We need something we can't do.

 

[Indyhorn]

I think to dance IU needs to go at least 12-8. That’d put us at the normal Woody record of 22-11. The next home game is Rutgers. I think that game is critical for Woody. Rutgers plays very hard and have two really good scorers. The Ballo injury/suspension need be short! The Big Ten playing a 20-game schedule keeps us from playing even more Q-4 teams

 

[aajohn2000]

Given our lack of non-conference success, how many B1G wins do we need to make the tournament?

12?

That's a good question. Would put us at 22-11 on the season and to win 12 in the B1G, it would require road wins and some wins over strong quad 1 foes in AH. I would say 12 conference wins puts us firmly in the tourney.

 

[TR32]

As of now, I see 9 total conference wins. I thought maybe 13 before the season. One of the difficulties is projecting when or if they will play to their potential.

 

[chaboom]

After the Bahamas I suspected, and am now fairly certain that we have several players sucking up our NIL$ and mailing it in on the court. Hatton was good yesterday but as we've already seen, he's not going to be able to do that against the elite bigs in conference play. We've wasted the pre-season practice and non-conference games without making much progress. We resort to a lot of one-on-one play because we have no other offense to go to. Horrible outside shooting coupled with our user-friendly defense. Its hard to see this lackadaisical group being able to match for 40 minutes the intensity of the B1G teams we're about to see come January.