In Jay Wright’s 18 years he’s been to 4 Elite 8s, 3 Final Fours, 2 championship games, and won 2 titles. In his first 14 years he went to 2 Elite 8s and 1 Final Four.
In Cal’s 10 years he’s been to 7 Elite 8s, 4 Final Fours, and 1 Title.
It’s fair to assume in 8 more years Cal will easily pass all of Wright’s accomplishments.
Again, the argument for loading up on 3-4 year players is simply taking the field vs the top 3-4 programs. Sure the field may win more but you’re talking about 50-60 programs compared to 3-4. The odds are much better if you’re in the group of 3-4 to accomplish what we want. For every Villanova there are dozens of programs running that model who have never won anything.